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3712 Willys Pkwy Duplex
B Composite 73.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

3712 Willys Pkwy · Toledo, OH 43612
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,228 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1925 6,000 sqft lot $58/sqft · 10% below area Est $145k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Solid income-producing duplex in Toledo: Both units feature 2 bedrooms / 1 bath. Lower unit rented at $900/mo through October 2027; upper unit at $775/mo through July 2026 with a Lead Safe Certificate through 11/11/30. Updates include refreshed paint throughout, updated bathrooms in both units, new LVP flooring in lower unit, and a mix of new LVP plus beautiful original hardwood in upper unit. Separate utilities, strong rental track record, and recent improvements position this as a dependable multi-family asset with excellent long-term potential. Don't miss this cash-flowing property! Sold with 3716 Willys Pkwy next door.

Key facts

  • Original hardwood
  • Updated bathrooms
  • New lvp flooring

Tags

INCOME-PRODUCING DUPLEXUPDATED BATHROOMSNEW LVP FLOORINGORIGINAL HARDWOODSTRONG RENTAL TRACK RECORDRECENT IMPROVEMENTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Two-unit building (both units leased); Tenant pays all utilities; Owner pays common area maintenance, insurance, snow removal, taxes, and lawn care

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (100 amp service, circuit breakers); Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential income property; Duplex; Two-story
  • Construction: Metal siding; Block foundation; Block basement (full)
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl; Wood
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ceiling fans for cooling
  • Interior features: Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $862 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $431/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Longfellow Elementary School (math 12% / reading 19%, grade F, #1,375 of 1,584 statewide, top 87%, 533 students, 0% FRL); Start High School (math 11% / reading 33%, grade F, #672 of 781 statewide, top 86%, 1,242 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 72% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,234/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 1203% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $130k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $126,100 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.72%
Cap rate
14.25%
Cash-on-cash
28.41%
DSCR
2.26
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$145,235
List price
$130,000
Delta
-10.49%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3542-3544 Homewood Ave 0.14mi 4/2.0 2,336 (+5%) 1mo $97,900 $42 85
3848 Revere Dr Uppr & Lower 0.31mi 4/2.0 2,424 (+9%) 2mo $132,000 $54 69
4114 Kingsbury Ave 0.56mi 4/2.0 2,270 (+2%) 7mo $94,250 $42 65
1325 Laclede Rd 0.40mi 4/2.0 2,250 (+1%) 21mo $160,000 $71 62
1113 Alcott St 0.73mi 4/2.0 2,200 (-1%) 8mo $140,000 $64 57
3823 Baltimore St 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,000 (-10%) 10mo $103,000 $52 54
3819 Revere Dr 0.32mi 4/2.0 2,530 (+14%) 14mo $107,500 $42 51
4214 Kingsbury Ave 0.64mi 4/2.0 2,054 (-8%) 18mo $132,000 $64 42
4218 Kingsbury Ave 0.64mi 4/2.0 2,074 (-7%) 21mo $144,000 $69 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$40,831
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
35.5%
Equity multiple
4.76×
Total profit
$136,807
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43612

Home prices YoY
-17.5%
Rents YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,234 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$167 /mo · $2,006/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$469
Net cashflow
$862

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,143
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 56%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,234

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1477 W Sylvania Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1570 $1,250 $0.80 44d 1 0.48mi
4120 Parrakeet Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 2.0 1410 $1,450 $1.03 44d 1 0.56mi
3905 Peru St Toledo, OH 4.0 3.0 1548 $1,300 $0.84 21d 1 0.75mi
4459 N Haven Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1416 $1,200 $0.85 14d 1 0.81mi
614 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1581 $1,075 $0.68 23d 1 0.82mi
610 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1409 $1,050 $0.75 23d 1 0.82mi
2907 Rockwood Pl Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1494 $1,100 $0.74 14d 1 1.01mi
4614 Commonwealth Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1459 $1,295 $0.89 14d 1 1.08mi
1436 Palmetto Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1678 $1,400 $0.83 23d 1 1.13mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $130,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $130,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $130,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $135,000 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $135,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    listed $135,000 Active 630-char remark
  17. 2026-04-06
    historical
  18. 2026-02-17
    listed $135,000 Active
  19. 2022-06-20
    historical
  20. 2022-06-06
    status Active
  21. 2022-05-28
    historical Contingent
  22. 2022-05-21
    status Active
  23. 2022-05-12
    historical Contingent
  24. 2022-05-09
    listed $109,900 Active
  25. 2021-07-02
    soldstatus $75,000
  26. 2000-01-04
    soldstatus $68,200
  27. 1996-01-17
    soldstatus $60,000
  28. 1988-08-29
    soldstatus $53,000
  29. 1962-08-31
    soldstatus $16,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,006 · $167/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,017 · $168/mo
Expected delta
+$11/yr (+$1/mo · 0.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,808
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$2,006
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,145
− Management
−$2,145
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$8,799
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,112
After-tax cash flow
$8,230/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
28,480
Household income
$50,728
Rent vs Own
45.4% rent · 54.6% own
Severe rent burden
1203.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Black 23% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.05%
Current HPI
235.5389
Rent YoY
▲ 6.01%
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+687.9% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Price Changed $130,000 NORIS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $135,000 NORIS
  • 2026-04-06 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $135,000 NORIS
  • 2022-06-20 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2022-06-06 Relisted NORIS
  • 2022-05-28 Contingent NORIS
  • 2022-05-21 Relisted NORIS
  • 2022-05-12 Contingent NORIS
  • 2022-05-09 Listed $109,900 NORIS
  • 2021-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2000-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $68,200 Public Records
  • 1996-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 1988-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
  • 1962-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,006 · -3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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