1815 W 3rd St · Davenport, IA 52802

$29,900

5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,282 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 113 Days on market

Built 1918 5,227 sqft lot

---

Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Calling all investors, flippers, and cash buyers! This is a rare opportunity to bring new life to a property with tons of potential . Seller will make no repairs. Property is being sold strictly AS-IS. Seller has never lived on property.

Key facts

• 5,227 sq ft lot
• Built 1918
• Listed 113 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $30k).
• Recommended offer: $27k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 46.6% vs local median 4.4% in Davenport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#126 in IA, #2,312 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
• Davenport Community School District (urban): math 43% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #288 of 289 in IA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 805 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (479 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Scott County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($27k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $15k; list at $30k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $27,209 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 5.13% ✓
• Cap rate: 46.60%
• Cash-on-cash: 143.97%
• DSCR: 7.41
• GRM: 1.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $246,456
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1 Waverly Ct	0.73mi	4/1.0 (-1)	1,944 (-15%)	21mo	$210,900	$108	15

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 8.07×
• Total profit: $59,151
• Equity at exit: $4,458

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 17.00×
• Total profit: $133,976
• Equity at exit: $2,585

Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Iowa: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 52802

• Home prices YoY: -28.3%
• Active inventory: 67
• Price-to-rent: 1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,533 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$157
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$37 /mo · $448/yr
• Insurance: −$12
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$322
• Net cashflow: $1,004

Break-even live

Break-even rent $262

Max offer price $29,900

Occupancy floor 29%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,025	-5% $1,015	+0% $1,004	+5% $994	+10% $984
Rent	-10% $883	-5% $944	+0% $1,004	+5% $1,065	+10% $1,126
Rate	-1.0pp $1,019	-0.5pp $1,012	base $1,004	+0.5pp $997	+1.0pp $989

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $7,475
• Closing costs: $897
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2424 Telegraph Rd Davenport, IA	4.0	2.0	2000	$1,750	$0.88	45d	1	0.66mi
1323 N Gaines St Davenport, IA	4.0	2.0	1733	$1,350	$0.78	22d	1	1.38mi
621 W 15th St Davenport, IA	4.0	2.0	1833	$1,500	$0.82	14d	1	1.44mi

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-04-16
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-04
   status Active
3. 2026-02-20
   historical Contingent - Continue to Show
4. 2026-02-14
   status Active
5. 2026-02-11
   historical Contingent - Continue to Show
6. 2026-01-21
   price $29,900
7. 2026-01-19
   status Active
8. 2026-01-14
   historical
9. 2026-01-08
   status Active
10. 2026-01-06
    historical
11. 2026-01-05
    historical
12. 2025-10-06
    price
13. 2025-09-08
    price
14. 2025-07-25
    listed Active
15. 2018-06-27
    soldstatus $15,000
16. 2010-04-15
    soldstatus $63,900
17. 2006-12-14
    soldstatus $28,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,396
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,675
• − Property taxes: −$448
• − Insurance: −$150
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,472
• − Management: −$1,472
• − Depreciation: −$870
• Taxable income: $12,310
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,954
• After-tax cash flow: $9,099/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Davenport Community School District
• NCES district ID: 1908580
• Math proficiency: 43% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $46,157
• Composite: 39.49/100
• National rank: #3951
• State rank: #288 of 289 in IA

Livability — Davenport

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #126
• US rank: #2312

Category grades

Amenities A Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Davenport, IA
• County: Scott County · 144,583 people
• City population: 103,319
• Metro: Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
• Population (ZIP): 9,466
• Household income: $54,380
• Rent vs Own: 29.4% rent · 70.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 244.0

Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 188,878 people
• By 2030: 196,648 · +4.1%
• By 2040: 210,860 · +11.6%
• By 2050: 224,359 · +18.8%
• By 2075: 258,884 · +37.1%
• By 2100: 286,447 · +51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (71%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 71% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10% Black 5% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 13%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Scott

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.3% · R 51.2% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -18.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -3.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.9 2020: D+3.5 2016: D+1.4 2012: D+13.8 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -59.59%
• Current HPI: 151.2076
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.48%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$16B
▸Retail / Convenience	1	$15B

Price history

+4.9% since first listed

17 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-16 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-04 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-20 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-14 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-11 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-21 Price Changed $29,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-19 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-14 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-08 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-05 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-10-06 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-09-08 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-07-25 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2018-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
• 2010-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $63,900 Public Records
• 2006-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,553 · +10.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.