9711 12th Avenue Ct E #1 · Midland, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$128,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 9711 12th Ave Ct. E. #1 Tacoma WA 98445 at Midland Meadows. This quaint 55+ community offers convenience, style and comfort. Space rent is $650 and includes water and sewer. Stunning upgrades throughout this 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home includes, but not limited to, New Roof, New appliances (dishwasher and stove), New Kitchen Cabinets, Countertops and much more. Freshly painted inside and out makes this a truly "MUST SEE" opportunity. Financing is available.
Key facts
- Freshly painted
- New appliances
- New kitchen cabinets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential manufactured home; Style: Double wide manufactured; Calculated living area: 1,080; Energy source: Electric; Storage: 1 storage unit located in driveway
- Financial info: Land lease: $650/month; Accepts Cash and Conventional financing
- HOA & community: Located in Midland Meadows mobile home park; Park is approved for sale; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Driveway storage available
- Utilities: Electric power; Public water (paid by park); Public sewer (paid by park); Power provided by TPU
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home (Stratford); Updated/remodeled condition; One level; Mobile home remains in place
- Construction: Metal/vinyl and wood construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Metal/vinyl and wood exterior; Patio/porch/deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl plank flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 three-quarter bath; 1 bathtub; 2 showers
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Dining room; Kitchen with eating space; Vaulted ceilings; Double pane windows
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $128k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $637 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 3.2% in Midland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#208 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F.
- Franklin Pierce School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #197 of 291 in WA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Central Avenue Elementary (379 students, 58% FRL); Morris Ford Middle School (882 students, 64% FRL); Franklin Pierce High School (1,141 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 237 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $885 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $11k; list at $128k implies a 1038% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.34%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $136,080
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9711 12th Avenue Ct E #1 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (0%) | 1mo | $128,000 | $119 | 100 |
| 9713 12th Avenue Ct E #2 | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,071 (-1%) | 14mo | $95,000 | $89 | 81 |
| 9803 12th Avenue Ct E | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,148 (+6%) | 16mo | $145,000 | $126 | 70 |
| 2004 95th St E | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 | 1,188 (+10%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $307 | 58 |
| 9526 20th Avenue Ct E | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,026 (-5%) | 22mo | $345,000 | $336 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $18,080
- Equity at exit
- $19,085
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $60,871
- Equity at exit
- $11,067
Cash invested: $35,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98445
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 237
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,883 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$671
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,509/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$395
- Net cashflow
- $637
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $710 | -5% $674 | +0% $637 | +5% $601 | +10% $565 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $489 | -5% $563 | +0% $637 | +5% $712 | +10% $786 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $702 | -0.5pp $670 | base $637 | +0.5pp $604 | +1.0pp $571 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,000
- Closing costs
- $3,840
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1111 99th Street Ct E Tacoma, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,450 | $1.87 | 45d | 4 | 0.19mi |
| 1106 106th St E Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,175 | $1.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 319 104th St E Tacoma, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $2,285 | $2.31 | 6d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 137 99th Street Ct E Tacoma, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,397 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1017 110th Street Ct E Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 902 | $1,762 | $1.95 | 6d | 3 | 0.89mi |
| 8412 E McKinley Ave Unit 7 Tacoma, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,150 | $1.47 | 26d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 8402 E McKinley Ave Unit Iola Apartments-6 Tacoma, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,150 | $1.64 | 26d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1015 112th St E Tacoma, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 833 | $1,938 | $2.33 | 4d | 15 | 0.95mi |
| 11012 Portland Ave E Tacoma, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1260 | $2,408 | $1.91 | 0d | 12 | 0.96mi |
| 806 112th St E Parkland, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 416 111th St Ct E Tacoma, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $2,038 | $2.20 | 0d | 50 | 1.09mi |
| 1817 80th St E Tacoma, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $3,200 | $2.69 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 11302 10th Avenue Ct E Tacoma, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 869 | $2,037 | $2.34 | 6d | 16 | 1.18mi |
| 8445 Pacific Ave Tacoma, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 820 | $1,975 | $2.41 | 1d | 2 | 1.22mi |
| 10910 22nd Avenue Ct E Unit Jkt Tacoma, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $2,200 | $1.52 | 26d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 8624 Pacific Ave S Apt 6 Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,475 | $1.64 | 4d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 150 S 84th St Unit B Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 4d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1018 76 Street Ct E Apt C Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 866 | $1,550 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 908 76th Street Ct E Tacoma, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1065 | $1,699 | $1.60 | 1d | 4 | 1.30mi |
| 605 98th St S Tacoma, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1320 | $2,800 | $2.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 8402 S C St Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1058 | $1,886 | $1.78 | 1d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2621 80th St E Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $2,100 | $2.15 | 6d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 7412 Golden Given Rd E Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 730 | $1,588 | $2.17 | 6d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 8015 Pacific Ave Unit 20 Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,995 | $1.81 | 26d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 913 75th St E Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,525 | $1.83 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 908 74th St E Unit VASU**908-B Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,450 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 10925 Park Ave S Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 709 | $1,775 | $2.50 | 26d | 5 | 1.47mi |
| 10925 Park Ave S Tacoma, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 838 | $1,880 | $2.24 | 0d | 7 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-05-11$128,000 Active
-
2013-05-15historical
-
2013-05-11soldstatus $11,250 Sold
-
2013-05-07status Pending
-
2013-04-10$11,250 Active
-
2013-04-08historical
-
2013-04-07soldstatus $9,113 Sold
-
2013-03-12price $9,950
-
2013-03-04price $14,000
-
2012-11-08price $17,000
-
2012-11-07$22,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,509 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,509 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,599
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,170
- − Property taxes
- −$1,509
- − Insurance
- −$640
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,808
- − Management
- −$1,808
- − Depreciation
- −$3,724
- Taxable income
- $5,940
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,426
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,223/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin Pierce School District
- NCES district ID
- 5302940
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,240
- Composite
- 39.18/100
- National rank
- #8227
- State rank
- #197 of 291 in WA
Livability — Midland
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #208
- US rank
- #5731
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Midland, WA
- County
- Pierce County · 788,257 people
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,684
- Household income
- $92,520
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1085.0
Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 956,648 people
- By 2030
- 1,010,862 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,113,170 · +16.4%
- By 2050
- 1,206,524 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,436,425 · +50.2%
- By 2100
- 1,563,654 · +63.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Two or more races 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 10% Asian 6% Native American 4% Pacific Islander 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pierce
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -471.23%
- Current HPI
- 316.202
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+468.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Listed $128,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-05-15 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-05-11 Sold (MLS) $11,250 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-05-07 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-10 Listed $11,250 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-08 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-07 Sold (MLS) $9,113 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-03-12 Price Changed $9,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-03-04 Price Changed $14,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-11-08 Price Changed $17,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-11-07 Listed $22,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2026): $1,509 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…