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1077 Old Hwy 51 Rd S Unit A26 🌊 Lakefront
B- Composite 69.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$22,900

1077 Old Hwy 51 Rd S Unit A26 · Woodruff, WI 54568
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Manufactured · 41 Days on market
Built 1970 Fair condition ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Tucked into the peaceful setting of Lakefront RV Park, this turn-key seasonal 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home offers an easygoing retreat surrounded by Northwoods beauty. The home includes a comfortable layout with an enclosed porch that adds extra space to relax, plus two separate sheds for all your storage needs. Situated within a 19-acre park on 99-acre Arrowhead Lake, residents enjoy access to a variety of shared amenities, including a playground, sports court, and a clubhouse with a game room. On-site laundry and shower facilities provide added convenience, and boat slip rentals may be available through park management. Whether you're looking for a weekend escape or a place to unwind dur

Key facts

  • Two separate sheds
  • Sports court
  • 19 acre park

Tags

ENCLOSED PORCHTWO SEPARATE SHEDS19 ACRE PARK99 ACRE ARROWHEAD LAKEPLAYGROUNDSPORTS COURT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 720 above-grade finished square feet; Frontage length: 1051; Directions available to unit A26
  • HOA & community: Clubhouse; Private maintained road and private road access

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking; No garage
  • Utilities: Shared well water; Septic tank (shared septic)
  • Home design: Mobile home; Residential property; Located in Lakefront RV Park; Single-level entry (mobile home)
  • Construction: Composition/shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Playground; Shed(s); Waterfront setting on Arrowhead (Little Star)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; No central heating listed
  • Interior features: Gas oven, gas range, refrigerator; No fireplace; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $23k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $466 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($790 rent vs $23k).
  • Recommended offer: $22k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 30.7% vs local median 0.8% in Woodruff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#78 in WI, #2,111 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
  • Lakeland Uhs School District (rural): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #287 of 426 in WI (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lakeland High (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #99 of 483 statewide, top 24%, 721 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 359 units permitted in Vilas County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $158 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $687 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Vilas County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $22,213 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.45%
Cap rate
30.70%
Cash-on-cash
87.16%
DSCR
4.88
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
87.7%
Equity multiple
5.05×
Total profit
$25,962
Equity at exit
$3,414
10-year hold
IRR
90.8%
Equity multiple
10.49×
Total profit
$60,849
Equity at exit
$1,980

Cash invested: $6,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54568

Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$790 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$120
Tax est. 1.5%
$29 /mo · $344/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$166
Net cashflow
$466

Break-even live

Break-even rent $200
Max offer price $22,900
Occupancy floor 36%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $482 -5% $474 +0% $466 +5% $458 +10% $450
Rent -10% $403 -5% $435 +0% $466 +5% $497 +10% $528
Rate -1.0pp $477 -0.5pp $472 base $466 +0.5pp $460 +1.0pp $454

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,725
Closing costs
$687
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $22,900 Pending 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $22,900 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $22,900 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $22,900 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $22,900 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $22,900 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $22,900 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $22,900 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $22,900 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $22,900 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $22,900 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $22,900 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    price $22,900 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $29,900 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,900 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-05-04
    listed $29,900 Active
  17. 2025-09-02
    price $29,900
  18. 2025-08-06
    price $33,900
  19. 2025-07-17
    price $35,900
  20. 2025-07-08
    listed $39,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,478
− Mortgage interest
−$1,283
− Property taxes
−$344
− Insurance
−$114
− Repairs & maintenance
−$758
− Management
−$758
− Depreciation
−$666
Taxable income
$5,554
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,333
After-tax cash flow
$4,255/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Kitchen cabinets — No photos of kitchen
  • Major Bathroom fixtures — No photos of bathroom
  • Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered and needs repainting
  • Major Carpeted flooring — Worn and needs replacement
  • Major Interior walls/paint — Paint is peeling and needs repainting
  • Moderate Windows — Not new and may need replacement

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls and ceiling — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace carpeted flooring — New flooring improves comfort and value
  • Both Replace kitchen cabinets and fixtures — Modern kitchen enhances functionality and value
  • Both Replace windows — New windows improve energy efficiency and curb appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · No photos of kitchen Major $15,000–50,000
Bathroom fixtures · No photos of bathroom Major $15,000–50,000
Exterior siding · Weathered and needs repainting Moderate $3,000–15,000
Carpeted flooring · Worn and needs replacement Major $15,000–50,000
Interior walls/paint · Paint is peeling and needs repainting Major $15,000–50,000
Windows · Not new and may need replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 6 items $66,000–230,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls and ceiling — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace carpeted flooring — New flooring improves comfort and value
  • Both Replace kitchen cabinets and fixtures — Modern kitchen enhances functionality and value
  • Both Replace windows — New windows improve energy efficiency and curb appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lakeland Uhs School District
NCES district ID
5509630
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$48,769
Composite
34.82/100
National rank
#10016
State rank
#287 of 426 in WI

Livability — Woodruff

Score
79/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#2111

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,864

Population outlook (Vilas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,499 people
By 2030
19,683 · -4.0%
By 2040
17,559 · -14.3%
By 2050
15,407 · -24.8%
By 2075
13,010 · -36.5%
By 2100
10,937 · -46.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Portuguese 12% Danish 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Vilas

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.1) · D 38.0% · R 61.1%
2008→2024 swing
-19.0pp toward R · 2008: -4.1pp · 2024: -23.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.1 2020: R+21.9 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.1 2008: R+4.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.69%
Current HPI
226.0275
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $29,900 GNMLS
  • 2025-09-02 Price Changed $29,900 GNMLS
  • 2025-08-06 Price Changed $33,900 GNMLS
  • 2025-07-17 Price Changed $35,900 GNMLS
  • 2025-07-08 Listed $39,900 GNMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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