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201 Moss St
B- Composite 69.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.3/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

201 Moss St · Highland Park, MI 48203
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,778 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 118 Days on market
Built 1917 5,227 sqft lot $67/sqft · 16% above area Est $128k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

GEM IN THE HEART OF HIGHLAND PARK! This spacious colonial with SUPERB curb appeal is ready for an investor or homebuyer with a vision! With a little TLC, this is an opportunity to invest in one of the most prominent neighborhoods in Highland Park. With a 2-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 1700+ sqft, a true visionary can turn this house into a masterpiece! Priced for as-is sale, subject to probate court approval.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1917

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $401 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 14.2% in Highland Park — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#214 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $6k; list at $120k implies a 2004% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $109,109 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
10.31%
Cash-on-cash
14.33%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$127,895
List price
$119,900
Delta
-6.25%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
161 Eason St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,848 (+4%) 8mo $138,000 $75 82
163 Moss St 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,678 (-6%) 4mo $191,000 $114 80
83 Midland St 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,664 (-6%) 1mo $150,000 $90 73
225 Moss St 0.04mi 3/1.5 1,654 (-7%) 14mo $65,000 $39 73
214 Moss St 0.04mi 3/3.5 1,864 (+5%) 15mo $235,000 $126 72
123 Florence St 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,900 (+7%) 14mo $92,500 $49 64
44 Grove St 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,646 (-7%) 10mo $8,000 $5 57
156 Hill St 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,639 (-8%) 11mo $154,000 $94 48
127 Cedarhurst St 0.71mi 3/2.5 1,752 (-2%) 20mo $55,000 $31 46
15398 Wabash St 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,836 (+3%) 21mo $30,000 $16 46
41 Ferris St 0.48mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,855 (+4%) 22mo $169,900 $92 45
16189 Inverness St 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,578 (-11%) 18mo $160,000 $101 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$6,070
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$38,012
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48203

Home prices YoY
-23.3%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,432 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $616/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$401

Break-even live

Break-even rent $924
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
326 Eason St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1256 $1,300 $1.04 17d 1 0.25mi
17550 2nd Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1350 $1,150 $0.85 18d 1 0.55mi
885 Covington Dr Unit 201 Highland Park, MI 2.0 2.0 1350 $1,695 $1.26 43d 1 0.66mi
2521 W McNichols Rd Unit B2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,250 $0.96 43d 1 0.91mi
16503 Linwood St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2415 $1,800 $0.75 3d 1 0.93mi
64 Glendale St Highland Park, MI 4.0 1.0 1464 $1,500 $1.02 10d 1 1.18mi
574 W Golden Gate Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1315 $1,300 $0.99 43d 1 1.18mi
168 Beresford St Highland Park, MI 4.0 1.0 1541 $1,475 $0.96 17d 1 1.19mi
16834 Fairfield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1516 $1,363 $0.90 24d 1 1.30mi
101 Colorado St Unit NA Highland Park, MI 4.0 1.5 1695 $1,500 $0.88 24d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 118 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 117 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 116 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 115 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 113 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 109 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 108 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 107 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,900 Active 104 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 103 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 102 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 101 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 100 DOM
  14. 2026-02-19
    listed $119,900 Active 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    GEM IN THE HEART OF HIGHLAND PARK! This spacious colonial with SUPERB curb appeal is ready for an investor or homebuyer with a vision! With a little TLC, this is an opportunity to invest in one of the most prominent neighborhoods in Highland Park. With a 2-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 1700+ sqft, a true visionary can turn this house into a masterpiece! Priced for as-is sale, subject to probate court approval.

  15. 2026-02-19
    listed $119,900 Active 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    GEM IN THE HEART OF HIGHLAND PARK! This spacious colonial with SUPERB curb appeal is ready for an investor or homebuyer with a vision! With a little TLC, this is an opportunity to invest in one of the most prominent neighborhoods in Highland Park. With a 2-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 1700+ sqft, a true visionary can turn this house into a masterpiece! Priced for as-is sale, subject to probate court approval.

  16. 2012-10-05
    soldstatus $5,700
  17. 2012-10-05
    soldstatus $5,700
  18. 2012-09-17
    historical
  19. 2012-08-07
    listed $10,000
  20. 2012-08-07
    listed $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$616 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,231 · $103/mo
Expected delta
+$615/yr (+$51/mo · 99.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,180
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$616
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,374
− Management
−$1,374
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$3,012
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$723
After-tax cash flow
$4,089/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Highland Park

Score
73/100
State rank
#214
US rank
#5271

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Highland Park, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,049
Household income
$38,404
Rent vs Own
48.7% rent · 51.3% own
Severe rent burden
1192.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -90.13%
Current HPI
297.0176
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1099.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2012-10-05 Sold (MLS) $5,700 REALCOMP
  • 2012-10-05 Sold (MLS) $5,700 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-09-17 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-08-07 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP
  • 2012-08-07 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $616 · -21.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…