126 N 500 E #12 · Vernal, UT 84078

$89,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,450 sqft · Manufactured · 46 Days on market

Built 1981 Good condition 4,356 sqft lot ↓ 23% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +3.5/5.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Spacious Double-Wide family home with fully fenced back and front yard. New roof installed in 2023. Washer and Dryer included. Future residents will need to submit an application to East Meadows. Lot rent is $480 monthly; covers water, sewer and trash. Motivated Seller. Financing available through Security National Mortgage and Kings Peak Lending.

Key facts

• New roof installed
• 4,356 sq ft lot
• 3 parking spots

Tags

• FULLY FENCED BACK YARD
• FULLY FENCED FRONT YARD
• NEW ROOF INSTALLED

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Zoned Single-Family; Current use: Residential; Approximately 1,450 above-grade finished area
• HOA & community: Located in East Meadows Mobile Home Park; Subdivision: EAST MEADOWS MOBILE HOME PARK

Exterior

• Parking: Uncovered open parking; Three total parking spaces (all open)
• Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Culinary water connected
• Home design: Mobile home; Single-level living; Built and standing
• Construction: Asphalt roof; Built/standing construction
• Exterior features: Covered deck; Outbuildings; Storage shed(s); Window coverings; Full fencing; Paved road access; Mature trees

Interior

• Kitchen: Gas oven/range; Free-standing range/oven
• Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms; Primary bedroom on the 1st floor
• Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One three-quarter bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Central gas heating; Wood stove; Evaporative cooling
• Interior features: Primary bath; Vaulted ceilings; Free-standing gas range/oven; Oven is gas
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Refrigerator

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $651 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
• Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#60 in UT, #3,813 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, amenities A; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, employment F.
• Uintah District (town): math 34% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #60 of 80 in UT (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Naples School (math 39% / reading 36%, grade F, #352 of 585 statewide, top 60%, 502 students, 56% FRL); Vernal Middle (math 35% / reading 38%, grade F, #88 of 138 statewide, top 66%, 849 students, 42% FRL); Uintah High (math 18% / reading 36%, grade F, #131 of 171 statewide, top 79%, 1,808 students, 31% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 276 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 85 units permitted in Uintah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Uintah County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $86,330 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.80% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.06%
• Cash-on-cash: 31.33%
• DSCR: 2.39
• GRM: 4.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.07% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 27.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.15×
• Total profit: $28,782
• Equity at exit: $13,270

10-year hold

• IRR: 35.6%
• Equity multiple: 4.44×
• Total profit: $85,828
• Equity at exit: $7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Utah: 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 84078

• Rents YoY: 4.1%
• Active inventory: 276
• Price-to-rent: 4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,602 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$467
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
• Insurance: −$37
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$336
• Net cashflow: $651

Break-even live

Break-even rent $779

Max offer price $89,000

Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $712	-5% $681	+0% $651	+5% $620	+10% $589
Rent	-10% $524	-5% $587	+0% $651	+5% $714	+10% $777
Rate	-1.0pp $695	-0.5pp $673	base $651	+0.5pp $628	+1.0pp $604

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $22,250
• Closing costs: $2,670
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-05-16
   status Under Contract
2. 2026-05-12
   price $89,000
3. 2026-04-14
   price $99,900
4. 2026-03-31
   listed $114,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,225
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,985
• − Property taxes: −$1,335
• − Insurance: −$445
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,538
• − Management: −$1,538
• − Depreciation: −$2,589
• Taxable income: $6,795
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,631
• After-tax cash flow: $6,176/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained mobile home is in good condition with recent updates, making it a solid investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
• Resale Replace window seals — Improves energy efficiency and appearance
• Both Update flooring in bedrooms — Enhances both resale and rental value
• Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint improves curb appeal and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Resale Replace window seals — Improves energy efficiency and appearance ↑
• Both Update flooring in bedrooms — Enhances both resale and rental value ↑
• Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint improves curb appeal and value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Uintah District
• NCES district ID: 4901080
• Math proficiency: 34% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 34% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $62,125
• Composite: 30.69/100
• National rank: #6177
• State rank: #60 of 80 in UT

Livability — Vernal

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #60
• US rank: #3813

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety D+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Vernal, UT
• County: Uintah County · 30,975 people
• City population: 30,975
• Metro: Vernal, UT
• Population (ZIP): 30,975
• Household income: $75,113
• Rent vs Own: 28.4% rent · 71.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 223.0

Population outlook (Uintah County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 49,582 people
• By 2030: 56,006 · +13.0%
• By 2040: 70,034 · +41.2%
• By 2050: 85,323 · +72.1%
• By 2075: 124,396 · +150.9%
• By 2100: 154,630 · +211.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (83%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 83% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Native American 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7%
• Common ancestry: Italian 6% Slovak 3% Portuguese 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Uintah

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+73.6) · D 12.3% · R 85.9% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -68.8pp · 2024: -73.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+73.6 2020: R+75.8 2016: R+68.9 2012: R+81.3 2008: R+68.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -304.65%
• Current HPI: 197.5429
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.07%
• Metro: Vernal, UT
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.54%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$3B

Price history

-22.5% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-16 Pending — WFRMLS
• 2026-05-12 Price Changed $89,000 WFRMLS
• 2026-04-14 Price Changed $99,900 WFRMLS
• 2026-03-31 Listed $114,900 WFRMLS