255 E Monroe St · Winthrop, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- Appreciation +7.2/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great home for a first time home buyer! This ranch style home features a remodeled bathroom with a stackable washer/dryer. Fresh Paint throughout. All new lower cabinets, new countertops and flooring in kitchen. Sewer line was completely replaced in 2024. Furnace new in 2025! Garage has been enclosed to feature a workshop/man cave. Home is situated on a 1/4 acre lot!
Key facts
- New lower cabinets
- Remodeled bathroom
- New flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11 ($-134/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $113k (1.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $93k (19.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $93k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#226 in IA, #4,299 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- East Buchanan Community School District (rural): math 59% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #222 of 289 in IA (top 77%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Buchanan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($794 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
- Buchanan County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $115k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.42%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $140,660
- List price
- $114,900
- Delta
- -18.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 235 Easy St | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 1,508 (-2%) | 21mo | $184,000 | $122 | 67 |
| 464 4th St. St N | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-9%) | 14mo | $168,000 | $120 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.34% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $21,472
- Equity at exit
- $60,556
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.10×
- Total profit
- $67,697
- Equity at exit
- $100,926
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50682
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $926 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,104/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$194
- Net cashflow
- $-11
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $114,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $114,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $114,900 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Great home for a first time home buyer! This ranch style home features a remodeled bathroom with a stackable washer/dryer. Fresh Paint throughout. All new lower cabinets, new countertops and flooring in kitchen. Sewer line was completely replaced in 2024. Furnace new in 2025! Garage has been enclosed to feature a workshop/man cave. Home is situated on a 1/4 acre lot!
-
2026-03-03$124,900 Active 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Great home for a first time home buyer! This ranch style home features a remodeled bathroom with a stackable washer/dryer. Fresh Paint throughout. All new lower cabinets, new countertops and flooring in kitchen. Sewer line was completely replaced in 2024. Furnace new in 2025! Garage has been enclosed to feature a workshop/man cave. Home is situated on a 1/4 acre lot!
-
2023-11-13soldstatus $60,000
-
2023-11-10soldstatus $60,000 Closed 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Looking for a starter home? This 2 Bedroom 1 bath home could be the perfect fit. Featuring a large kitchen and living area. It has a separate man cave off to the side. It has a nice large backyard for kids and entertainment.
-
2023-10-12status Pending 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Looking for a starter home? This 2 Bedroom 1 bath home could be the perfect fit. Featuring a large kitchen and living area. It has a separate man cave off to the side. It has a nice large backyard for kids and entertainment.
-
2023-10-06$61,500 Active 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Looking for a starter home? This 2 Bedroom 1 bath home could be the perfect fit. Featuring a large kitchen and living area. It has a separate man cave off to the side. It has a nice large backyard for kids and entertainment.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,104 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,454 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$350/yr (+$29/mo · 31.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,108
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$1,104
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$889
- − Management
- −$889
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable loss
- −$2,127
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$510
- After-tax cash flow
- $376/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Buchanan Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1910110
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,085
- Composite
- 52.76/100
- National rank
- #1545
- State rank
- #222 of 289 in IA
Livability — Winthrop
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #226
- US rank
- #4299
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Winthrop, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,700
Population outlook (Buchanan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,892 people
- By 2030
- 20,578 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 19,906 · -4.7%
- By 2050
- 19,024 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 16,289 · -22.0%
- By 2100
- 12,561 · -39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Buchanan
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.2) · D 35.1% · R 63.4% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -46.7pp toward R · 2008: 18.5pp · 2024: -28.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.2 2020: R+20.9 2016: R+15.2 2012: D+13.9 2008: D+18.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.34%
- Current HPI
- 215.5512
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+86.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $114,900 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-03-03 Listed $124,900 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2023-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2023-11-10 Sold (MLS) $60,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2023-10-12 Pending — NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2023-10-06 Listed $61,500 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,104 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…