942 Central Ave W · St. Paul, MN
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$287,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to 942 Central! A nicely updated exterior (w/new roof, gutters & bd windows) greets you as walk up to the front door. The spacious front porch has brand new lighting & floor coverings which provide a great space for relaxing after a hard days work. As you step through the front door, you will immediately notice the beautifully refinished oak hardwood floors, freshly painted walls & functional design, as the ML flows nicely from LR to DR to KIT with ease. The KIT has an abundance of cabinetry, new counter-tops, vinyl flrs, fresh paint & hardware. The UL features 2 BDs, both w/hardwood floors, 2 closets in each, & a fully updated BA which was renovated in 2021! The LL includes a recently added 3rd BD, NEW ¾ BA, A/C unit (installed just a few weeks ago) & Furnace which was replaced in 2021. BRAND NEW COPPER WATER LINE from street to house was also replaced/installed in APRIL 2024! NO LEAD! The Sizable fenced-in backyard & large 2-car garage complete this wonderful home!
Key facts
- Newer roof
- Bedroom windows
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached 2-car garage (22x22)
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; One and one-half story; Front entry with porch
- Construction: Block foundation; Roof replaced within last 8 years; Built area includes above-grade and below-grade finished space
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Wood fencing; Light tree coverage; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with window; Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (one on the lower level, two on the upper level)
- Bathrooms: One full bath on upper level; One 3/4 bath in basement
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished full basement with egress window(s); Separate/formal dining room; Natural woodwork; Kitchen window; Front porch
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Washer/Dryer hookup; Utility room in lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $288k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $904 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $288k).
- Recommended offer: $283k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 191 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,566/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 2116% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($283k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.48%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.5% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $9,221
- Equity at exit
- $42,867
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $74,963
- Equity at exit
- $24,858
Cash invested: $80,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55104
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,566 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,508
- Tax from tax record
- −$285 /mo · $3,422/yr
- Insurance
- −$120
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$749
- Net cashflow
- $904
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,875
- Closing costs
- $8,625
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 695 Grand Ave Saint Paul, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1130 | $5,795 | $5.13 | 17d | 10 | 1.02mi |
| 255 Western Ave N Saint Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1049 | $3,700 | $3.53 | 1d | 23 | 1.17mi |
| 1555 Selby Ave Saint Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1129 | $4,398 | $3.90 | 2d | 7 | 1.33mi |
| 150 Snelling Ave N St Paul, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 741 | $2,598 | $3.51 | 1d | 8 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $287,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $287,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $287,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $287,500 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $287,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $300,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $300,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $300,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $300,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $300,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $300,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $300,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $300,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$300,000 Active
-
2024-06-12soldstatus $269,000
-
2024-06-07soldstatus $269,000 Sold 1029-char remark
Show marketing remark (1029 chars)
Welcome home to 942 Central! A nicely updated exterior (w/new roof, gutters & bd windows) greets you as walk up to the front door. The spacious front porch has brand new lighting & floor coverings which provide a great space for relaxing after a hard days work. As you step through the front door, you will immediately notice the beautifully refinished oak hardwood floors, freshly painted walls & functional design, as the ML flows nicely from LR to DR to KIT with ease. The KIT has an abundance of cabinetry, new counter-tops, vinyl flrs, fresh paint & hardware. The UL features 2 BDs, both w/hardwood floors, 2 closets in each, & a fully updated BA which was renovated in 2021! The LL includes a recently added 3rd BD, NEW ¾ BA, A/C unit (installed just a few weeks ago) & Furnace which was replaced in 2021. BRAND NEW COPPER WATER LINE from street to house was also replaced/installed in APRIL 2024! NO LEAD! The Sizable fenced-in backyard & large 2-car garage complete this wonderful home!
-
2024-04-23status Pending 1029-char remark
Show marketing remark (1029 chars)
Welcome home to 942 Central! A nicely updated exterior (w/new roof, gutters & bd windows) greets you as walk up to the front door. The spacious front porch has brand new lighting & floor coverings which provide a great space for relaxing after a hard days work. As you step through the front door, you will immediately notice the beautifully refinished oak hardwood floors, freshly painted walls & functional design, as the ML flows nicely from LR to DR to KIT with ease. The KIT has an abundance of cabinetry, new counter-tops, vinyl flrs, fresh paint & hardware. The UL features 2 BDs, both w/hardwood floors, 2 closets in each, & a fully updated BA which was renovated in 2021! The LL includes a recently added 3rd BD, NEW ¾ BA, A/C unit (installed just a few weeks ago) & Furnace which was replaced in 2021. BRAND NEW COPPER WATER LINE from street to house was also replaced/installed in APRIL 2024! NO LEAD! The Sizable fenced-in backyard & large 2-car garage complete this wonderful home!
