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7625 Satterfield Ter 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 37.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$367,660

7625 Satterfield Ter · Ruskin, FL 34219
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,840 sqft · Land · 160 Days on market
Built 2026 6,120 sqft lot $12/mo HOA ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Foxglove floorplan showcases a spacious open-concept layout with 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. The open kitchen overlooks a generous great room and dining area, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining

Key facts

  • Fitness center
  • Community pool
  • Sports courts

Tags

ENERGY EFFICIENT HOMEOPEN CONCEPT LAYOUTCOMMUNITY POOLFITNESS CENTERSPORTS COURTSPLAYGROUND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Home warranty included; Lease restrictions: None indicated
  • Financial info: Other annual assessment: $2,844
  • HOA & community: HOA with monthly fee of $12.50 (annual $150) managed by Home River Group; Association amenities: Basketball court, Pickleball court(s); Community features: Deed restrictions, Fitness center, Playground, Pool, Street lights; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage (18x20); Driveway
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Under construction (projected completion January 9, 2026); Faces northeast; Residential property
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; New construction; Built by Meritage Homes (Builder model: Foxglove)
  • Exterior features: Patio; Sidewalk; Asphalt road; Public maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Walk-in closet(s); Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Irrigation equipment

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $368k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-131 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $344k (6.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $291k (20.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $291k (20.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.7% in Ruskin — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#392 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute B+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Annie Lucy Williams Elementary School (math 80% / reading 73%, grade A, #185 of 2,144 statewide, top 9%, 798 students, 31% FRL); Parrish Community High School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade D+, #160 of 667 statewide, top 25%, 2,017 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 32% FRL vs 51% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 64% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Manatee average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 2170 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($114k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($324k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $291,452 (20.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.86%
Cash-on-cash
-1.53%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.1%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-76,514
Equity at exit
$54,819
10-year hold
IRR
-25.3%
Equity multiple
-0.07×
Total profit
$-110,506
Equity at exit
$31,789

Cash invested: $102,945 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34219

Home prices YoY
-23.7%
Rents YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
2170
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,915 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,928
Tax from tax record
$341 /mo · $4,088/yr
Insurance
$153
HOA
$12
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$612
Net cashflow
$-131

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,081
Max offer price $344,434
Occupancy floor 100%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$91,915
Closing costs
$11,030
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7148 Boggy Creek Pl Parrish, FL 3.0 2.0 1269 $1,929 $1.52 3d 1 0.38mi
13089 Oak Hill Way Parrish, FL 5.0 3.0 2471 $2,650 $1.07 23d 1 0.74mi
8850 Ginko Run Parrish, FL 3.0 2.5 1691 $2,600 $1.54 16d 1 0.99mi
12930 Oak Hill Way Parrish, FL 5.0 3.0 2453 $2,679 $1.09 21d 1 1.02mi
12484 Oak Hill Way Parrish, FL 3.0 2.0 1518 $2,600 $1.71 23d 1 1.13mi
6915 Indus Valley Cir Parrish, FL 3.0 3.0 2461 $2,695 $1.10 10d 1 1.23mi
12573 Oak Hill Way Parrish, FL 3.0 2.0 1518 $2,500 $1.65 3d 1 1.27mi
6969 Indus Valley Cir Parrish, FL 3.0 3.0 2461 $2,695 $1.10 10d 1 1.32mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$12 · $144/yr

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $367,660 Pending 160 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $367,660 Active 160 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $367,660 Active 159 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $367,660 Active 158 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $367,660 Active 156 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $367,660 Active 155 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $367,660 Active 153 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $367,660 Active 152 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $367,660 Active 151 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $367,660 Active 150 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $367,660 Active 146 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $367,660 Active 145 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $367,660 Active 144 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $367,660 Active 143 DOM
  15. 2026-05-23
    price $367,660 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    The Foxglove floorplan showcases a spacious open-concept layout with 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. The open kitchen overlooks a generous great room and dining area, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining

  16. 2026-05-15
    price $367,660
  17. 2026-04-25
    status Active 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    The Foxglove floorplan showcases a spacious open-concept layout with 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. The open kitchen overlooks a generous great room and dining area, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining

  18. 2026-04-25
    historical 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    The Foxglove floorplan showcases a spacious open-concept layout with 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. The open kitchen overlooks a generous great room and dining area, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining

  19. 2026-02-20
    price $372,660 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    The Foxglove floorplan showcases a spacious open-concept layout with 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. The open kitchen overlooks a generous great room and dining area, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining

  20. 2026-02-19
    price $372,660
  21. 2026-01-31
    price $376,660 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    The Foxglove floorplan showcases a spacious open-concept layout with 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. The open kitchen overlooks a generous great room and dining area, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining

  22. 2026-01-29
    price $376,660
  23. 2026-01-11
    price $377,660 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    The Foxglove floorplan showcases a spacious open-concept layout with 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. The open kitchen overlooks a generous great room and dining area, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining

  24. 2026-01-08
    listed $377,660 Active
  25. 2026-01-01
    status Active 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    The Foxglove floorplan showcases a spacious open-concept layout with 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. The open kitchen overlooks a generous great room and dining area, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining

  26. 2026-01-01
    price $382,660 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    The Foxglove floorplan showcases a spacious open-concept layout with 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. The open kitchen overlooks a generous great room and dining area, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining

  27. 2025-10-24
    historical 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    The Foxglove floorplan showcases a spacious open-concept layout with 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. The open kitchen overlooks a generous great room and dining area, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining

  28. 2025-10-22
    listed $392,660 Active 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    The Foxglove floorplan showcases a spacious open-concept layout with 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. The open kitchen overlooks a generous great room and dining area, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,088 · $341/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,088 · $341/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,974
− Mortgage interest
−$20,595
− Property taxes
−$4,088
− Insurance
−$1,838
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,798
− Management
−$2,798
− HOA
−$144
− Depreciation
−$10,696
Taxable loss
−$7,983
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,916
After-tax cash flow
$338/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manatee
NCES district ID
1201230
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,607
Composite
44.43/100
National rank
#2806
State rank
#26 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ruskin

Score
71/100
State rank
#392
US rank
#6879

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Manatee County · 416,364 people
City population
33,319
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,296
Household income
$113,773
Rent vs Own
8.1% rent · 91.9% own
Severe rent burden
219.0

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,342 people
By 2030
488,911 · +9.3%
By 2040
567,934 · +27.0%
By 2050
637,995 · +42.6%
By 2075
781,970 · +74.8%
By 2100
848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Hispanic 2% Russian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.45%
Current HPI
271.7131
Rent YoY
▼ -0.95%
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.4% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Price Changed $367,660 Zillow
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $367,660 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-25 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-25 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $372,660 Zillow
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $372,660 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-31 Price Changed $376,660 Zillow
  • 2026-01-29 Price Changed $376,660 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-11 Price Changed $377,660 Zillow
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $377,660 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-01 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-01-01 Price Changed $382,660 Zillow
  • 2025-10-24 Delisted Zillow
  • 2025-10-22 Listed $392,660 Zillow

Property tax history

+670.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,088 · +670.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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