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743 Pooish Ave
D Composite 40.78
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.8/30.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +1.0/10.0

$480,000

743 Pooish Ave · San Jacinto, CA 92582
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,859 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 81 Days on market
Built 2018 8,276 sqft lot $258/sqft · 7% below area Est $517k · 7% under $63/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tucked in the coveted community of The Cove in San Jacinto with panoramic views of the San Jacinto Mountains is a lovely single-story 3 bedroom, + bonus room (possible 4th bedroom w/ closet), 2 bath home that backs onto a hillside (no backside neighbors) for privacy. This home built in 2018, boasts an attached 2-car garage, owned solar, fenced backyard with a dog run for your fur-babies. The open concept living space is inviting with its 9ft ceilings, and ambient lighting from all the windows; perfect for family gatherings that can overflow into the spacious backyard. The primary bedroom features and ensuite bathroom with dual sinks and walk-in shower. The two guest bedrooms are ample-sized. This great community has access to nearby park with playgrounds, basketball courts, and outdoor picnic areas. This home is a must see.

Key facts

  • 8,276 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2018

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $480k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-756 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $346k (27.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $340k (29.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $340k (29.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#467 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • San Jacinto Unified (suburban): math 13% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #421 of 517 in CA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Megan Cope Elementary (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #973 of 1,571 statewide, top 73%, 694 students, 78% FRL); Monte Vista Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 913 students, 87% FRL); San Jacinto High (math 14% / reading 38%, grade F, #807 of 1,170 statewide, top 69%, 2,617 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 68% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $51k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $48k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$82k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($451k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $340,225 (29.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
4.40%
Cash-on-cash
-6.75%
DSCR
0.70
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$516,682
List price
$480,000
Delta
-7.10%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
638 Awaal 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,859 (0%) 2mo $520,000 $280 91
569 Pooish 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,859 (0%) 3mo $515,000 $277 90
658 Aswut Cir 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,860 (+0%) 3mo $520,000 $280 88
921 Yukon 0.21mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,884 (+1%) 2mo $495,000 $263 82
484 Valencia Ct 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,859 (0%) 12mo $500,000 $269 79
685 Bailey Ln 0.17mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,884 (+1%) 16mo $475,000 $252 72
549 Poo'ish Ave 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,698 (-9%) 8mo $500,000 $294 70
525 Chalakat Ct 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,698 (-9%) 4mo $518,000 $305 68
3821 Malmal Way 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,698 (-9%) 9mo $485,000 $286 65
608 Qeweewish Ave 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,698 (-9%) 13mo $495,000 $292 59
361 Pomegranate St 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,698 (-9%) 16mo $480,000 $283 58
242 Pomegranate St 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,698 (-9%) 12mo $475,000 $280 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$213,385
Equity at exit
$432,422
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
5.96×
Total profit
$666,518
Equity at exit
$932,534

Cash invested: $134,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92582

Home prices YoY
7.1%
Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,402 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,517
Tax from tax record
$664 /mo · $7,966/yr
Insurance
$200
HOA
$63
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$714
Net cashflow
$-756

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,360
Max offer price $346,409
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-485 -5% $-620 +0% $-756 +5% $-892 +10% $-1,028
Rent -10% $-1,025 -5% $-891 +0% $-756 +5% $-622 +10% $-487
Rate -1.0pp $-515 -0.5pp $-634 base $-756 +0.5pp $-881 +1.0pp $-1,007

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$120,000
Closing costs
$14,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
532 Bailey Ln San Jacinto, CA 4.0 3.0 2478 $4,200 $1.69 0d 1 0.22mi
3973 Ano Ct San Jacinto, CA 4.0 2.0 1860 $3,050 $1.64 0d 1 0.28mi
376 Valencia Ct San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.0 1859 $2,900 $1.56 19d 1 0.30mi
4030 Yuul St San Jacinto, CA 4.0 2.5 2529 $3,500 $1.38 45d 1 0.33mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$63 · $756/yr
Likely covers
landscaping

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $480,000 Active 81 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $480,000 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $480,000 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $480,000 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $480,000 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $480,000 Active 73 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $480,000 Active 72 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $497,500 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $497,500 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $497,500 Active 67 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $497,500 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $497,500 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $497,500 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $497,500 Active 61 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $497,500 Active 60 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    price $497,500 835-char remark
    Show marketing remark (835 chars)

    Tucked in the coveted community of The Cove in San Jacinto with panoramic views of the San Jacinto Mountains is a lovely single-story 3 bedroom, + bonus room (possible 4th bedroom w/ closet), 2 bath home that backs onto a hillside (no backside neighbors) for privacy. This home built in 2018, boasts an attached 2-car garage, owned solar, fenced backyard with a dog run for your fur-babies. The open concept living space is inviting with its 9ft ceilings, and ambient lighting from all the windows; perfect for family gatherings that can overflow into the spacious backyard. The primary bedroom features and ensuite bathroom with dual sinks and walk-in shower. The two guest bedrooms are ample-sized. This great community has access to nearby park with playgrounds, basketball courts, and outdoor picnic areas. This home is a must see.

  17. 2026-01-22
    listed $505,000 Active 835-char remark
    Show marketing remark (835 chars)

    Tucked in the coveted community of The Cove in San Jacinto with panoramic views of the San Jacinto Mountains is a lovely single-story 3 bedroom, + bonus room (possible 4th bedroom w/ closet), 2 bath home that backs onto a hillside (no backside neighbors) for privacy. This home built in 2018, boasts an attached 2-car garage, owned solar, fenced backyard with a dog run for your fur-babies. The open concept living space is inviting with its 9ft ceilings, and ambient lighting from all the windows; perfect for family gatherings that can overflow into the spacious backyard. The primary bedroom features and ensuite bathroom with dual sinks and walk-in shower. The two guest bedrooms are ample-sized. This great community has access to nearby park with playgrounds, basketball courts, and outdoor picnic areas. This home is a must see.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,966 · $664/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,966 · $664/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,827
− Mortgage interest
−$26,887
− Property taxes
−$7,966
− Insurance
−$2,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,266
− Management
−$3,266
− HOA
−$756
− Depreciation
−$13,964
Taxable loss
−$17,678
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,243
After-tax cash flow
$-4,832/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Jacinto Unified
NCES district ID
0634440
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,560
Composite
20.94/100
National rank
#8478
State rank
#421 of 517 in CA

Livability — San Jacinto

Score
63/100
State rank
#467
US rank
#15889

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Jacinto, CA
City population
33,778
Population (ZIP)
22,732

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 67% Two or more races 22% White 19% Black 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 58% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
49% English-only · Spanish 49% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 26.05%
Current HPI
393.657
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $497,500 TheMLS
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $505,000 TheMLS

Property tax history

+48.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,966 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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