1103 E 11th St Unit A & B · Panama City, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.3/30.0
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Grreat investment opportunity, one bedroon duplex, with many upgrades. New windows, new HVAC, and new appliances. . Great location. currently occupied and rented. Currently gross rental income is $1400 a month. current leases are up on 6/15/2026 and 8/15/2026. Duplex has good rental record and is a great investment. contact listing agent for showings. All showings must be setup a minimum of 48 hours in advance and only available at tennants approval. Call today to request a showing. . . Buyer to verify all information. .
Key facts
- New hvac
- New appliances
- Good rental record
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $150k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $83 ($995/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (5.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.7% in Panama City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#350 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 258 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 233 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $150k implies a 188% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 233 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.37%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $170,304
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -11.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-22,550
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-26,575
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32401
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 258
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,417 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $83
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $187 | -5% $135 | +0% $83 | +5% $31 | +10% $-21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-29 | -5% $27 | +0% $83 | +5% $139 | +10% $195 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $158 | -0.5pp $121 | base $83 | +0.5pp $44 | +1.0pp $4 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 606 E 13th St Unit 1 Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 22d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 725 Sherman Ave Unit B Panama City, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,250 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1114 Mc Kenzie Ave Unit 1 Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,850 | $2.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 329 N Palo Alto Ave Unit B Panama City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 388 Massalina Dr Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,800 | $2.25 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 335 Massalina Dr Panama City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,200 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 400 E 19th St Unit A1 Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 785 | $1,095 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2002 Wilson Ave Panama City, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 977 | $1,854 | $1.90 | 14d | 25 | 1.29mi |
| 265 15th St Panama City, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 967 | $1,252 | $1.29 | 14d | 4 | 1.32mi |
| 1525 Oak Ave Unit B Panama City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $1,200 | $2.22 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 307 Wilson Ave Unit 1 Panama City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $1,345 | $2.36 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1637 N James Ave Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 972 | $1,275 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 603 E 2nd St Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 22d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $150,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $150,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $150,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $150,000 Active 213 DOM
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2025-10-28$150,000 Active 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Grreat investment opportunity, one bedroon duplex, with many upgrades. New windows, new HVAC, and new appliances. . Great location. currently occupied and rented. Currently gross rental income is $1400 a month. current leases are up on 6/15/2026 and 8/15/2026. Duplex has good rental record and is a great investment. contact listing agent for showings. All showings must be setup a minimum of 48 hours in advance and only available at tennants approval. Call today to request a showing. . . Buyer to verify all information. .
-
2021-12-14historical
-
2021-12-09historical
-
2020-07-24$69,900
-
2018-05-04soldstatus $52,000
-
2018-05-04soldstatus $52,000
-
2017-10-19$57,000
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2017-10-19$57,000
-
2008-04-28$62,500
-
2005-07-15soldstatus $50,333
-
2004-12-03$60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,005
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,360
- − Management
- −$1,360
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$1,481
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$356
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,350/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
A fair condition multi-family property with moderate rehab needs, including exterior painting and landscaping. Potential for increased value with these improvements.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate siding — Weathered and discolored
- Minor landscaping — Some overgrown vegetation
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| siding · Weathered and discolored | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| landscaping · Some overgrown vegetation | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $3,500–18,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bay
- NCES district ID
- 1200090
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,740
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3014
- State rank
- #29 of 73 in FL
Livability — Panama City
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #350
- US rank
- #5823
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Panama City, FL
- County
- Bay County · 163,593 people
- City population
- 91,445
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,947
- Household income
- $52,523
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 935.0
Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 206,264 people
- By 2030
- 217,740 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 238,738 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 255,545 · +23.9%
- By 2075
- 288,295 · +39.8%
- By 2100
- 288,638 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.12%
- Current HPI
- 290.3312
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.45%
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+150.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-28 Listed $150,000 CPARMLS
- 2021-12-14 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2021-12-09 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2020-07-24 Listed $69,900 CPARMLS
- 2018-05-04 Sold (MLS) $52,000 SAMLS
- 2018-05-04 Sold (MLS) $52,000 CPARMLS
- 2017-10-19 Listed $57,000 SAMLS
- 2017-10-19 Listed $57,000 CPARMLS
- 2008-04-28 Listed $62,500 CPARMLS
- 2005-07-15 Sold (MLS) $50,333 CPARMLS
- 2004-12-03 Listed $60,000 CPARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…