25422 Sea Bluffs Dr #204 · Dana Point, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 84°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- Appreciation +9.1/10.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$539,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully updated two-bedroom, two-bathroom end-unit condo located in The Sea Bluffs, an Ivy Signature Community, a highly desirable 62+ full-service retirement community in Dana Point. Offering a spacious and thoughtfully designed floor plan, this home provides both comfort and privacy, enhanced by its prime end-unit location. Step inside to a warm and inviting living room featuring a cozy fireplace, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The tastefully remodeled kitchen showcases new cabinetry, elegant quartz countertops, a new sink with updated plumbing fixtures, and a new refrigerator—blending modern style with everyday functionality. Just beyond, a versatile breakfast nook offers flexibility as a dining area or comfortable home office. Throughout the home, you’ll find new carpet and fresh paint, creating a clean, move-in-ready atmosphere. Both bedrooms are generously sized, offering ample storage views of the surrounding mountains. Enjoy the ease and peace of mind that comes with living in this full-service community, where residents benefit from chef-prepared meals with ocean views, housekeeping, transportation, general maintenance, and utilities. Included maintenance of appliances, plumbing, electrical and HVAC allows you to focus on enjoying everything the community has to offer. Residents of The Sea Bluffs enjoy a vibrant lifestyle with access to a wide array of social programs, classes, and daily activities that foster connection and engagement. The community clubhouse features a beautiful library, multi-purpose room, billiards, spa, fitness center, card room, and more. Ideally located just about a mile from the scenic shores of Doheny Beach, you can easily enjoy the best of coastal living whenever you please. This exceptional home offers more than just a place to live—it’s an opportunity to embrace a relaxed, maintenance-free lifestyle in a welcoming and active community. MANDATORY MONTHLY SERVICE FEE of $4,924 plus HOA of $670. Second person fee of $2,100 applies if applicable.
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Quartz countertops
- Fresh paint
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $539k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-116 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $518k (3.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $477k (11.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $477k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 1.4% in Dana Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#398 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Capistrano Unified (suburban): math 50% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #64 of 517 in CA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($143k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $48k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $45k appreciation (8.3% local appreciation)).
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$77k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($507k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $461k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.93%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $673,633
- List price
- $539,000
- Delta
- -19.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
8.28% appreciation · 4.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $230,017
- Equity at exit
- $419,704
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.55×
- Total profit
- $685,975
- Equity at exit
- $843,040
Cash invested: $150,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92629
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,768 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,827
- Tax from tax record
- −$162 /mo · $1,947/yr
- Insurance
- −$225
- HOA
- −$670
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,001
- Net cashflow
- $-116
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $134,750
- Closing costs
- $16,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33852 Del Obispo St Dana Point, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 781 | $3,495 | $4.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 765 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1497 | $4,995 | $3.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 985 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1506 | $5,395 | $3.58 | 7d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 985 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1506 | $5,100 | $3.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 769 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1506 | $8,000 | $5.31 | 7d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 769 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1506 | $5,200 | $3.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 876 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 934 | $4,400 | $4.71 | 12d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 33655 Breakwater Dr Dana Point, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1711 | $4,850 | $2.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 25091 La Cresta Dr Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,295 | $3.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 33852 Copper Lantern St Unit E Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,400 | $3.09 | 20d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 33901 Copper Lantern St Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $4,700 | $4.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 33871 Copper Lantern St Unit A Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $5,500 | $5.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 33871 Copper Lantern St Unit B Dana Point, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 903 | $4,000 | $4.43 | 15d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 33936 Alcazar Dr Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,450 | $3.14 | 7d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 25872 Vista Dr W Capistrano Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1699 | $7,200 | $4.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 34051 Alcazar Dr Dana Point, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $8,500 | $7.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 33965 Malaga Dr Dana Point, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $5,000 | $5.