7416 Pritchard St · Marrero, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$58,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 Bedroom/1 Bathroom home with 1,000 square feet of living space. Schedule your personal showing before this one gets away!
Key facts
- 8,001 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1960
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $129 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 5.9% in Marrero — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#104 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 294 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $404 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $46k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.69%
- DSCR
- 2.81
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $100,491
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 820 Garden Rd | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 807 (-1%) | 11mo | $99,000 | $123 | 58 |
| 524 Urbandale St | 0.18mi | 1/1.0 | 891 (+9%) | 24mo | $75,000 | $84 | 56 |
| 815 West Dr | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 840 (+3%) | 4mo | $145,900 | $174 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-3,290
- Equity at exit
- $8,723
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-228
- Equity at exit
- $5,058
Cash invested: $16,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70072
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 294
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,187 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$307
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $616/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $129
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $162 | -5% $145 | +0% $129 | +5% $112 | +10% $96 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $35 | -5% $82 | +0% $129 | +5% $176 | +10% $223 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $158 | -0.5pp $144 | base $129 | +0.5pp $114 | +1.0pp $98 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,625
- Closing costs
- $1,755
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7429 Pritchard St Marrero, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,150 | $1.24 | 15d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 7409 4th St Unit B Marrero, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 665 | $900 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 524 Bertucci St Marrero, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 15d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 710 West Dr Westwego, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 941 | $1,500 | $1.59 | 5d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 942 Francis St Marrero, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,125 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1015 West Dr Westwego, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1105 Magnolia Dr Unit H Westwego, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 4d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1105 Magnolia Dr Apt E Westwego, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1300 Tanglewood Dr Westwego, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 781 | $1,050 | $1.34 | 3d | 14 | 1.04mi |
| 900 Avenue H Unit D Westwego, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $1,300 | $1.31 | 20d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 320 Marrero Rd Marrero, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 958 Avenue B Westwego, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1018 | $1,500 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 322 Marrero Rd Marrero, LA | — | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1413 Central Ave Unit C Westwego, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 412 Avenue A Westwego, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1103 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 337 Nashville Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 997 | $6,000 | $6.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5624 Annunciation St New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,650 | $1.81 | 17d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 6072 Annunciation St New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,800 | $2.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 196 Louisiana St Westwego, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $850 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 196 Louisiana St Unit A Westwego, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5416 Annunciation St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,625 | $1.62 | 17d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 535 Jefferson Ave New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,550 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 429 Calhoun St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 627 Jefferson Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,295 | $1.38 | 4d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2025-04-18status Pending
-
2025-03-19price $58,500
-
2025-03-19price $58,500
-
2025-03-14status Active
-
2025-03-10price $61,750
-
2025-03-10price $61,750
-
2025-01-17status Pending
-
2024-12-22$65,000 Active
-
2024-12-22$65,000 Active
-
2003-04-01soldstatus $46,500
-
1996-06-14soldstatus $10,800
-
1996-03-13$12,900
-
1996-03-13$12,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $616 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $616 · $51/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,247
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,277
- − Property taxes
- −$616
- − Insurance
- −$5,411
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,140
- − Management
- −$1,140
- − Depreciation
- −$1,702
- Taxable income
- $962
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$231
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,316/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200840
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,421
- Composite
- 25.19/100
- National rank
- #7511
- State rank
- #44 of 98 in LA
Livability — Marrero
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #10146
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marrero, LA
- County
- Jefferson Parish · 426,999 people
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,693
- Household income
- $54,885
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1807.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 451,696 people
- By 2030
- 455,451 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 458,308 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 461,031 · +2.1%
- By 2075
- 476,351 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 499,377 · +10.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 40% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 8% Vietnamese 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.9) · D 42.5% · R 55.5% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.6pp toward D · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -12.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.9 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+14.8 2012: R+18.4 2008: R+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.87%
- Current HPI
- 161.7477
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.05%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+353.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2025-04-18 Pending — GSREIN
- 2025-03-19 Price Changed $58,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-03-19 Price Changed $58,500 GSREIN
- 2025-03-14 Relisted — GSREIN
- 2025-03-10 Price Changed $61,750 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-03-10 Price Changed $61,750 GSREIN
- 2025-01-17 Pending — GSREIN
- 2024-12-22 Listed $65,000 GSREIN
- 2024-12-22 Listed $65,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2003-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,500 Public Records
- 1996-06-14 Sold (MLS) $10,800 GSREIN
- 1996-03-13 Listed $12,900 GSREIN
- 1996-03-13 Listed $12,900 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $616 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…