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28 Larkspur Ave
A- Composite 80.04
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

28 Larkspur Ave · North Auburn, CA 95603
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · Manufactured · 33 Days on market
Built 1966 Good condition Est $114k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Comfortable, easy living in an all-age community! Situated on a corner lot with sunny, local views, this clean and well-maintained home offers approximately 1,100 sq. ft. of open and inviting living space with a spacious floor plan designed for everyday comfort and a seamless indoor/outdoor flow. Features include central heating and air conditioning, optional rooftop cooling, a newer double oven, gas stove, and abundant storage throughout. The spacious kitchen, dining, living room combo is the perfect gathering spot for entertaining and sizable enough for a crowd. Enjoy cool mornings and shaded evenings on the large covered patio - a great spot for enjoying nature, bird watching or spending

Key facts

  • Central heating
  • Air conditioning
  • Spacious floor plan

Tags

CORNER LOTOPEN LIVING SPACESPACIOUS FLOOR PLANINDOOR OUTDOOR FLOWCENTRAL HEATINGAIR CONDITIONING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Auburn, CA 95603 at 28 Larkspur Ave (inside Edgewood Mobile Village); Directions: From Hwy 49, take Edgewood Road to Edgewood Mobile Village. Inside the park take first left onto Larkspur Ave and continue to the end; home is on the left corner of Larkspur.
  • Financial info: Land lease not required (listed as No); noted land lease amount entry present
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned covered parking
  • Utilities: Cable and internet available; Natural gas connected; Generator for electric; Public sewer; Public water via water district
  • Home design: Manufactured home in a park (double wide); Built in 1966
  • Construction: Metal roof; Vinyl skirting; Crusader make (manufactured home)
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Shed(s) on the property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in electric oven; Gas cooktop; Hood over range; Free-standing refrigerator; Dishwasher; Microwave; Garbage disposal; Pantry cabinet and island
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Bathrooms include tub with shower over and separate shower stall(s)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Evaporative cooler; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Carpeted porch steps with a covered, railed deck; Dual-pane partial windows; Great room with attached deck; Pantry cabinet and kitchen island; Synthetic kitchen counters; Dining bar and dining/living combo; formal dining area; Pets allowed
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room with washer and dryer included; Dryer is electric

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $945 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 2.6% in North Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#519 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A-, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Placer Union High (suburban): math 39% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #98 of 517 in CA (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 205 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,535 units permitted in Placer County in 2024 (689 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Placer County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $92,150 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.13%
Cap rate
18.23%
Cash-on-cash
42.62%
DSCR
2.90
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$114,400
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
99 Marigold Ave #99 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,052 (-4%) 0mo $125,000 $119 87
85 Primrose Ave 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,100 (0%) 14mo $155,000 $141 85
108 Marigold 0.11mi 2/2.0 1,000 (-9%) 10mo $120,000 $120 72
110 Marigold Ave #110 0.11mi 3/— (+1) 1,190 (+8%) 6mo $140,000 $118 71
107 Marigold Ave 0.13mi 2/2.0 1,200 (+9%) 15mo $92,000 $77 66
1514 Cottonwood Cir #8 0.53mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+5%) 5mo $99,000 $86 63
12202 Hemlock Dr 0.59mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+5%) 6mo $120,000 $104 60
1608 Spruce Ct 0.60mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+5%) 10mo $125,000 $109 56
1605 Grass Valley Hwy #84 0.27mi 2/2.0 1,246 (+13%) 14mo $125,000 $100 54
12366 Pepperwood Cir #182 0.65mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+14%) 3mo $110,000 $88 45
12207 Hemlock Dr #99 0.62mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+14%) 10mo $120,000 $96 41
1604 Spruce Ct #95 0.60mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+14%) 16mo $109,000 $87 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.6%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$43,471
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
44.8%
Equity multiple
5.14×
Total profit
$110,045
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95603

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
205
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,027 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax est. 1.5%
$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$426
Net cashflow
$945

Break-even live

Break-even rent $831
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,010 -5% $978 +0% $945 +5% $912 +10% $879
Rent -10% $785 -5% $865 +0% $945 +5% $1,025 +10% $1,105
Rate -1.0pp $993 -0.5pp $969 base $945 +0.5pp $920 +1.0pp $895

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11754 Jones St Unit 11754 Auburn, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,595 $2.28 4d 1 1.05mi
11752 Jones St Unit 11752 Auburn, CA 2.0 1.0 815 $1,795 $2.20 11d 1 1.05mi
731 Mikkelsen Dr Auburn, CA 2.0 2.0 1006 $2,150 $2.14 2d 1 1.16mi
327 Nevada St Apt 4 Auburn, CA 1.0 1.0 800 $1,350 $1.69 2d 1 1.18mi
630 Shockley Rd Auburn, CA 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,495 $2.27 2d 1 1.29mi
560 Landis Cir Auburn, CA 2.0 1.0 1188 $2,550 $2.15 2d 1 1.36mi
203 E Electric St Auburn, CA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,625 $1.48 2d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $95,000 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 12 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 41 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,323
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,425
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,946
− Management
−$1,946
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$10,446
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,507
After-tax cash flow
$8,830/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with a clean and well-maintained interior and exterior. It is ready for a fresh coat of paint to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Placer Union High
NCES district ID
0630750
Math proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$69,119
Composite
49.04/100
National rank
#2060
State rank
#98 of 517 in CA

Livability — North Auburn

Score
61/100
State rank
#519
US rank
#17512

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment A- Housing A- Health & safety C User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Auburn, CA
County
Placer County · 390,510 people
City population
28,195
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
28,432
Household income
$85,357
Rent vs Own
30.4% rent · 69.6% own
Severe rent burden
1017.0

Population outlook (Placer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
422,709 people
By 2030
444,249 · +5.1%
By 2040
480,192 · +13.6%
By 2050
506,390 · +19.8%
By 2075
550,219 · +30.2%
By 2100
547,760 · +29.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Placer

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.5) · D 44.3% · R 52.8% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+2.8pp toward D · 2008: -11.3pp · 2024: -8.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.5 2020: R+6.7 2016: R+11.3 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+11.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -500.89%
Current HPI
251.4573
Rent YoY
▲ 2.34%
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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