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 33816 Silver Lantern St Unit A Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $3,500 | $2.59 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 33742 Silver Lantern St Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $2,795 | $2.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 24802 Sea Crest Dr Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1748 | $5,200 | $2.97 | 5d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 33831 Olinda Dr Unit NA Dana Point, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $5,861 | $3.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 33802 Street of the Violet Lantern Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $4,500 | $5.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 24643 Santa Clara Ave Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $5,000 | $3.98 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 26305 Via California Capistrano Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $4,475 | $2.98 | 7d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 34051 Violet Lantern St Dana Point, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1790 | $10,500 | $5.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 33431 Nottingham Way Unit A Dana Point, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $4,750 | $3.39 | 7d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 26142 Via California Unit A Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $3,600 | $2.77 | 3d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 26451 Camino De Vis San Juan Capistrano, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 843 | $3,805 | $4.51 | 1d | 6 | 0.92mi |
| 33802 Castano Dr Unit B Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $3,195 | $3.55 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 33802 Castano Dr Unit B Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $3,195 | $3.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 34421 Via Espinoza Unit A Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,800 | $3.45 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 34516 Via Verde Capistrano Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $5,500 | $3.67 | 20d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 34516 Via Verde Capistrano Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $5,500 | $3.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 25251 Barque Way Dana Point, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1715 | $6,000 | $3.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 34036 Street of the Amber Lantern Apt B Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $3,300 | $3.47 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 34465 Via Espinoza Unit A Capistrano Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,700 | $2.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 34137 Pacific Coast Hwy Dana Point, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–4.5 | 1335 | $5,514 | $4.13 | 1d | 10 | 0.99mi |
| 33032 Driftwood Ct San Juan Capistrano, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1494 | $5,199 | $3.48 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 24601 Harbor View Dr Dana Point, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1685 | $5,395 | $3.20 | 17d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 24601 Harbor View Dr Unit B Dana Point, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1685 | $5,395 | $3.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.02mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $670 · $8,040/yr
- Likely covers
- electriccablegym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $539,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $539,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $539,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $539,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $539,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $539,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $539,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $539,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $539,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $539,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $539,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $539,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $539,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $539,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-09$539,000 Active 2065-char remark
Show marketing remark (2065 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated two-bedroom, two-bathroom end-unit condo located in The Sea Bluffs, an Ivy Signature Community, a highly desirable 62+ full-service retirement community in Dana Point. Offering a spacious and thoughtfully designed floor plan, this home provides both comfort and privacy, enhanced by its prime end-unit location. Step inside to a warm and inviting living room featuring a cozy fireplace, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The tastefully remodeled kitchen showcases new cabinetry, elegant quartz countertops, a new sink with updated plumbing fixtures, and a new refrigerator—blending modern style with everyday functionality. Just beyond, a versatile breakfast nook offers flexibility as a dining area or comfortable home office. Throughout the home, you’ll find new carpet and fresh paint, creating a clean, move-in-ready atmosphere. Both bedrooms are generously sized, offering ample storage views of the surrounding mountains. Enjoy the ease and peace of mind that comes with living in this full-service community, where residents benefit from chef-prepared meals with ocean views, housekeeping, transportation, general maintenance, and utilities. Included maintenance of appliances, plumbing, electrical and HVAC allows you to focus on enjoying everything the community has to offer. Residents of The Sea Bluffs enjoy a vibrant lifestyle with access to a wide array of social programs, classes, and daily activities that foster connection and engagement. The community clubhouse features a beautiful library, multi-purpose room, billiards, spa, fitness center, card room, and more. Ideally located just about a mile from the scenic shores of Doheny Beach, you can easily enjoy the best of coastal living whenever you please. This exceptional home offers more than just a place to live—it’s an opportunity to embrace a relaxed, maintenance-free lifestyle in a welcoming and active community. MANDATORY MONTHLY SERVICE FEE of $4,924 plus HOA of $670. Second person fee of $2,100 applies if applicable.
