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C- Composite 53.27
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,000

121 Kenbridge Ln · Madison, MS 39110
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,097 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 330 Days on market
Built 1982 0.25 ac lot Est $350k · 15% under $62/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Seller is ready for NEW OWNER! Now is your chance to own!! What a treasure! Custom built, one owner, no children or pets have lived here. Sits in the center of cul de sac. You can feel the love in this house. The entry is welcoming with a new front door and entry light. Primary bedroom suite is downstairs. Walk in closet. Dressing room separate from shower and toilet area. Large master features a brick fireplace. Kitchen features all new appliances, counter tops, newly painted cabinets and crown molding. New stainless large sink with new faucet. Upstairs are 2 bedrooms with walk in closets and one bath. One of the bedrooms has a library with bookcases and area to sit and enjoy reading. The

Key facts

  • Dressing room
  • Brick fireplace
  • New appliances

Tags

CUSTOM BUILTPRIMARY BEDROOM SUITEWALK IN CLOSETDRESSING ROOMBRICK FIREPLACENEW APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $749 (fee covers accounting/legal); Community clubhouse; Community pool

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Garage faces front; Garage door opener; Concrete driveway/parking
  • Security: Fire alarm; Security system
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer available and water connected; Fiber to the house
  • Home design: Single-family house; Two levels; Move-in ready
  • Construction: HardiPlank-type siding; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built in public-records year (source: public records)
  • Exterior features: Slab patio/porch; Cul-de-sac lot; Interior lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Electric cooktop; Electric range/oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; Exhaust fan; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom located downstairs
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and natural gas options; fireplace insert); Central air conditioning (electric); Attic fan; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Bookcases; Ceiling fans; Crown molding; Double vanities; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; High ceilings; High-speed internet; Primary bedroom on main level; Recessed lighting; Walk-in closets; Fireplace with gas log (bedroom)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups with electric dryer hookup; Laundry located in hall on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $272k (8.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $263k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.8% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#4 in MS, #1,556 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
  • Madison County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #3 of 130 in MS (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Madison Station Elementary School (math 76% / reading 75%, grade A, #4 of 375 statewide, top 1%, 1,035 students, 100% FRL); Madison Middle School (math 66% / reading 57%, grade B+, #6 of 179 statewide, top 3%, 1,154 students, 100% FRL); Madison Central High School (math 5% / reading 63%, grade F, #78 of 197 statewide, top 39%, 1,246 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 29% district-wide (70 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 634 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 553 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 330 days — a 12% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $66k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $263,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 330 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.83%
Cash-on-cash
1.90%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$350,199
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
306 Sandpiper Ln 0.33mi 4/2.0 2,221 (+6%) 3mo $345,000 $155 64
514 Windy Ridge Ln 0.43mi 4/2.0 2,007 (-4%) 3mo $335,000 $167 62
226 Heather Glen Way 0.17mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,863 (-11%) 11mo $284,900 $153 51
105 Hollenden Ln 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,947 (-7%) 20mo $329,000 $169 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-41,057
Equity at exit
$44,582
10-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-29,162
Equity at exit
$25,852

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39110

Home prices YoY
-28.3%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
634
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,724 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax from tax record
$265 /mo · $3,176/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$62
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$572
Net cashflow
$133

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,556
Max offer price $299,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $302 -5% $217 +0% $133 +5% $48 +10% $-37
Rent -10% $-83 -5% $25 +0% $133 +5% $240 +10% $348
Rate -1.0pp $283 -0.5pp $209 base $133 +0.5pp $55 +1.0pp $-24

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$62 · $744/yr

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-06
    price $299,000
  3. 2026-01-15
    status Active
  4. 2025-12-15
    historical
  5. 2025-10-23
    price $335,000
  6. 2025-08-29
    price $345,000
  7. 2025-06-12
    price $355,000
  8. 2025-05-04
    listed $365,000 Active
  9. 1982-05-07
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,176 · $265/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,176 · $265/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,687
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$3,176
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,615
− Management
−$2,615
− HOA
−$744
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable loss
−$3,405
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$817
After-tax cash flow
$2,409/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County School District
NCES district ID
2802790
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$70,579
Composite
48.08/100
National rank
#2188
State rank
#3 of 130 in MS

Livability — Madison

Score
81/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#1556

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Madison, MS
County
Madison County · 75,005 people
City population
50,443
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
50,443
Household income
$125,506
Rent vs Own
9.1% rent · 90.9% own
Severe rent burden
227.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,509 people
By 2030
131,737 · +7.5%
By 2040
148,930 · +21.6%
By 2050
164,300 · +34.1%
By 2075
197,495 · +61.2%
By 2100
211,429 · +72.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 15% Asian 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · China, Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+17.3) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-1.7pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -17.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.3 2020: R+11.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.99%
Current HPI
154.6909
Rent YoY
▲ 2.61%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-18.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $299,000 MLSU
  • 2026-01-15 Relisted MLSU
  • 2025-12-15 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-10-23 Price Changed $335,000 MLSU
  • 2025-08-29 Price Changed $345,000 MLSU
  • 2025-06-12 Price Changed $355,000 MLSU
  • 2025-05-04 Listed $365,000 MLSU
  • 1982-05-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,176 · +172.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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