1425 Quinnipiac Ave #304 · New Haven, CT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1st floor spacious ranch with private entrance, no steps into unit. Kitchen has been remodeled with newer appliances and granite counters. Large living room/dining area laminate flooring with french doors out to deck overlooking the woods. Master bedroom is a generous size with wall to wall carpet. 2nd bedroom has walk in closet. Neutral paint colors throughout.
Key facts
- Covered balcony
- Updated flooring
- Single-level living
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed (dogs permitted)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $390 monthly fee; HOA covers grounds maintenance, trash pickup, property management, pest control, and road maintenance
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Gas available in street
- Home design: Condominium (Condo/Co-Op for sale); Located in the Hidden Quarry complex; Single-level unit
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Vertical siding; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot air heating; Central air conditioning; 30-gallon hot water tank
- Interior features: Central air conditioning; In-unit laundry
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.8% in New Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#31 in CT, #2,190 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, crime F.
- New Haven School District (urban): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #147 of 153 in CT (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 101 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,938/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 2664% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $140k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.02%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-7,694
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $19,738
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06513
- Home prices YoY
- -7.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 101
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,938 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,818/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$390
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$407
- Net cashflow
- $197
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $276 | -5% $236 | +0% $197 | +5% $157 | +10% $117 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $44 | -5% $120 | +0% $197 | +5% $273 | +10% $350 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $267 | -0.5pp $232 | base $197 | +0.5pp $160 | +1.0pp $124 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1425 Quinnipiac Ave #302 New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1212 | $2,000 | $1.65 | 19d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1425 Quinnipiac Ave #112 New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1212 | $2,000 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1314 Quinnipiac Ave New Haven, CT | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,695 | $1.47 | 4d | 8 | 0.22mi |
| 5 Assumption St New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $2,750 | $3.37 | 3d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 95 Weybosset St Unit 3 New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,800 | $2.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 430 Eastern St New Haven, CT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 900 | $1,832 | $2.04 | 3d | 2 | 0.43mi |
| 631 Middletown Ave New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,775 | $1.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 59 Foxon Blvd East Haven, CT | 1.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,850 | $2.20 | 15d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 339 Eastern St New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 505 | $1,600 | $3.17 | 44d | 6 | 0.69mi |
| 232 Glen Haven Rd New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,850 | $2.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 918 Quinnipiac Ave #7 New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1361 | $2,500 | $1.84 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 80 New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,900 | $2.24 | 4d | 2 | 1.09mi |
| 318 Front St Unit one New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $3,100 | $2.21 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 75 Redwood Dr #708 East Haven, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $2,500 | $1.98 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 110 Maltby St New Haven, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,550 | $2.04 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 57 Maltby St Unit 2nd Front New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,395 | $1.74 | 4d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 153 Dover St Unit D New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,750 | $1.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 153 Dover St New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,750 | $1.97 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 153 Dover St New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,800 | $2.03 | 12d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1397 State St Unit 6 New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,695 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1399 State St Unit 5B New Haven, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,595 | $2.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 122 Atwater St New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $2,300 | $1.81 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 122 Atwater St Unit 3 New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,980 | $1.52 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 651 Quinnipiac Ave Unit 2 New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1355 | $1,975 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1730 State St #312 Hamden, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,350 | $1.71 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1730 State St Hamden, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,400 | $1.77 | 19d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $390 · $4,680/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 7 events
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2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $140,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-13remarks 694-char remark
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2026-06-13$140,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,818 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,407 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- +$589/yr (+$49/mo · 32.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,252
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,818
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,860
- − Management
- −$1,860
- − HOA
- −$4,680
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $419
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$100
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,260/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Haven School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902790
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,058
- Composite
- 15.48/100
- National rank
- #9308
- State rank
- #147 of 153 in CT
Livability — New Haven
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #2190
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Haven, CT
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 132,813
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,888
- Household income
- $48,500
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2664.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% White 26% Black 22% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 25% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 39% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.87%
- Current HPI
- 364.006
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.12%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+103.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $140,000 Smart MLS
- 2020-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2020-11-06 Sold (MLS) $80,000 Smart MLS
- 2020-09-28 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2020-09-27 Listed $80,000 Smart MLS
- 2017-04-21 Sold (MLS) $45,100 Smart MLS
- 2017-03-10 Listed $45,000 Smart MLS
- 2013-09-30 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2012-08-31 Listed $75,000 Smart MLS
- 2008-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $129,900 Public Records
- 2008-07-11 Sold (MLS) $129,900 Smart MLS
- 2007-10-08 Listed $129,900 Smart MLS
- 2002-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 1994-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $68,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2023): $1,818 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…