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6971 Massachusetts St
D- Composite 38.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.7/30.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.4/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

6971 Massachusetts St · Merrillville, IN 46410
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,323 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 2003 8,102 sqft lot Est $210k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home tucked away on a quiet dead-end street in Merrillville, offering a blend of privacy and convenience. With one-level living, a spacious yard, and a 2-car garage, this home delivers comfort and functionality. Inside, the living room is anchored by a cozy gas fireplace and flows into the dining area with charming built-in features. The eat-in kitchen offers plenty of cabinet space and room to gather, making everyday living and entertaining easy. Major updates have already been completed, including a new refrigerator, newer furnace and A/C, and a newer tankless water heater. A whole-home generator adds peace of mind.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Cozy gas fireplace
  • One-level living

Tags

QUIET DEAD-END STREETONE-LEVEL LIVINGSPACIOUS YARDCOZY GAS FIREPLACECHARMING BUILT-IN FEATURESPLENTY OF CABINET SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $57 ($686/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (21.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $177k (21.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.7% in Merrillville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#50 in IN, #3,393 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety D-.
  • Merrillville Community School Corporation (suburban): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #240 of 301 in IN (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Henry P Fieler Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #862 of 994 statewide, top 88%, 447 students, 80% FRL); Pierce Middle School (math 18% / reading 37%, grade F, #230 of 330 statewide, top 71%, 919 students, 70% FRL); Merrillville High School (math 19% / reading 55%, grade F, #247 of 369 statewide, top 70%, 2,042 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 50% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 272 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $177,499 (21.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.60%
Cash-on-cash
1.09%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$210,357
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6701 Madison St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+6%) 3mo $249,999 $179 67
6833 Tyler St 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,332 (+1%) 2mo $165,000 $124 65
7130 Delaware St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,242 (-6%) 7mo $254,000 $205 64
6925 Broadway 0.06mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,502 (+14%) 5mo $175,000 $117 62
764 W 70th Pl 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,332 (+1%) 8mo $225,000 $169 62
6709 Jefferson St 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,188 (-10%) 4mo $161,300 $136 58
7152 Carolina St 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,388 (+5%) 9mo $230,000 $166 58
46 E 66th Pl 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,180 (-11%) 2mo $188,000 $159 53
754 W 67th Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,416 (+7%) 2mo $194,500 $137 51
6772 Adams St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,125 (-15%) 8mo $165,000 $147 50
6767 Van Buren St 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,196 (-10%) 10mo $205,000 $171 50
6813 Tyler St 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,440 (+9%) 4mo $148,000 $103 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-30,934
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-3.3%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-14,327
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46410

Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
272
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,775 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $857/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$373
Net cashflow
$57

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,703
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $185 -5% $121 +0% $57 +5% $-6 +10% $-70
Rent -10% $-83 -5% $-13 +0% $57 +5% $127 +10% $197
Rate -1.0pp $170 -0.5pp $114 base $57 +0.5pp $-1 +1.0pp $-60

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
330 E 69th Pl Merrillville, IN 3.0 1.5 1482 $1,850 $1.25 3d 1 0.19mi
7104 Broadway Merrillville, IN 2.0 1.0–2.0 1000 $1,308 $1.31 0d 1 0.22mi
6850 Van Buren Pl Merrillville, IN 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,795 $1.60 22d 1 0.53mi
6839 Harrison St Merrillville, IN 3.0 1.0 1128 $1,650 $1.46 14d 1 0.56mi
6195 Glen Dr Merrillville, IN 3.0 1.0 1354 $1,800 $1.33 0d 1 1.05mi
691 W 77th Ave Unit 691 Merrillville, IN 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,300 $1.77 9d 1 1.13mi
6004 Virginia St Merrillville, IN 3.0 2.5 1544 $1,800 $1.17 0d 1 1.23mi
5850 Pennsylvania St Merrillville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0 826 $1,195 $1.45 0d 4 1.37mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-23
    listed $225,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$857 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,385 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$528/yr (+$44/mo · 61.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,300
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$857
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,704
− Management
−$1,704
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$3,239
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$777
After-tax cash flow
$1,464/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Merrillville Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1809690
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$54,401
Composite
25.74/100
National rank
#7375
State rank
#240 of 301 in IN

Livability — Merrillville

Score
76/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#3393

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Merrillville, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
39,243
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
39,243
Household income
$64,127
Rent vs Own
34.0% rent · 66.0% own
Severe rent burden
1644.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 46% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -180.11%
Current HPI
240.8833
Rent YoY
▲ 4.10%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $225,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-1.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $857 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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