24 Main St · Big Clifty, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.3/5.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity in Big Clifty! This quaint lot and mobile home will be sold along with a variety of personal property at absolute auction on May 23 @ 10am CST.
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Modern flooring
- Fully remodeled
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Lot size approximately 0.52 acres (75 x 304 x 75 x 304)
- Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-family style; Property faces unspecified direction
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Front porch; Metal roof
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Electric water heater
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.8% in Big Clifty — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 46/100 on livability (#516 in KY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Grayson County (rural): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #84 of 165 in KY (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Clarkson Elementary School (math 33% / reading 44%, grade F, #234 of 676 statewide, top 36%, 609 students, 65% FRL); Grayson County Middle School (math 23% / reading 38%, grade F, #143 of 217 statewide, top 67%, 839 students, 63% FRL); Grayson County High School (math 24% / reading 38%, grade F, #118 of 254 statewide, top 47%, 1,252 students, 61% FRL).
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $90k implies a 381% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.90%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $3,970
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $27,232
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42712
- Home prices YoY
- -2.7%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,053 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $372/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $292
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $342 | -5% $317 | +0% $292 | +5% $266 | +10% $241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $208 | -5% $250 | +0% $292 | +5% $333 | +10% $375 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $337 | -0.5pp $314 | base $292 | +0.5pp $268 | +1.0pp $245 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 683-char remark
-
2026-06-15$89,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $372 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $773 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- +$401/yr (+$33/mo · 107.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,630
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$372
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,010
- − Management
- −$1,010
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $2,137
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$513
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,986/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grayson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102300
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,256
- Composite
- 27.55/100
- National rank
- #6944
- State rank
- #84 of 165 in KY
Livability — Big Clifty
- Score
- 46/100
- State rank
- #516
- US rank
- #26413
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Big Clifty, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,787
Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,840 people
- By 2030
- 27,032 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 27,236 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 27,076 · +0.9%
- By 2075
- 26,565 · -1.0%
- By 2100
- 24,007 · -10.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Grayson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.8) · D 18.5% · R 80.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.9pp · 2024: -61.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.8 2020: R+58.8 2016: R+59.3 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+34.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.08%
- Current HPI
- 185.6728
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+180.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Listed $89,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-06-14 Listed $89,900 RASKMLS
- 2015-06-05 Sold (MLS) $18,700 Metro Search MLS
- 2015-04-14 Listed $12,500 Metro Search MLS
- 2001-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $372 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…