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205 Cannon Ave
C+ Composite 61.48
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,900

205 Cannon Ave · Albany, GA 31707
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,312 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 119 Days on market
Built 1962 10,454 sqft lot Est $56k · 33% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 brm, 1 bath brick home on . 24 acres. CHA, single carport, storage bldg, 1312 sq ft.

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Built 1962
  • Listed 118 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; Single-story
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; On a 0.24-acre lot; Exterior storage structure

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric central heating
  • Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; Smoke detectors installed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 4.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#371 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Dougherty County (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #163 of 174 in GA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.4%/yr); 184 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 45 units permitted in Dougherty County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dougherty County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,159 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.75%
Cap rate
14.69%
Cash-on-cash
29.98%
DSCR
2.33
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$56,416
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1304 Mobile Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,224 (-7%) 5mo $52,500 $43 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.1%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$28,171
Equity at exit
$11,168
10-year hold
IRR
40.1%
Equity multiple
5.72×
Total profit
$99,057
Equity at exit
$6,476

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31707

Rents YoY
9.4%
Active inventory
184
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,309 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$524

Break-even live

Break-even rent $646
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1203 Moultrie Rd Albany, GA 3.0–4.0 2.0 1521 $1,330 $0.87 21d 5 0.66mi
404 Elizabeth Ave Albany, GA 3.0 2.0 1641 $1,550 $0.94 21d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $74,900 Active 119 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,900 Active 118 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,900 Active 117 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,900 Active 116 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,900 Active 115 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $74,900 Active 113 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,900 Active 112 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $74,900 Active 110 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,900 Active 109 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,900 Active 108 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,900 Active 107 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $74,900 Active 104 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,900 Active 102 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,900 Active 101 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,900 Active 100 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $74,900 Active 99 DOM
  17. 2026-02-20
    listed $74,900 Active
  18. 2022-09-29
    soldstatus $297,600
  19. 2009-05-28
    soldstatus $39,000
  20. 2009-04-02
    listed $47,000
  21. 2006-03-30
    soldstatus $65,000
  22. 2006-02-14
    soldstatus $43,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,035 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,035 · $86/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,710
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$1,035
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,257
− Management
−$1,257
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$5,412
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,299
After-tax cash flow
$4,989/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dougherty County
NCES district ID
1301830
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$33,105
Composite
11.31/100
National rank
#9716
State rank
#163 of 174 in GA

Livability — Albany

Score
60/100
State rank
#371
US rank
#18903

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albany, GA
County
Dougherty County · 89,040 people
City population
89,040
Metro
Albany, GA
Population (ZIP)
22,679
Household income
$50,862
Rent vs Own
57.3% rent · 42.7% own
Severe rent burden
1572.0

Population outlook (Dougherty County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,551 people
By 2030
80,637 · -4.6%
By 2040
72,090 · -14.7%
By 2050
64,056 · -24.2%
By 2075
46,332 · -45.2%
By 2100
33,127 · -60.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 31% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dougherty

2024 margin
Solid D (+41.1) · D 70.4% · R 29.3%
2008→2024 swing
+6.2pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 41.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+41.1 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+38.3 2012: D+39.0 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -130.86%
Current HPI
173.4443
Rent YoY
▲ 9.39%
Metro
Albany, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+74.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-20 Listed $74,900 SWGABOR
  • 2022-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $297,600 Public Records
  • 2009-05-28 Sold (MLS) $39,000 MBOR
  • 2009-04-02 Listed $47,000 MBOR
  • 2006-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2006-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,035 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…