214 Fulton St · Jamestown, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$37,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits, great property that has three rentals could even work as a owner occupied unit. Lower unit has three bedrooms, other two are one bedrooms.
Key facts
- Two unit apartment
- Good rental history
- Built 1885
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $38k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $674/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $38k).
- Recommended offer: $33k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 48.9% vs local median 16.6% in Jamestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#470 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime F.
- Jamestown City School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #553 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,127/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $262 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $38k implies a 279% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 48.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 152.32%
- DSCR
- 7.78
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $86,361
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 915 N Main St | 0.28mi | 6/2.0 | 2,618 (0%) | 6mo | $22,000 | $8 | 78 |
| 413 Winsor St | 0.30mi | 6/4.0 | 2,477 (-5%) | 18mo | $82,500 | $33 | 58 |
| 112 Thayer St | 0.47mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,568 (-2%) | 23mo | $74,400 | $29 | 46 |
| 248 Buffalo St | 0.62mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,814 (+8%) | 17mo | $95,294 | $34 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.51×
- Total profit
- $79,726
- Equity at exit
- $5,651
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 17.98×
- Total profit
- $180,203
- Equity at exit
- $3,277
Cash invested: $10,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14701
- Home prices YoY
- -18.5%
- Active inventory
- 313
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,127 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$199
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$447
- Net cashflow
- $1,347
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,128 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,064 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,064 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,127 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,475
- Closing costs
- $1,137
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2025-01-14status Pending
-
2024-08-16status Active
-
2024-08-02status Pending
-
2024-07-17$37,900 Active
-
2020-07-23soldstatus $10,000 Closed Sale or Rented 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
Opportunity awaits, great property that has three rentals could even work as a owner occupied unit. Lower unit has three bedrooms, other two are one bedrooms.
-
2020-05-30status Pending Sale 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
Opportunity awaits, great property that has three rentals could even work as a owner occupied unit. Lower unit has three bedrooms, other two are one bedrooms.
-
2020-05-15price $14,900 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
Opportunity awaits, great property that has three rentals could even work as a owner occupied unit. Lower unit has three bedrooms, other two are one bedrooms.
-
2020-05-14status Active 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
Opportunity awaits, great property that has three rentals could even work as a owner occupied unit. Lower unit has three bedrooms, other two are one bedrooms.
-
2020-05-10historical 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
Opportunity awaits, great property that has three rentals could even work as a owner occupied unit. Lower unit has three bedrooms, other two are one bedrooms.
-
2019-12-12price $19,900 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
Opportunity awaits, great property that has three rentals could even work as a owner occupied unit. Lower unit has three bedrooms, other two are one bedrooms.
-
2019-09-05price $24,900 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
Opportunity awaits, great property that has three rentals could even work as a owner occupied unit. Lower unit has three bedrooms, other two are one bedrooms.
-
2019-05-10$34,900 Active 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
Opportunity awaits, great property that has three rentals could even work as a owner occupied unit. Lower unit has three bedrooms, other two are one bedrooms.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,425 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,425 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,524
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,123
- − Property taxes
- −$1,425
- − Insurance
- −$190
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,042
- − Management
- −$2,042
- − Depreciation
- −$1,103
- Taxable income
- $16,600
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,984
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,180/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jamestown City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3615630
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,240
- Composite
- 30.69/100
- National rank
- #6176
- State rank
- #553 of 590 in NY
Livability — Jamestown
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #470
- US rank
- #8213
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jamestown, NY
- County
- Chautauqua County · 38,461 people
- City population
- 38,461
- Metro
- Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,461
- Household income
- $49,685
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1838.0
Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,454 people
- By 2030
- 118,509 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 107,311 · -13.1%
- By 2050
- 96,703 · -21.7%
- By 2075
- 76,757 · -37.8%
- By 2100
- 60,984 · -50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.93%
- Current HPI
- 259.402
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+8.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2025-01-14 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2024-08-16 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2024-08-02 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2024-07-17 Listed $37,900 UNYREIS
- 2020-07-23 Sold (MLS) $10,000 UNYREIS
- 2020-05-30 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2020-05-15 Price Changed $14,900 UNYREIS
- 2020-05-14 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2020-05-10 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2019-12-12 Price Changed $19,900 UNYREIS
- 2019-09-05 Price Changed $24,900 UNYREIS
- 2019-05-10 Listed $34,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,425 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…