743 Pooish Ave · San Jacinto, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.7/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +6.8/30.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- DSCR +1.0/10.0
$480,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tucked in the coveted community of The Cove in San Jacinto with panoramic views of the San Jacinto Mountains is a lovely single-story 3 bedroom, + bonus room (possible 4th bedroom w/ closet), 2 bath home that backs onto a hillside (no backside neighbors) for privacy. This home built in 2018, boasts an attached 2-car garage, owned solar, fenced backyard with a dog run for your fur-babies. The open concept living space is inviting with its 9ft ceilings, and ambient lighting from all the windows; perfect for family gatherings that can overflow into the spacious backyard. The primary bedroom features and ensuite bathroom with dual sinks and walk-in shower. The two guest bedrooms are ample-sized. This great community has access to nearby park with playgrounds, basketball courts, and outdoor picnic areas. This home is a must see.
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2018
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $480k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-756 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $346k (27.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $340k (29.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $340k (29.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#467 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, cost of living F.
- San Jacinto Unified (suburban): math 13% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #421 of 517 in CA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Megan Cope Elementary (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #973 of 1,571 statewide, top 73%, 694 students, 78% FRL); Monte Vista Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 913 students, 87% FRL); San Jacinto High (math 14% / reading 38%, grade F, #807 of 1,170 statewide, top 69%, 2,617 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 68% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $51k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $48k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$82k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($451k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.75%
- DSCR
- 0.70
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $516,682
- List price
- $480,000
- Delta
- -7.10%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 638 Awaal | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,859 (0%) | 2mo | $520,000 | $280 | 91 |
| 569 Pooish | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,859 (0%) | 3mo | $515,000 | $277 | 90 |
| 658 Aswut Cir | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,860 (+0%) | 3mo | $520,000 | $280 | 88 |
| 921 Yukon | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,884 (+1%) | 2mo | $495,000 | $263 | 82 |
| 484 Valencia Ct | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,859 (0%) | 12mo | $500,000 | $269 | 79 |
| 685 Bailey Ln | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,884 (+1%) | 16mo | $475,000 | $252 | 72 |
| 549 Poo'ish Ave | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,698 (-9%) | 8mo | $500,000 | $294 | 70 |
| 525 Chalakat Ct | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,698 (-9%) | 4mo | $518,000 | $305 | 68 |
| 3821 Malmal Way | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,698 (-9%) | 9mo | $485,000 | $286 | 65 |
| 608 Qeweewish Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,698 (-9%) | 13mo | $495,000 | $292 | 59 |
| 361 Pomegranate St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,698 (-9%) | 16mo | $480,000 | $283 | 58 |
| 242 Pomegranate St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,698 (-9%) | 12mo | $475,000 | $280 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $213,385
- Equity at exit
- $432,422
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.96×
- Total profit
- $666,518
- Equity at exit
- $932,534
Cash invested: $134,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92582
- Home prices YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 11.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,402 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,517
- Tax from tax record
- −$664 /mo · $7,966/yr
- Insurance
- −$200
- HOA
- −$63
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$714
- Net cashflow
- $-756
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-485 | -5% $-620 | +0% $-756 | +5% $-892 | +10% $-1,028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,025 | -5% $-891 | +0% $-756 | +5% $-622 | +10% $-487 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-515 | -0.5pp $-634 | base $-756 | +0.5pp $-881 | +1.0pp $-1,007 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $120,000
- Closing costs
- $14,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 532 Bailey Ln San Jacinto, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2478 | $4,200 | $1.69 | 0d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3973 Ano Ct San Jacinto, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1860 | $3,050 | $1.64 | 0d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 376 Valencia Ct San Jacinto, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1859 | $2,900 | $1.56 | 19d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 4030 Yuul St San Jacinto, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2529 | $3,500 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $63 · $756/yr
- Likely covers
- landscaping
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $480,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $480,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $480,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $480,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $480,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $480,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $480,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $497,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $497,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $497,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $497,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $497,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $497,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $497,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $497,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $497,500 835-char remark
Show marketing remark (835 chars)
Tucked in the coveted community of The Cove in San Jacinto with panoramic views of the San Jacinto Mountains is a lovely single-story 3 bedroom, + bonus room (possible 4th bedroom w/ closet), 2 bath home that backs onto a hillside (no backside neighbors) for privacy. This home built in 2018, boasts an attached 2-car garage, owned solar, fenced backyard with a dog run for your fur-babies. The open concept living space is inviting with its 9ft ceilings, and ambient lighting from all the windows; perfect for family gatherings that can overflow into the spacious backyard. The primary bedroom features and ensuite bathroom with dual sinks and walk-in shower. The two guest bedrooms are ample-sized. This great community has access to nearby park with playgrounds, basketball courts, and outdoor picnic areas. This home is a must see.
-
2026-01-22$505,000 Active 835-char remark
Show marketing remark (835 chars)
Tucked in the coveted community of The Cove in San Jacinto with panoramic views of the San Jacinto Mountains is a lovely single-story 3 bedroom, + bonus room (possible 4th bedroom w/ closet), 2 bath home that backs onto a hillside (no backside neighbors) for privacy. This home built in 2018, boasts an attached 2-car garage, owned solar, fenced backyard with a dog run for your fur-babies. The open concept living space is inviting with its 9ft ceilings, and ambient lighting from all the windows; perfect for family gatherings that can overflow into the spacious backyard. The primary bedroom features and ensuite bathroom with dual sinks and walk-in shower. The two guest bedrooms are ample-sized. This great community has access to nearby park with playgrounds, basketball courts, and outdoor picnic areas. This home is a must see.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,966 · $664/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,966 · $664/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,827
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,887
- − Property taxes
- −$7,966
- − Insurance
- −$2,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,266
- − Management
- −$3,266
- − HOA
- −$756
- − Depreciation
- −$13,964
- Taxable loss
- −$17,678
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,243
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,832/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Jacinto Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634440
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,560
- Composite
- 20.94/100
- National rank
- #8478
- State rank
- #421 of 517 in CA
Livability — San Jacinto
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #467
- US rank
- #15889
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Jacinto, CA
- City population
- 33,778
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,732
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 67% Two or more races 22% White 19% Black 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 58% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 49% English-only · Spanish 49% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 26.05%
- Current HPI
- 393.657
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
-1.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $497,500 TheMLS
- 2026-01-22 Listed $505,000 TheMLS
Property tax history
+48.0%/yrLatest (2025): $7,966 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…