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911 Lexington Ave
D Composite 42.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$10,000

911 Lexington Ave · Flint, MI 48507
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 968 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1926 3,485 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits with this fire-damaged home, ready for restoration or redevelopment. The property has experienced fire damage and is being sold as-is, offering excellent potential for investors, contractors, or buyers looking for a renovation project. Buyer to verify all measurements, condition, permits, and repair requirements. BATVAI

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • Built 1926
  • Listed 38 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: 660 square feet above grade
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Lot in FENTON STREET SUB subdivision; Corner location at Fenton and Brunswick

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Has basement; Two total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $611 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($860 rent vs $10k).
  • Recommended offer: $10k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 79.6% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $69 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $300 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($10k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $9,700 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
8.60%
Cap rate
79.56%
Cash-on-cash
261.66%
DSCR
12.64
GRM
1.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$54,208
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2021 Brooks St 0.26mi 2/1.0 987 (+2%) 3mo $55,000 $56 82
2314 S Grand Traverse St 0.38mi 2/1.5 922 (-5%) 7mo $30,000 $33 66
1514 Vermilya Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 952 (-2%) 0mo $66,000 $69 66
1105 Lincoln Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 896 (-7%) 2mo $38,000 $42 59
727 Waldman Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 956 (-1%) 5mo $79,600 $83 58
1209 Lincoln Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 925 (-4%) 6mo $52,400 $57 58
1517 Tacoma St 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 875 (-10%) 1mo $46,500 $53 56
934 Campbell St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (-4%) 1mo $89,000 $96 54
730 Freeman Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 836 (-14%) 6mo $27,000 $32 53
737 Campbell St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 947 (-2%) 4mo $84,700 $89 53
3805 Brunswick Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 921 (-5%) 4mo $25,000 $27 52
1225 Vermilya Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 831 (-14%) 5mo $15,000 $18 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.41×
Total profit
$34,757
Equity at exit
$1,491
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
26.23×
Total profit
$70,647
Equity at exit
$865

Cash invested: $2,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48507

Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
206
Price-to-rent
1.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$860 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$52
Tax est. 1.5%
$12 /mo · $150/yr
Insurance
$4
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$181
Net cashflow
$611

Break-even live

Break-even rent $87
Max offer price $10,000
Occupancy floor 24%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $617 -5% $614 +0% $611 +5% $607 +10% $604
Rent -10% $543 -5% $577 +0% $611 +5% $645 +10% $679
Rate -1.0pp $616 -0.5pp $613 base $611 +0.5pp $608 +1.0pp $605

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,500
Closing costs
$300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1023 Barrie Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 660 $775 $1.17 21d 1 0.29mi
1426 Pettibone Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 21d 1 0.71mi
813 Alvord Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 724 $850 $1.17 14d 1 0.86mi
410 Lippincott Blvd Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $695 $0.87 14d 1 0.94mi
4400 Kings Ln Burton, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 666 $960 $1.44 14d 19 1.28mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $10,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $10,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $10,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $10,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $10,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $10,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $10,000 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $10,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $10,000 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $10,000 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $10,000 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $10,000 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $10,000 Active 22 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $10,000 Active 21 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $10,000 Active 20 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $10,000 Active 19 DOM
  17. 2026-05-11
    listed $10,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (340 chars)

    Opportunity awaits with this fire-damaged home, ready for restoration or redevelopment. The property has experienced fire damage and is being sold as-is, offering excellent potential for investors, contractors, or buyers looking for a renovation project. Buyer to verify all measurements, condition, permits, and repair requirements. BATVAI

  18. 2026-05-11
    listed $10,000 Active 340-char remark
    Show marketing remark (340 chars)

    Opportunity awaits with this fire-damaged home, ready for restoration or redevelopment. The property has experienced fire damage and is being sold as-is, offering excellent potential for investors, contractors, or buyers looking for a renovation project. Buyer to verify all measurements, condition, permits, and repair requirements. BATVAI

  19. 2006-04-05
    soldstatus $25,000 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    Attention Investors & 1st Time Home Buyers! Move In Condition. Well Kept Two Bedrm Home W/ Finished 12x24 Rec Rm Or 3rd Bedrm In Bsmnt, Covered Front Porch W/ Swing & Fenced Backyard. Newer Shingles, Central Air & Hot Water Heater.

  20. 2006-04-05
    soldstatus $25,000
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    Attention Investors & 1st Time Home Buyers! Move In Condition. Well Kept Two Bedrm Home W/ Finished 12x24 Rec Rm Or 3rd Bedrm In Bsmnt, Covered Front Porch W/ Swing & Fenced Backyard. Newer Shingles, Central Air & Hot Water Heater.

  21. 2006-04-05
    soldstatus $25,000
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    Attention Investors & 1st Time Home Buyers! Move In Condition. Well Kept Two Bedrm Home W/ Finished 12x24 Rec Rm Or 3rd Bedrm In Bsmnt, Covered Front Porch W/ Swing & Fenced Backyard. Newer Shingles, Central Air & Hot Water Heater.

  22. 2006-03-10
    historical
  23. 2005-10-12
    listed $27,900
  24. 2005-10-11
    listed $27,900 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    Attention Investors & 1st Time Home Buyers! Move In Condition. Well Kept Two Bedrm Home W/ Finished 12x24 Rec Rm Or 3rd Bedrm In Bsmnt, Covered Front Porch W/ Swing & Fenced Backyard. Newer Shingles, Central Air & Hot Water Heater.

  25. 2005-10-11
    listed $27,900
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    Attention Investors & 1st Time Home Buyers! Move In Condition. Well Kept Two Bedrm Home W/ Finished 12x24 Rec Rm Or 3rd Bedrm In Bsmnt, Covered Front Porch W/ Swing & Fenced Backyard. Newer Shingles, Central Air & Hot Water Heater.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,324
− Mortgage interest
−$560
− Property taxes
−$150
− Insurance
−$50
− Repairs & maintenance
−$826
− Management
−$826
− Depreciation
−$291
Taxable income
$7,621
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,829
After-tax cash flow
$5,498/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
28,723
Household income
$46,554
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
1534.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -154.90%
Current HPI
132.3632
Rent YoY
▼ -1.04%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-64.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-04-05 Sold (MLS) $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-04-05 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-04-05 Sold (MLS) $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-03-10 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-10-12 Listed $27,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-10-11 Listed $27,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-10-11 Listed $27,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $722 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…