468 Pine Ridge Dr · Madison, MS 39110

$258,500

3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,528 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market

Built 1978 0.33 ac lot Est $257k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +23.2/30.0
• DSCR +7.5/10.0
• ARV discount +7.2/15.0
• 1% rule +5.3/10.0
• Schools +4.8/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

A MUST SEE!!. . beautifully maintained, move-in ready home loaded with charm and functionality! Featuring a bright and spacious open floor plan, this home offers a warm and inviting living room anchored by a stunning brick fireplace, perfect for cozy evenings and entertaining guests. The spacious kitchen flows seamlessly into the dining area, creating the ideal setup for everyday living and special gatherings alike. Enjoy outdoor living year-round under the covered patio overlooking a private fenced backyard with plenty of space for pets, play, and weekend cookouts. Situated on a desirable corner lot with a side-entry garage, this home offers added curb appeal and convenience. Clean, spacio

Key facts

• Open floor plan
• Brick fireplace
• Covered patio

Tags

• OPEN FLOOR PLAN
• BRICK FIREPLACE
• COVERED PATIO
• PRIVATE FENCED BACKYARD
• CORNER LOT
• SIDE-ENTRY GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway with paved surfaces; Garage faces side
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water available
• Home design: Single family residence (house); One story; Move-in ready
• Construction: Brick construction; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year source: assessor)
• Exterior features: Brick patio/porch and porch; Private yard; Back yard fencing

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric range; Range hood; Refrigerator
• Flooring: Luxury vinyl; Ceramic tile; Laminate
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
• Interior features: Electric range, range hood, refrigerator; Living room fireplace; Aluminum window frames; Laundry room
• Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $258k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $471 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $258k).
• Recommended offer: $255k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.7% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#4 in MS, #1,556 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
• Madison County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #3 of 130 in MS (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Madison Crossing Elementary (math 52% / reading 55%, grade C, #49 of 375 statewide, top 13%, 775 students, 100% FRL); Madison Middle School (math 66% / reading 57%, grade B+, #6 of 179 statewide, top 3%, 1,154 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 29% district-wide (70 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 628 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 553 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Madison County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $254,622 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.03% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.48%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.80%
• DSCR: 1.35
• GRM: 8.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $256,704
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
112 Armonde Ct	0.07mi	2/2.5 (-1)	1,563 (+2%)	1mo	$259,000	$166	85
429 S Pin Oak Dr	0.14mi	3/2.0	1,454 (-5%)	3mo	$247,500	$170	79
368 Post Oak Rd	0.14mi	3/2.0	1,470 (-4%)	7mo	$250,000	$170	77
104 Willow Ct	0.13mi	3/2.0	1,384 (-9%)	2mo	$234,900	$170	73
636 Live Oak Dr	0.41mi	3/2.0	1,474 (-4%)	3mo	$249,000	$169	69
143 Azalea Cir	0.48mi	3/2.0	1,582 (+4%)	1mo	$265,000	$168	66
209 Maplewood Dr	0.19mi	4/2.5 (+1)	1,690 (+11%)	10mo	$239,000	$141	59
429 Brentwood Dr	0.61mi	3/2.0	1,535 (+0%)	10mo	$255,000	$166	59
520 Hunters Creek Cir	0.27mi	3/2.0	1,737 (+14%)	3mo	$249,000	$143	58
122 Eastwood Dr	0.68mi	3/2.0	1,474 (-4%)	8mo	$245,000	$166	52
119 Azalea Cir	0.47mi	3/2.0	1,724 (+13%)	8mo	$273,500	$159	46
143 Glenwood Dr	0.72mi	3/2.0	1,400 (-8%)	9mo	$249,000	$178	42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -4.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.82×
• Total profit: $-13,013
• Equity at exit: $38,543

10-year hold

• IRR: 4.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.32×
• Total profit: $22,801
• Equity at exit: $22,350

Cash invested: $72,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 39110

• Home prices YoY: -28.3%
• Rents YoY: 2.6%
• Active inventory: 628
• Price-to-rent: 8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,660 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,356
• Tax from tax record: −$167 /mo · $2,006/yr
• Insurance: −$108
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$559
• Net cashflow: $471

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,064

Max offer price $258,500

Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $64,625
• Closing costs: $7,755
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1011 Mcdale Ln Madison, MS	4.0	2.0	2036	$2,500	$1.23	43d	1	0.89mi
345 Avonlea Ln Madison, MS	3.0	2.0	2185	$2,500	$1.14	43d	1	1.11mi

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $258,500 Active 21 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $258,500 Active 20 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $258,500 Active 19 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $258,500 Active 18 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $258,500 Active 16 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $258,500 Active 13 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $258,500 Active 12 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $258,500 Active 11 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $258,500 Active 10 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $258,500 Active 6 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $258,500 Active 5 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $258,500 Active 4 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $258,500 Active 3 DOM
14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $258,500 Active 2 DOM
15. 2026-05-28
    listed $258,500 Active
16. 1989-08-09
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,006 · $167/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,042 · $170/mo
• Expected delta: +$36/yr (+$3/mo · 1.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $31,915
• − Mortgage interest: −$14,480
• − Property taxes: −$2,006
• − Insurance: −$1,292
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,553
• − Management: −$2,553
• − Depreciation: −$7,520
• Taxable income: $1,510
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$362
• After-tax cash flow: $5,284/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Madison County School District
• NCES district ID: 2802790
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $70,579
• Composite: 48.08/100
• National rank: #2188
• State rank: #3 of 130 in MS

Livability — Madison

• Score: 81/100
• State rank: #4
• US rank: #1556

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Madison, MS
• County: Madison County · 75,005 people
• City population: 50,443
• Metro: Jackson, MS
• Population (ZIP): 50,443
• Household income: $125,506
• Rent vs Own: 9.1% rent · 90.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 227.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 122,509 people
• By 2030: 131,737 · +7.5%
• By 2040: 148,930 · +21.6%
• By 2050: 164,300 · +34.1%
• By 2075: 197,495 · +61.2%
• By 2100: 211,429 · +72.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (76%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 76% Black 15% Asian 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 5% · China, Canada
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

• 2024 margin: R (+17.3) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -1.7pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -17.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+17.3 2020: R+11.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+15.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -60.99%
• Current HPI: 154.6909
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.61%
• Metro: Jackson, MS
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-28 Listed $258,500 MLSU
• 1989-08-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,006 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.