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D Composite 44.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$37,900

214 Fulton St · Jamestown, NY 14701
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,617 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 167 Days on market
Built 1885

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits, great property that has three rentals could even work as a owner occupied unit. Lower unit has three bedrooms, other two are one bedrooms.

Key facts

  • Two unit apartment
  • Good rental history
  • Built 1885

Tags

TWO UNIT APARTMENTGOOD RENTAL HISTORY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $38k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $674/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $38k).
  • Recommended offer: $33k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 48.9% vs local median 16.6% in Jamestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#470 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime F.
  • Jamestown City School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #553 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,127/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $262 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $38k implies a 279% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $33,352 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.61%
Cap rate
48.94%
Cash-on-cash
152.32%
DSCR
7.78
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$86,361
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
915 N Main St 0.28mi 6/2.0 2,618 (0%) 6mo $22,000 $8 78
413 Winsor St 0.30mi 6/4.0 2,477 (-5%) 18mo $82,500 $33 58
112 Thayer St 0.47mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,568 (-2%) 23mo $74,400 $29 46
248 Buffalo St 0.62mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,814 (+8%) 17mo $95,294 $34 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.51×
Total profit
$79,726
Equity at exit
$5,651
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.98×
Total profit
$180,203
Equity at exit
$3,277

Cash invested: $10,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14701

Home prices YoY
-18.5%
Active inventory
313
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,127 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$199
Tax from tax record
$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$447
Net cashflow
$1,347

Break-even live

Break-even rent $422
Max offer price $37,900
Occupancy floor 32%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,127

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,475
Closing costs
$1,137
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2025-01-14
    status Pending
  2. 2024-08-16
    status Active
  3. 2024-08-02
    status Pending
  4. 2024-07-17
    listed $37,900 Active
  5. 2020-07-23
    soldstatus $10,000 Closed Sale or Rented 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Opportunity awaits, great property that has three rentals could even work as a owner occupied unit. Lower unit has three bedrooms, other two are one bedrooms.

  6. 2020-05-30
    status Pending Sale 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Opportunity awaits, great property that has three rentals could even work as a owner occupied unit. Lower unit has three bedrooms, other two are one bedrooms.

  7. 2020-05-15
    price $14,900 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Opportunity awaits, great property that has three rentals could even work as a owner occupied unit. Lower unit has three bedrooms, other two are one bedrooms.

  8. 2020-05-14
    status Active 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Opportunity awaits, great property that has three rentals could even work as a owner occupied unit. Lower unit has three bedrooms, other two are one bedrooms.

  9. 2020-05-10
    historical 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Opportunity awaits, great property that has three rentals could even work as a owner occupied unit. Lower unit has three bedrooms, other two are one bedrooms.

  10. 2019-12-12
    price $19,900 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Opportunity awaits, great property that has three rentals could even work as a owner occupied unit. Lower unit has three bedrooms, other two are one bedrooms.

  11. 2019-09-05
    price $24,900 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Opportunity awaits, great property that has three rentals could even work as a owner occupied unit. Lower unit has three bedrooms, other two are one bedrooms.

  12. 2019-05-10
    listed $34,900 Active 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Opportunity awaits, great property that has three rentals could even work as a owner occupied unit. Lower unit has three bedrooms, other two are one bedrooms.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,425 · $119/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,425 · $119/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,524
− Mortgage interest
−$2,123
− Property taxes
−$1,425
− Insurance
−$190
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,042
− Management
−$2,042
− Depreciation
−$1,103
Taxable income
$16,600
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,984
After-tax cash flow
$12,180/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jamestown City School District
NCES district ID
3615630
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$32,240
Composite
30.69/100
National rank
#6176
State rank
#553 of 590 in NY

Livability — Jamestown

Score
69/100
State rank
#470
US rank
#8213

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jamestown, NY
County
Chautauqua County · 38,461 people
City population
38,461
Metro
Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
Population (ZIP)
38,461
Household income
$49,685
Rent vs Own
42.8% rent · 57.2% own
Severe rent burden
1838.0

Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,454 people
By 2030
118,509 · -4.0%
By 2040
107,311 · -13.1%
By 2050
96,703 · -21.7%
By 2075
76,757 · -37.8%
By 2100
60,984 · -50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.93%
Current HPI
259.402
Rent YoY
Metro
Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8.6% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2025-01-14 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2024-08-16 Relisted UNYREIS
  • 2024-08-02 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2024-07-17 Listed $37,900 UNYREIS
  • 2020-07-23 Sold (MLS) $10,000 UNYREIS
  • 2020-05-30 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2020-05-15 Price Changed $14,900 UNYREIS
  • 2020-05-14 Relisted UNYREIS
  • 2020-05-10 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2019-12-12 Price Changed $19,900 UNYREIS
  • 2019-09-05 Price Changed $24,900 UNYREIS
  • 2019-05-10 Listed $34,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

-1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,425 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…