3076 Highway 26 · Antoine, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This cozy home on 1 acre has recent updates with a spacious kitchen. Roof 2023, HVAC 2023, Water heater 2024, Septic 2024. Measuring encouraged.
Key facts
- Water heater 2024
- Roof 2023
- Recent updates
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (3.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#476 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
- South Pike County School District (rural): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #99 of 238 in AR (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Pike County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $90k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.60%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $23,401
- Equity at exit
- $51,709
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.17×
- Total profit
- $69,868
- Equity at exit
- $79,690
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71940
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,107 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $881/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $150
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-17remarks 147-char remark
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2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $115,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-05-15price $115,000 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
This cozy home on 1 acre has recent updates with a spacious kitchen. Roof 2023, HVAC 2023, Water heater 2024, Septic 2024. Measuring encouraged.
-
2026-04-18price $130,000 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
This cozy home on 1 acre has recent updates with a spacious kitchen. Roof 2023, HVAC 2023, Water heater 2024, Septic 2024. Measuring encouraged.
-
2026-03-17$135,000 New Listing 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
This cozy home on 1 acre has recent updates with a spacious kitchen. Roof 2023, HVAC 2023, Water heater 2024, Septic 2024. Measuring encouraged.
-
2024-02-08status Under Contract 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Recently updated 3 bed 2 bath home in Delight. Updates include new roof, HVAC, kitchen counter tops, paint, flooring, and more!
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2024-02-06soldstatus $90,000 Sold 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Recently updated 3 bed 2 bath home in Delight. Updates include new roof, HVAC, kitchen counter tops, paint, flooring, and more!
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2023-12-29historical Take Backups 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Recently updated 3 bed 2 bath home in Delight. Updates include new roof, HVAC, kitchen counter tops, paint, flooring, and more!
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2023-11-01price $109,000 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Recently updated 3 bed 2 bath home in Delight. Updates include new roof, HVAC, kitchen counter tops, paint, flooring, and more!
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2023-10-28price $119,000 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Recently updated 3 bed 2 bath home in Delight. Updates include new roof, HVAC, kitchen counter tops, paint, flooring, and more!
-
2023-10-15price $119,900 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Recently updated 3 bed 2 bath home in Delight. Updates include new roof, HVAC, kitchen counter tops, paint, flooring, and more!
-
2023-09-09$129,900 New Listing 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Recently updated 3 bed 2 bath home in Delight. Updates include new roof, HVAC, kitchen counter tops, paint, flooring, and more!
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2023-01-17soldstatus $19,000
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2021-09-29$19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $881 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $881 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,287
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$881
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,063
- − Management
- −$1,063
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$82
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$20
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,824/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Pike County School District
- NCES district ID
- 0510320
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,455
- Composite
- 31.2/100
- National rank
- #6040
- State rank
- #99 of 238 in AR
Livability — Antoine
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #25394
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,219
Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,158 people
- By 2030
- 9,681 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 8,640 · -14.9%
- By 2050
- 7,500 · -26.2%
- By 2075
- 4,897 · -51.8%
- By 2100
- 2,911 · -71.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 11% Black 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 5% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pike
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.1) · D 12.8% · R 86.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.8pp toward R · 2008: -41.3pp · 2024: -73.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.1 2020: R+67.7 2016: R+62.3 2012: R+52.7 2008: R+41.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+505.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $115,000 CARMLS
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $130,000 CARMLS
- 2026-03-17 Listed $135,000 CARMLS
- 2024-02-08 Pending — CARMLS
- 2024-02-06 Sold (MLS) $90,000 CARMLS
- 2023-12-29 Contingent — CARMLS
- 2023-11-01 Price Changed $109,000 CARMLS
- 2023-10-28 Price Changed $119,000 CARMLS
- 2023-10-15 Price Changed $119,900 CARMLS
- 2023-09-09 Listed $129,900 CARMLS
- 2023-01-17 Sold (MLS) $19,000 CARMLS
- 2021-09-29 Listed $19,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
+12.0%/yrLatest (2025): $881 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…