1616 5th St · Wilmington, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.5/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sold befroe processing
Key facts
- Built 1890
- Listed 47 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas hot water
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Pitched roof
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Above-grade other structures
- Exterior features: 12 x 75 lot dimensions (estimated); Not in a federal flood zone; Municipal trash service
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating with forced air; Natural gas heating; Ceiling fan cooling (electric)
- Interior features: Not furnished; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $179k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 5.6% in Wilmington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#52 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D+, schools D, commute D.
- Red Clay Consolidated School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #12 of 26 in DE (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,367 units permitted in New Castle County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New Castle County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 32y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $185k implies a 208% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.11%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $159,988
- List price
- $185,000
- Delta
- 15.63%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1409 W 4th St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 975 (+3%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $144 | 83 |
| 506 Delamore Pl | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (+10%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $133 | 75 |
| 1317 Chestnut St | 0.41mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 950 (0%) | 5mo | $85,000 | $89 | 70 |
| 117 N Dupont St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 875 (-8%) | 5mo | $138,000 | $158 | 68 |
| 506 Rodman St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 984 (+4%) | 1mo | $229,900 | $234 | 65 |
| 461 S Sycamore St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+5%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $250 | 61 |
| 1232 Chestnut St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (+10%) | 3mo | $109,500 | $104 | 59 |
| 227 S Union St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,075 (+13%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $167 | 57 |
| 1306 W 13th St #1 | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 871 (-8%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $201 | 49 |
| 1504 N Broom St #11 | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 886 (-7%) | 5mo | $195,000 | $220 | 45 |
| 600 N Ford Ave #103 | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 855 (-10%) | 4mo | $238,500 | $279 | 37 |
| 1120 Beech St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 825 (-13%) | 6mo | $112,500 | $136 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,545
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $62,104
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19805
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,884 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $574/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$396
- Net cashflow
- $393
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1522 W 7th St Unit 1 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,800 | $2.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1607 Howland St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,900 | $1.77 | 3d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 802 N Broom St Apt 2 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 21.0 | 800 | $1,695 | $2.12 | 21d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1815 Maple St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,995 | $1.81 | 18d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1114 Lancaster Ave Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,400 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1110 Read St Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 20d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1227 Linden St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,850 | $1.95 | 3d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1000 W 8th St Unit 3 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,695 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 820 W 7th St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1212 Delaware Ave Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $2,495 | $3.56 | 43d | 4 | 0.70mi |
| 1212 Delaware Ave Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $2,695 | $2.91 | 12d | 4 | 0.70mi |
| 1504 Delaware Ave Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,749 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1504 Delaware Ave Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,590 | $1.45 | 16d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 617 W 6th St Unit 617 B Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 5d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 709 Windsor St Unit 3 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,500 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 711 Windsor St Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,460 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1301 N Harrison St Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,850 | $1.76 | 5d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 507 W 4th St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1075 | $1,800 | $1.67 | 12d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 613 W 10th St Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,745 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1610 N Broom St Unit 2 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,150 | $2.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 128 Lower Oak St Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 871 | $1,595 | $1.83 | 3d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 331 Justison St Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 859 | $2,205 | $2.57 | 1d | 9 | 0.92mi |
| 201 New Rd Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 2d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 225 W 4th St Unit 2 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,599 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 839 N Tatnall St Unit 303 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,475 | $1.68 | 5d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 231 5th Ave Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 15 W Girard St Unit 105 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,645 | $2.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 228 W 9th St Unit 201 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $1,695 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 703 Orange St Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,475 | $1.84 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 801 N Orange St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1118 | $3,991 | $3.57 | 2d | 117 | 1.01mi |
| 116 W 9th St Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 813 | $2,250 | $2.77 | 1d | 16 | 1.05mi |
| 1001 N Orange St Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 833 | $2,135 | $2.56 | 1d | 62 | 1.08mi |
| 1507 Coleman St Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,495 | $2.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2700 Boulevard Rd Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 743 | $1,525 | $2.05 | 2d | 8 | 1.10mi |
| 913 N Market St Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $1,985 | $2.04 | 43d | 5 | 1.11mi |
| 2010 Woodlawn Ave Unit 1 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,090 | $1.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 105 Christina Landing Dr Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $2,400 | $2.34 | 10d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 105 Christina Landing Dr #1503 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $2,500 | $2.44 | 16d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 115 Christina Landing Dr Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1195 | $2,796 | $2.34 | 1d | 13 | 1.18mi |
| 131 Scarborough Park Dr Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 837 | $1,700 | $2.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $185,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-02$195,000 Active 1362-char remark
-
2026-05-01historical $195,000 1362-char remark
-
2004-09-28soldstatus $60,000
-
2004-09-27soldstatus $60,000 22-char remark
Show marketing remark (22 chars)
Sold befroe processing
-
2004-08-27$60,000 22-char remark
Show marketing remark (22 chars)
Sold befroe processing
-
2004-08-27historical 22-char remark
Show marketing remark (22 chars)
Sold befroe processing
-
2002-07-02soldstatus $49,000
Show marketing remark (409 chars)
Nice inter-city first-time homebuyer value or investment property, within walking distance to St. Francis Hospital. Freshly painted front exterior. New kitchen and bathroom tile floors. New stove. W/ W carpet has been recently shampooed and walls touched up with paint. FHA financing with 1 Year ARM, including taxes & insurance - $366/mo. Conventional financing - $306/mo. Could rent for $650 easily!!!
-
2002-05-22$49,000
Show marketing remark (409 chars)
Nice inter-city first-time homebuyer value or investment property, within walking distance to St. Francis Hospital. Freshly painted front exterior. New kitchen and bathroom tile floors. New stove. W/ W carpet has been recently shampooed and walls touched up with paint. FHA financing with 1 Year ARM, including taxes & insurance - $366/mo. Conventional financing - $306/mo. Could rent for $650 easily!!!
-
1995-02-28soldstatus $20,000
-
1994-10-26$20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $574 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $824 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$249/yr (+$21/mo · 43.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,607
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$574
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,809
- − Management
- −$1,809
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $1,746
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$419
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,299/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Red Clay Consolidated School District
- NCES district ID
- 1001300
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,298
- Composite
- 31.25/100
- National rank
- #6027
- State rank
- #12 of 26 in DE
Livability — Wilmington
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #14251
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wilmington, DE
- County
- New Castle County · 483,412 people
- City population
- 173,480
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,402
- Household income
- $60,221
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1730.0
Population outlook (New Castle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 594,686 people
- By 2030
- 609,164 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 632,154 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 649,068 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 687,771 · +15.7%
- By 2100
- 694,961 · +16.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 37% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 18% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · New Castle
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.6) · D 65.5% · R 32.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: 40.6pp · 2024: 32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.6 2020: D+37.1 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+34.1 2008: D+40.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -291.16%
- Current HPI
- 259.1455
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.35%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+825.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $185,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-02 Listed $195,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-01 Coming Soon $195,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2004-09-27 Sold (MLS) $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-08-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-08-27 Listed $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-07-02 Sold (MLS) $49,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-05-22 Listed $49,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1995-02-28 Sold (MLS) $20,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1994-10-26 Listed $20,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2024): $574 · +15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…