CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
313 Cedar St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 77.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$35,000

313 Cedar St · Williams, IA 50271
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,590 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 70 Days on market
Built 1907 $22/sqft · 72% below area ↓ 42% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity knocks in Williams. 313 Cedar St offers a chance for the right buyer to step in and create value. This property has experienced a recent fire and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for a project. With a footprint already in place and utilities on site, the groundwork is there for renovation or potential rebuild. Whether you're looking to restore, reimagine, or start fresh, this property presents a blank canvas with upside. RVM value is $115-130,000 once repairs are done. Bring your vision and turn this into your next successful project. Cash offers only - tenant occupied must give 24 hours notice. Call your local agent to shedule your appointment!

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1907
  • Listed 69 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $35,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$122,914) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $726 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $33k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#678 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Webster City Community School District (town): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #250 of 289 in IA (top 86%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Webster City Middle School (math 64% / reading 58%, grade B+, #181 of 246 statewide, top 74%, 455 students, 52% FRL); Webster City High School (math 55% / reading 64%, grade C+, #263 of 336 statewide, top 81%, 547 students, 44% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
  • Hamilton County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $32,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.48%
Cap rate
31.17%
Cash-on-cash
88.86%
DSCR
4.95
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$122,914
List price
$35,000
Delta
-71.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
209 Locust St 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,716 (+8%) 4mo $88,500 $52 70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
93.4%
Equity multiple
6.22×
Total profit
$51,128
Equity at exit
$16,460
10-year hold
IRR
92.7%
Equity multiple
12.88×
Total profit
$116,436
Equity at exit
$25,943

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50271

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,218 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $464/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$726

Break-even live

Break-even rent $300
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 35%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $745 -5% $736 +0% $726 +5% $716 +10% $706
Rent -10% $629 -5% $678 +0% $726 +5% $774 +10% $822
Rate -1.0pp $743 -0.5pp $735 base $726 +0.5pp $717 +1.0pp $707

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $35,000 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,000 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,000 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,000 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,000 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $35,000 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $35,000 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $35,000 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,000 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,000 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $35,000 Active 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $35,000 Active 53 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,000 Active 52 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,000 Active 51 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $35,000 Active 50 DOM
  16. 2026-04-15
    price $35,000 712-char remark
    Show marketing remark (712 chars)

    Opportunity knocks in Williams. 313 Cedar St offers a chance for the right buyer to step in and create value. This property has experienced a recent fire and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for a project. With a footprint already in place and utilities on site, the groundwork is there for renovation or potential rebuild. Whether you're looking to restore, reimagine, or start fresh, this property presents a blank canvas with upside. RVM value is $115-130,000 once repairs are done. Bring your vision and turn this into your next successful project. Cash offers only - tenant occupied must give 24 hours notice. Call your local agent to shedule your appointment!

  17. 2026-04-10
    listed $40,000 Active 712-char remark
    Show marketing remark (712 chars)

    Opportunity knocks in Williams. 313 Cedar St offers a chance for the right buyer to step in and create value. This property has experienced a recent fire and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for a project. With a footprint already in place and utilities on site, the groundwork is there for renovation or potential rebuild. Whether you're looking to restore, reimagine, or start fresh, this property presents a blank canvas with upside. RVM value is $115-130,000 once repairs are done. Bring your vision and turn this into your next successful project. Cash offers only - tenant occupied must give 24 hours notice. Call your local agent to shedule your appointment!

  18. 2014-02-06
    soldstatus $60,670

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$464 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$507 · $42/mo
Expected delta
+$43/yr (+$4/mo · 9.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,619
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$464
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,170
− Management
−$1,170
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$8,663
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,079
After-tax cash flow
$6,629/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Webster City Community School District
NCES district ID
1930630
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$45,510
Composite
50.65/100
National rank
#1831
State rank
#250 of 289 in IA

Livability — Williams

Score
63/100
State rank
#678
US rank
#15727

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Williams, IA
City population
594
Population (ZIP)
594

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,602 people
By 2030
14,210 · -2.7%
By 2040
13,312 · -8.8%
By 2050
12,469 · -14.6%
By 2075
11,449 · -21.6%
By 2100
10,806 · -26.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Iranian 4% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.3) · D 32.8% · R 66.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: 1.3pp · 2024: -33.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.3 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+2.7 2008: D+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.36%
Current HPI
160.504
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-42.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $35,000 DMMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $40,000 DMMLS
  • 2014-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $60,670 Public Records

Property tax history

-7.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $464 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…