2200 37th St #36 · Evans, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$34,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom manufactured home is ready to go! Fresh paint, new laminate flooring in the living room and kitchen, a new refrigerator, double-pane vinyl windows all add to the appeal. It has been well maintained outside also. The carport has a storage room in the back. Rent is $1,015 month. Easy to show. This is a 55+ park.
Key facts
- Storage room
- Fresh paint
- New refrigerator
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Minimal flood risk (C rating); No improvements reported; Energy-efficient windows and doors
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: City water with meter installed; Public sewer; Natural gas available (Atmos Energy); Electricity available; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Manufactured in park; Mobile home
- Construction: Composition siding/roof; Under carriage: HUD
- Exterior features: Storage structure; Cul-de-sac lot; Level lot and level driveway; North-facing; Paved surface with sidewalks; Street light nearby; Fire hydrant within 500 feet; Private road frontage; Asphalt road surface; Near bus
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Window coverings
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $981 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 40.0% vs local median 3.8% in Evans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#104 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, health & safety F.
- Greeleyschool District No. 6 In The County Of Weld And Sta (urban): math 15% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #71 of 86 in CO (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Dos Rios Elementary School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #913 of 966 statewide, top 95%, 480 students, 81% FRL); Greeley West High School (math 20% / reading 39%, grade F, #244 of 381 statewide, top 66%, 1,885 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 54% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.8%/yr); 120 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,170 units permitted in Weld County in 2024 (278 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $241 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Weld County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 40.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 120.44%
- DSCR
- 6.36
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $45,696
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2200 37th St #5 | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 938 (-2%) | 15mo | $60,000 | $64 | 81 |
| 2200 37th St #85 | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 1,024 (+8%) | 13mo | $38,000 | $37 | 72 |
| 2200 37th St #28 | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,088 (+14%) | 2mo | $52,000 | $48 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.35×
- Total profit
- $52,301
- Equity at exit
- $5,204
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.11×
- Total profit
- $108,555
- Equity at exit
- $3,018
Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80620
- Home prices YoY
- -20.9%
- Rents YoY
- -1.8%
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,547 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$183
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$44 /mo · $524/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $981
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,005 | -5% $993 | +0% $981 | +5% $969 | +10% $957 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $859 | -5% $920 | +0% $981 | +5% $1,042 | +10% $1,103 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $998 | -0.5pp $990 | base $981 | +0.5pp $972 | +1.0pp $963 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,725
- Closing costs
- $1,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1751 Rowan Ln Evans, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 841 | $1,750 | $2.08 | 14d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2846 Arbor Dr #2898 Evans, CO | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1327 | $1,738 | $1.31 | 14d | 3 | 0.65mi |
| 2506 32nd St Evans, CO | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $1,700 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2162 30th St Greeley, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 688 | $1,199 | $1.74 | 14d | 16 | 0.84mi |
| 1722 30th St Greeley, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 709 | $1,355 | $1.91 | 2d | 13 | 0.89mi |
| 1750 Greeley Mall Greeley, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 805 | $1,573 | $1.95 | 14d | 4 | 0.98mi |
| 3202 11th Ave Evans, CO | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1015 | $1,565 | $1.54 | 2d | 12 | 1.02mi |
| 2820 17th Ave #201 Greeley, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,750 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1905 28th St Greeley, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,330 | $1.48 | 14d | 2 | 1.14mi |
| 1713 28th St Greeley, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,295 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3023 Denver St Unit 6 Evans, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 789 | $1,095 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3023 Denver St Unit 5 Evans, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 667 | $995 | $1.49 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2507 W 27th St Apt C Greeley, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1064 | $1,225 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2949 State Farm Rd Unit 7 Evans, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $965 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2949 State Farm Rd Evans, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $995 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2310 W 25th Street Rd Greeley, CO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3301 Abbey Rd Evans, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 913 | $1,742 | $1.91 | 14d | 10 | 1.46mi |
| 3770 Ponderosa Ct #1 Evans, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1047 | $1,650 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $34,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $34,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $34,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $34,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $34,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $34,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $34,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $34,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $34,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $34,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $34,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $34,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $34,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $34,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $34,900
-
2026-02-26price $39,900
-
2026-01-19$53,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,561
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,955
- − Property taxes
- −$524
- − Insurance
- −$174
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,485
- − Management
- −$1,485
- − Depreciation
- −$1,015
- Taxable income
- $11,923
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,862
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,908/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greeleyschool District No. 6 In The County Of Weld And Sta
- NCES district ID
- 0804410
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,417
- Composite
- 19.99/100
- National rank
- #8667
- State rank
- #71 of 86 in CO
Livability — Evans
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #9005
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evans, CO
- County
- Weld County · 332,652 people
- City population
- 20,798
- Metro
- Greeley, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,798
- Household income
- $73,590
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 420.0
Population outlook (Weld County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 351,957 people
- By 2030
- 385,304 · +9.5%
- By 2040
- 451,818 · +28.4%
- By 2050
- 514,478 · +46.2%
- By 2075
- 648,733 · +84.3%
- By 2100
- 720,400 · +104.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 48% White 45% Two or more races 17% Black 2% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 41%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 31% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Weld
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.0) · D 38.2% · R 59.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.0 2020: R+18.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+13.2 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.36%
- Current HPI
- 330.6379
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.78%
- Metro
- Greeley, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
-35.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $34,900 IRES
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $39,900 IRES
- 2026-01-19 Listed $53,900 IRES
Property tax history
-2.1%/yrLatest (2021): $34 · -11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…