714 Leak St · Rockingham, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 65.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$52,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Are you searching for an investment property in the heart of Rockingham? This 2-bed, 1-bath home could be the perfect opportunity. With a little TLC, this property has the potential to become a solid income-producing rental. A great choice for investors looking to add to their portfolio or anyone ready to take on a light renovation project.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 13 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding with frame construction
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; No fencing; Shingle roof; City street and state road frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 53 x 179 x 32 x 180
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 5 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $52k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $818 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $52k).
- Cap rate 25.2% vs local median 6.0% in Rockingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#403 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Richmond County Schools (town): math 30% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #139 of 178 in NC (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: L J Bell Elementary (math 31% / reading 39%, grade F, #825 of 1,410 statewide, top 59%, 476 students, 99% FRL); Rockingham Middle (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #343 of 475 statewide, top 73%, 616 students, 100% FRL); Richmond Senior High (math 58% / reading 38%, grade D, #329 of 535 statewide, top 62%, 1,286 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $360 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $52k implies a 189% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 67.38%
- DSCR
- 4.00
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $89,984
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 Leak St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 1,371 (-2%) | 22mo | $138,500 | $101 | 67 |
| 611 Leak St | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-15%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $54 | 65 |
| 201 S Brookwood Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.5 | 1,344 (-4%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $48 | 60 |
| 313 Mcarthur Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,337 (-5%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $146 | 56 |
| 149 Hannah Pickett First Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,447 (+3%) | 5mo | $92,500 | $64 | 48 |
| 120 Seaboard St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,493 (+6%) | 4mo | $47,000 | $31 | 45 |
| 116 Brook Leigh Dr | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,591 (+13%) | 16mo | $325,000 | $204 | 28 |
| 424 Bryan St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+14%) | 11mo | $40,000 | $25 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 66.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.00×
- Total profit
- $43,640
- Equity at exit
- $7,753
- IRR
- 70.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.21×
- Total profit
- $105,042
- Equity at exit
- $4,496
Cash invested: $14,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28379
- Home prices YoY
- -32.4%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,442 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$273
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $331/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $818
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $847 | -5% $832 | +0% $818 | +5% $803 | +10% $788 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $704 | -5% $761 | +0% $818 | +5% $874 | +10% $931 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $844 | -0.5pp $831 | base $818 | +0.5pp $804 | +1.0pp $790 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,000
- Closing costs
- $1,560
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $52,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $52,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $52,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $52,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $52,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $52,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $52,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $52,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $52,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $52,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 342-char remark
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $52,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-04-17status Active
-
2026-04-12historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-26status Active
-
2026-03-26historical
-
2026-03-12status Active
-
2026-03-09historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-02-21status Active
-
2026-02-20historical
-
2025-12-03status Active
-
2025-12-03price $60,000
-
2025-11-28historical
-
2025-07-26price $65,000
-
2025-05-23$70,000 Active
-
2004-10-08soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $331 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $426 · $36/mo
- Expected delta
- +$96/yr (+$8/mo · 29.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,308
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,913
- − Property taxes
- −$331
- − Insurance
- −$260
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,385
- − Management
- −$1,385
- − Depreciation
- −$1,513
- Taxable income
- $9,522
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,285
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,525/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richmond County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703870
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,224
- Composite
- 26.97/100
- National rank
- #7076
- State rank
- #139 of 178 in NC
Livability — Rockingham
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #403
- US rank
- #15356
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rockingham, NC
- City population
- 24,068
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,068
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,892 people
- By 2030
- 41,257 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 37,629 · -12.3%
- By 2050
- 33,655 · -21.5%
- By 2075
- 23,992 · -44.1%
- By 2100
- 14,782 · -65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.9) · D 39.2% · R 60.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.4pp toward R · 2008: 1.5pp · 2024: -20.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.9 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+10.1 2012: D+2.7 2008: D+1.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.10%
- Current HPI
- 203.0628
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+233.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-12 Contingent — Hive MLS
- 2026-03-26 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2026-03-26 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-03-12 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2026-03-09 Contingent — Hive MLS
- 2026-02-21 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2026-02-20 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-12-03 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $60,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-11-28 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-07-26 Price Changed $65,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-05-23 Listed $70,000 Hive MLS
- 2004-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $331 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…