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24 Main St
B- Composite 65.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.4/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.3/5.0

$89,900

24 Main St · Big Clifty, KY 42712
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured · 6 Days on market
Built 2017 0.52 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment opportunity in Big Clifty! This quaint lot and mobile home will be sold along with a variety of personal property at absolute auction on May 23 @ 10am CST.

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Modern flooring
  • Fully remodeled

Tags

FULLY REMODELEDMOVE-IN READYSPACIOUS LOTMODERN FLOORINGABUNDANT CABINETRYPRIVATE PRIMARY SUITE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Lot size approximately 0.52 acres (75 x 304 x 75 x 304)
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-family style; Property faces unspecified direction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Metal roof

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Electric water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.8% in Big Clifty — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 46/100 on livability (#516 in KY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Grayson County (rural): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #84 of 165 in KY (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Clarkson Elementary School (math 33% / reading 44%, grade F, #234 of 676 statewide, top 36%, 609 students, 65% FRL); Grayson County Middle School (math 23% / reading 38%, grade F, #143 of 217 statewide, top 67%, 839 students, 63% FRL); Grayson County High School (math 24% / reading 38%, grade F, #118 of 254 statewide, top 47%, 1,252 students, 61% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $19k; list at $90k implies a 381% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
10.19%
Cash-on-cash
13.90%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.1%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$3,970
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
2.08×
Total profit
$27,232
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42712

Home prices YoY
-2.7%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,053 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$31 /mo · $372/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$221
Net cashflow
$292

Break-even live

Break-even rent $683
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $342 -5% $317 +0% $292 +5% $266 +10% $241
Rent -10% $208 -5% $250 +0% $292 +5% $333 +10% $375
Rate -1.0pp $337 -0.5pp $314 base $292 +0.5pp $268 +1.0pp $245

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $89,900 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    remarks 683-char remark
  6. 2026-06-15
    listed $89,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$372 · $31/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$773 · $64/mo
Expected delta
+$401/yr (+$33/mo · 107.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,630
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$372
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,010
− Management
−$1,010
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$2,137
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$513
After-tax cash flow
$2,986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grayson County
NCES district ID
2102300
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$34,256
Composite
27.55/100
National rank
#6944
State rank
#84 of 165 in KY

Livability — Big Clifty

Score
46/100
State rank
#516
US rank
#26413

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Big Clifty, KY
Population (ZIP)
1,787

Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,840 people
By 2030
27,032 · +0.7%
By 2040
27,236 · +1.5%
By 2050
27,076 · +0.9%
By 2075
26,565 · -1.0%
By 2100
24,007 · -10.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grayson

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.8) · D 18.5% · R 80.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-26.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.9pp · 2024: -61.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.8 2020: R+58.8 2016: R+59.3 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+34.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.08%
Current HPI
185.6728
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+180.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Listed $89,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-06-14 Listed $89,900 RASKMLS
  • 2015-06-05 Sold (MLS) $18,700 Metro Search MLS
  • 2015-04-14 Listed $12,500 Metro Search MLS
  • 2001-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $372 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…