-
2024-04-18$250,000 Active 1029-char remark
Show marketing remark (1029 chars)
Welcome home to 942 Central! A nicely updated exterior (w/new roof, gutters & bd windows) greets you as walk up to the front door. The spacious front porch has brand new lighting & floor coverings which provide a great space for relaxing after a hard days work. As you step through the front door, you will immediately notice the beautifully refinished oak hardwood floors, freshly painted walls & functional design, as the ML flows nicely from LR to DR to KIT with ease. The KIT has an abundance of cabinetry, new counter-tops, vinyl flrs, fresh paint & hardware. The UL features 2 BDs, both w/hardwood floors, 2 closets in each, & a fully updated BA which was renovated in 2021! The LL includes a recently added 3rd BD, NEW ¾ BA, A/C unit (installed just a few weeks ago) & Furnace which was replaced in 2021. BRAND NEW COPPER WATER LINE from street to house was also replaced/installed in APRIL 2024! NO LEAD! The Sizable fenced-in backyard & large 2-car garage complete this wonderful home!
-
2024-04-13historical $250,000 1029-char remark
Show marketing remark (1029 chars)
Welcome home to 942 Central! A nicely updated exterior (w/new roof, gutters & bd windows) greets you as walk up to the front door. The spacious front porch has brand new lighting & floor coverings which provide a great space for relaxing after a hard days work. As you step through the front door, you will immediately notice the beautifully refinished oak hardwood floors, freshly painted walls & functional design, as the ML flows nicely from LR to DR to KIT with ease. The KIT has an abundance of cabinetry, new counter-tops, vinyl flrs, fresh paint & hardware. The UL features 2 BDs, both w/hardwood floors, 2 closets in each, & a fully updated BA which was renovated in 2021! The LL includes a recently added 3rd BD, NEW ¾ BA, A/C unit (installed just a few weeks ago) & Furnace which was replaced in 2021. BRAND NEW COPPER WATER LINE from street to house was also replaced/installed in APRIL 2024! NO LEAD! The Sizable fenced-in backyard & large 2-car garage complete this wonderful home!
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2023-01-12historical
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2022-09-29price $249,900
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2022-09-19price $257,900
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2022-08-25$265,000 Active
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2022-08-24historical
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2021-05-20soldstatus $198,000
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2021-05-07soldstatus $198,000 Sold
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2021-04-23status Pending
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2021-04-08$189,999 Active
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2021-03-30historical $189,999
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2003-01-21soldstatus $113,000
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2001-09-05soldstatus $113,000
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2001-07-20historical
-
2001-06-29$110,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,422 · $285/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,422 · $285/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,787
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,104
- − Property taxes
- −$3,422
- − Insurance
- −$1,438
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,423
- − Management
- −$3,423
- − Depreciation
- −$8,364
- Taxable income
- $6,613
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,587
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,263/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Paul Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733840
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,316
- Composite
- 23.51/100
- National rank
- #7868
- State rank
- #270 of 301 in MN
Livability — St. Paul
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Paul, MN
- County
- Ramsey County · 542,837 people
- City population
- 280,599
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,762
- Household income
- $75,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2116.0
Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 603,431 people
- By 2030
- 636,459 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 700,596 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 765,819 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 929,297 · +54.0%
- By 2100
- 1,053,924 · +74.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 19% Two or more races 10% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -532.26%
- Current HPI
- 245.6146
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.50%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+172.7% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $300,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $269,000 Public Records
- 2024-06-07 Sold (MLS) $269,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-23 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-18 Listed $250,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-13 Coming Soon $250,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-12 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-29 Price Changed $249,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-19 Price Changed $257,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-25 Listed $265,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-24 Coming Soon — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $198,000 Public Records
- 2021-05-07 Sold (MLS) $198,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-23 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-08 Listed $189,999 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-30 Coming Soon $189,999 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $113,000 Public Records
- 2001-09-05 Sold (MLS) $113,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-07-20 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-06-29 Listed $110,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,422 · +9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…