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419 Prince St
C Composite 59.28
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,000

419 Prince St · Texarkana, AR 71854
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1950 0.32 ac lot $118/sqft · 34% above area Est $59k · 34% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This is where charm meets comfort! Welcome to this adorable 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom cottage that's full of character and ready for its next owner. From the moment you walk in, you'll feel right at home with a cozy layout that makes the most of every space. Step outside and enjoy the fully fenced backyard perfect for pets, entertaining, or just relaxing after a long day. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, looking to downsize, or wanting a great investment property, this one checks all the boxes. Cute, cozy, and ready for you to make it your own don't miss your chance to make this cottage YOURS!

Key facts

  • 0.32 acre lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 56 days

Tags

FULLY FENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Built as a residential single-family home
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Lot about 0.32 acres

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $406 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 4.5% in Texarkana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#177 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Texarkana School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #181 of 238 in AR (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 273 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 21 units permitted in Miller County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Miller County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $79k implies a 209% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $76,630 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
12.46%
Cash-on-cash
22.01%
DSCR
1.98
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$59,160
List price
$79,000
Delta
33.54%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$13,010
Equity at exit
$11,779
10-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
3.01×
Total profit
$44,470
Equity at exit
$6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71854

Home prices YoY
-16.9%
Active inventory
273
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,101 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $200/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$406

Break-even live

Break-even rent $587
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2403 Division St Texarkana, AR 2.0 1.0 715 $749 $1.05 44d 1 0.82mi
519 Oak St Texarkana, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 612 $895 $1.46 44d 4 1.11mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,000 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,000 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,000 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,000 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,000 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $79,000 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,000 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 46 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,000 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,000 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,000 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,000 Active 40 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,000 Active 39 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,000 Active 38 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,000 Active 37 DOM
  18. 2026-04-23
    listed $79,000 Active 604-char remark
  19. 2013-10-03
    soldstatus $25,590
  20. 2007-11-30
    soldstatus $27,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$200 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$506 · $42/mo
Expected delta
+$306/yr (+$25/mo · 152.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,210
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$200
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,057
− Management
−$1,057
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$3,778
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$907
After-tax cash flow
$3,963/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Texarkana School District
NCES district ID
0513110
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$39,320
Composite
21.47/100
National rank
#8332
State rank
#181 of 238 in AR

Livability — Texarkana

Score
64/100
State rank
#177
US rank
#14514

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Texarkana, AR
County
Miller County · 35,720 people
City population
35,720
Metro
Texarkana, TX-AR
Population (ZIP)
35,720
Household income
$46,878
Rent vs Own
38.6% rent · 61.4% own
Severe rent burden
1388.0

Population outlook (Miller County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,197 people
By 2030
43,844 · -0.8%
By 2040
42,680 · -3.4%
By 2050
41,024 · -7.2%
By 2075
35,685 · -19.3%
By 2100
28,325 · -35.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Miller

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.1) · D 23.9% · R 74.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -51.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.1 2020: R+46.4 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+39.8 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -40.00%
Current HPI
196.7615
Rent YoY
Metro
Texarkana, TX-AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+192.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $79,000 TBOR
  • 2013-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $25,590 Public Records
  • 2007-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…