🏗️ New Construction
Carson V K Plan · Covington, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$333,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover the Carson V K floor plan by DSLD Homes, a spacious and thoughtfully designed residence that blends comfort, style, and energy efficiency. Offering 2,123 square feet of living space and a total area of 2,847 square feet, this floor plan is ideal for growing families or homeowners seeking room to live, relax, and entertain in a smart, sustainable home. The open floor plan layout creates a welcoming atmosphere, connecting the kitchen, dining, and living areas for a seamless flow that makes everyday living and hosting guests a breeze. With four large bedrooms and two full bathrooms, the Carson V K provides the space and flexibility you need for work, play, and everything in between. At the heart of the home, the kitchen features modern recessed can lighting, a walk-in pantry, and easy access to a stylish boot bench-a functional detail that adds convenience near the home's entry. The living room also includes recessed lighting, offering a warm, well-lit space for relaxing with family or entertaining guests. The luxurious master suite includes a double vanity, a spacious walk-in closet, a tranquil garden tub, and a separate shower, creating a private retreat for homeowners to unwind in style. Additional features such as a covered patio, two-car garage, and siding exterior enhance the home's curb appeal and outdoor usability. As with all DSLD Homes, the Carson V K is built with a commitment to energy efficiency, reducing utility costs and supporting a healthier environ
Key facts
- Stylish boot bench
- Recessed lighting
- Walk-in pantry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $334k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-138 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $334k).
- Recommended offer: $294k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.9% in Covington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#17 in LA, #3,876 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 365 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,382/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 296% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($294k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.46%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $406,631
- List price
- $333,990
- Delta
- -17.86%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13208 Riverlake Dr | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 1,984 (-6%) | 4mo | $320,000 | $161 | 74 |
| 13316 Riverlake Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,214 (+4%) | 4mo | $340,000 | $154 | 67 |
| 14034 S Lakeshore Dr | 0.55mi | 4/3.0 | 2,224 (+5%) | 6mo | $413,277 | $186 | 57 |
| 13603 Riverlake Dr | 0.69mi | 4/3.5 | 2,206 (+4%) | 2mo | $425,000 | $193 | 54 |
| 13394 Riverlake Dr | 0.45mi | 4/3.0 | 1,843 (-13%) | 3mo | $309,000 | $168 | 51 |
| 13462 Riverlake Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,830 (-14%) | 11mo | $294,000 | $161 | 37 |
| 13115 Raehyo Ln | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 2,292 (+8%) | 22mo | $389,000 | $170 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-74,652
- Equity at exit
- $60,630
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-76,145
- Equity at exit
- $35,158
Cash invested: $113,857 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70435
- Home prices YoY
- -27.3%
- Active inventory
- 365
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,382 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,132
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$508 /mo · $6,099/yr
- Insurance
- −$169
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$710
- Net cashflow
- $-138
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $101,658
- Closing costs
- $12,199
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12099 Jones Rd Covington, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $3,650 | $2.15 | 11d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 12099 Jones Rd Covington, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $3,950 | $2.32 | 3d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $333,990 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $333,990 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $333,990 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $333,990 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $333,990 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $333,990 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $333,990 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $333,990 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $333,990 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $333,990 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $333,990 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $333,990 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $333,990 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-01-14$333,990 Active 1496-char remark
Show marketing remark (1496 chars)
Discover the Carson V K floor plan by DSLD Homes, a spacious and thoughtfully designed residence that blends comfort, style, and energy efficiency. Offering 2,123 square feet of living space and a total area of 2,847 square feet, this floor plan is ideal for growing families or homeowners seeking room to live, relax, and entertain in a smart, sustainable home. The open floor plan layout creates a welcoming atmosphere, connecting the kitchen, dining, and living areas for a seamless flow that makes everyday living and hosting guests a breeze. With four large bedrooms and two full bathrooms, the Carson V K provides the space and flexibility you need for work, play, and everything in between. At the heart of the home, the kitchen features modern recessed can lighting, a walk-in pantry, and easy access to a stylish boot bench-a functional detail that adds convenience near the home's entry. The living room also includes recessed lighting, offering a warm, well-lit space for relaxing with family or entertaining guests. The luxurious master suite includes a double vanity, a spacious walk-in closet, a tranquil garden tub, and a separate shower, creating a private retreat for homeowners to unwind in style. Additional features such as a covered patio, two-car garage, and siding exterior enhance the home's curb appeal and outdoor usability. As with all DSLD Homes, the Carson V K is built with a commitment to energy efficiency, reducing utility costs and supporting a healthier environ
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,584
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,778
- − Property taxes
- −$6,099
- − Insurance
- −$2,033
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,247
- − Management
- −$3,247
- − Depreciation
- −$11,829
- Taxable loss
- −$8,649
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,076
- After-tax cash flow
- $416/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This Carson V K floor plan by DSLD Homes is in good condition with minimal maintenance needed. A fresh coat of paint and some landscaping improvements would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Interior touch-ups — Enhances interior aesthetics and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Interior touch-ups — Enhances interior aesthetics and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Tammany Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201650
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -26.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,752
- Composite
- 43.04/100
- National rank
- #3098
- State rank
- #11 of 98 in LA
Livability — Covington
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #3876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Tammany Parish · 228,296 people
- City population
- 64,351
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,475
- Household income
- $80,926
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 296.0
Population outlook (St. Tammany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,725 people
- By 2030
- 304,175 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 336,203 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 364,590 · +27.2%
- By 2075
- 433,362 · +51.1%
- By 2100
- 470,333 · +64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 9% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Pacific Islander 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Tammany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.3% · R 71.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -43.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.8 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.03%
- Current HPI
- 202.0458
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-01-14 Listed $333,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…