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Carson V K Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 39.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$333,990

Carson V K Plan · Covington, LA 70435
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,123 sqft · SingleFamily · 155 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the Carson V K floor plan by DSLD Homes, a spacious and thoughtfully designed residence that blends comfort, style, and energy efficiency. Offering 2,123 square feet of living space and a total area of 2,847 square feet, this floor plan is ideal for growing families or homeowners seeking room to live, relax, and entertain in a smart, sustainable home. The open floor plan layout creates a welcoming atmosphere, connecting the kitchen, dining, and living areas for a seamless flow that makes everyday living and hosting guests a breeze. With four large bedrooms and two full bathrooms, the Carson V K provides the space and flexibility you need for work, play, and everything in between. At the heart of the home, the kitchen features modern recessed can lighting, a walk-in pantry, and easy access to a stylish boot bench-a functional detail that adds convenience near the home's entry. The living room also includes recessed lighting, offering a warm, well-lit space for relaxing with family or entertaining guests. The luxurious master suite includes a double vanity, a spacious walk-in closet, a tranquil garden tub, and a separate shower, creating a private retreat for homeowners to unwind in style. Additional features such as a covered patio, two-car garage, and siding exterior enhance the home's curb appeal and outdoor usability. As with all DSLD Homes, the Carson V K is built with a commitment to energy efficiency, reducing utility costs and supporting a healthier environ

Key facts

  • Stylish boot bench
  • Recessed lighting
  • Walk-in pantry

Tags

CARSON V K FLOOR PLANOPEN FLOOR PLAN LAYOUTMODERN RECESSED CAN LIGHTINGWALK-IN PANTRYSTYLISH BOOT BENCHRECESSED LIGHTING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $333,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $406,631.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $334k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-138 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $334k).
  • Recommended offer: $294k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.9% in Covington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#17 in LA, #3,876 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 365 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,382/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 296% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($294k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $293,911 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
5.88%
Cash-on-cash
-1.46%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$406,631
List price
$333,990
Delta
-17.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13208 Riverlake Dr 0.25mi 4/2.0 1,984 (-6%) 4mo $320,000 $161 74
13316 Riverlake Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,214 (+4%) 4mo $340,000 $154 67
14034 S Lakeshore Dr 0.55mi 4/3.0 2,224 (+5%) 6mo $413,277 $186 57
13603 Riverlake Dr 0.69mi 4/3.5 2,206 (+4%) 2mo $425,000 $193 54
13394 Riverlake Dr 0.45mi 4/3.0 1,843 (-13%) 3mo $309,000 $168 51
13462 Riverlake Dr 0.51mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,830 (-14%) 11mo $294,000 $161 37
13115 Raehyo Ln 0.70mi 4/2.0 2,292 (+8%) 22mo $389,000 $170 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.7%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-74,652
Equity at exit
$60,630
10-year hold
IRR
-11.1%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-76,145
Equity at exit
$35,158

Cash invested: $113,857 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70435

Home prices YoY
-27.3%
Active inventory
365
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,382 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,132
Tax est. 1.5%
$508 /mo · $6,099/yr
Insurance
$169
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$710
Net cashflow
$-138

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,557
Max offer price $386,611
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$101,658
Closing costs
$12,199
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12099 Jones Rd Covington, LA 3.0 2.0 1700 $3,650 $2.15 11d 1 1.47mi
12099 Jones Rd Covington, LA 3.0 2.0 1700 $3,950 $2.32 3d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $333,990 Active 155 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $333,990 Active 154 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $333,990 Active 153 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $333,990 Active 152 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $333,990 Active 150 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $333,990 Active 147 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $333,990 Active 146 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $333,990 Active 145 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $333,990 Active 144 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $333,990 Active 140 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $333,990 Active 139 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $333,990 Active 138 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $333,990 Active 137 DOM
  14. 2026-01-14
    listed $333,990 Active 1496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1496 chars)

    Discover the Carson V K floor plan by DSLD Homes, a spacious and thoughtfully designed residence that blends comfort, style, and energy efficiency. Offering 2,123 square feet of living space and a total area of 2,847 square feet, this floor plan is ideal for growing families or homeowners seeking room to live, relax, and entertain in a smart, sustainable home. The open floor plan layout creates a welcoming atmosphere, connecting the kitchen, dining, and living areas for a seamless flow that makes everyday living and hosting guests a breeze. With four large bedrooms and two full bathrooms, the Carson V K provides the space and flexibility you need for work, play, and everything in between. At the heart of the home, the kitchen features modern recessed can lighting, a walk-in pantry, and easy access to a stylish boot bench-a functional detail that adds convenience near the home's entry. The living room also includes recessed lighting, offering a warm, well-lit space for relaxing with family or entertaining guests. The luxurious master suite includes a double vanity, a spacious walk-in closet, a tranquil garden tub, and a separate shower, creating a private retreat for homeowners to unwind in style. Additional features such as a covered patio, two-car garage, and siding exterior enhance the home's curb appeal and outdoor usability. As with all DSLD Homes, the Carson V K is built with a commitment to energy efficiency, reducing utility costs and supporting a healthier environ

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,584
− Mortgage interest
−$22,778
− Property taxes
−$6,099
− Insurance
−$2,033
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,247
− Management
−$3,247
− Depreciation
−$11,829
Taxable loss
−$8,649
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,076
After-tax cash flow
$416/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This Carson V K floor plan by DSLD Homes is in good condition with minimal maintenance needed. A fresh coat of paint and some landscaping improvements would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Interior touch-ups — Enhances interior aesthetics and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Interior touch-ups — Enhances interior aesthetics and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Tammany Parish
NCES district ID
2201650
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -26.00%
Median HH income
$61,752
Composite
43.04/100
National rank
#3098
State rank
#11 of 98 in LA

Livability — Covington

Score
75/100
State rank
#17
US rank
#3876

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Tammany Parish · 228,296 people
City population
64,351
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
Population (ZIP)
22,475
Household income
$80,926
Rent vs Own
12.2% rent · 87.8% own
Severe rent burden
296.0

Population outlook (St. Tammany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
286,725 people
By 2030
304,175 · +6.1%
By 2040
336,203 · +17.3%
By 2050
364,590 · +27.2%
By 2075
433,362 · +51.1%
By 2100
470,333 · +64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 9% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Pacific Islander 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Tammany

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.3% · R 71.1% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -43.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.8 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.03%
Current HPI
202.0458
Rent YoY
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $333,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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