-
2022-06-17soldstatus $461,000 Closed Sale 753-char remark
Show marketing remark (753 chars)
The Fountains at SEa Bluffs -62+ Full Service Retirement community has this lovely Mission Floor Plan, 2b/2b end unit. Tropical garden view and San Clemente mountains side. Travertine and laminate flooring, freshly painted inside, office space, 9' ceilings, great balcony with storage closet . subterranean parking with assigned space. The clubhouse offers chef prepared meals in the beautiful dining room, card room, library, fitness room, how about happy hour in the fireside room. Many events, social activities, excursions , water aerobics, exercise classes, art classes and so much more. call the community for a tour. Please ask about the Covid protocols that are in place. Monthly Clubhouse fee $4050.00, HOA $600.00 2nd person fee if applicable
-
2022-06-17soldstatus $461,000
Show marketing remark (753 chars)
The Fountains at SEa Bluffs -62+ Full Service Retirement community has this lovely Mission Floor Plan, 2b/2b end unit. Tropical garden view and San Clemente mountains side. Travertine and laminate flooring, freshly painted inside, office space, 9' ceilings, great balcony with storage closet . subterranean parking with assigned space. The clubhouse offers chef prepared meals in the beautiful dining room, card room, library, fitness room, how about happy hour in the fireside room. Many events, social activities, excursions , water aerobics, exercise classes, art classes and so much more. call the community for a tour. Please ask about the Covid protocols that are in place. Monthly Clubhouse fee $4050.00, HOA $600.00 2nd person fee if applicable
-
2022-06-03historical 753-char remark
Show marketing remark (753 chars)
The Fountains at SEa Bluffs -62+ Full Service Retirement community has this lovely Mission Floor Plan, 2b/2b end unit. Tropical garden view and San Clemente mountains side. Travertine and laminate flooring, freshly painted inside, office space, 9' ceilings, great balcony with storage closet . subterranean parking with assigned space. The clubhouse offers chef prepared meals in the beautiful dining room, card room, library, fitness room, how about happy hour in the fireside room. Many events, social activities, excursions , water aerobics, exercise classes, art classes and so much more. call the community for a tour. Please ask about the Covid protocols that are in place. Monthly Clubhouse fee $4050.00, HOA $600.00 2nd person fee if applicable
-
2022-06-02$450,000 753-char remark
Show marketing remark (753 chars)
The Fountains at SEa Bluffs -62+ Full Service Retirement community has this lovely Mission Floor Plan, 2b/2b end unit. Tropical garden view and San Clemente mountains side. Travertine and laminate flooring, freshly painted inside, office space, 9' ceilings, great balcony with storage closet . subterranean parking with assigned space. The clubhouse offers chef prepared meals in the beautiful dining room, card room, library, fitness room, how about happy hour in the fireside room. Many events, social activities, excursions , water aerobics, exercise classes, art classes and so much more. call the community for a tour. Please ask about the Covid protocols that are in place. Monthly Clubhouse fee $4050.00, HOA $600.00 2nd person fee if applicable
-
2012-10-08soldstatus $440,000 Closed
-
2012-09-28soldstatus $440,000
-
2012-09-01status Pending
-
2012-06-28$469,000 Active
-
1999-08-31soldstatus $167,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,947 · $162/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,096 · $341/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,150/yr (+$179/mo · 110.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥84°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $57,219
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,192
- − Property taxes
- −$1,947
- − Insurance
- −$2,695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,578
- − Management
- −$4,578
- − HOA
- −$8,040
- − Depreciation
- −$15,680
- Taxable loss
- −$10,490
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,518
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,120/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Capistrano Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0607440
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $99,673
- Composite
- 56.56/100
- National rank
- #1147
- State rank
- #64 of 517 in CA
Livability — Dana Point
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #398
- US rank
- #13526
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dana Point, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 32,790
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,579
- Household income
- $142,807
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1161.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.28%
- Current HPI
- 461.7852
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.16%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+221.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Listed $539,000 CRMLS
- 2022-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $461,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-17 Sold (MLS) $461,000 CRMLS
- 2022-06-03 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2022-06-02 Listed $450,000 CRMLS
- 2012-10-08 Sold (MLS) $440,000 CRMLS
- 2012-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $440,000 Public Records
- 2012-09-01 Pending — CRMLS
- 2012-06-28 Listed $469,000 CRMLS
- 1999-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $167,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,947 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…