🌊 Lakefront
1077 Old Hwy 51 Rd S Unit A26 · Woodruff, WI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$22,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tucked into the peaceful setting of Lakefront RV Park, this turn-key seasonal 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home offers an easygoing retreat surrounded by Northwoods beauty. The home includes a comfortable layout with an enclosed porch that adds extra space to relax, plus two separate sheds for all your storage needs. Situated within a 19-acre park on 99-acre Arrowhead Lake, residents enjoy access to a variety of shared amenities, including a playground, sports court, and a clubhouse with a game room. On-site laundry and shower facilities provide added convenience, and boat slip rentals may be available through park management. Whether you're looking for a weekend escape or a place to unwind dur
Key facts
- Two separate sheds
- Sports court
- 19 acre park
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 720 above-grade finished square feet; Frontage length: 1051; Directions available to unit A26
- HOA & community: Clubhouse; Private maintained road and private road access
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking; No garage
- Utilities: Shared well water; Septic tank (shared septic)
- Home design: Mobile home; Residential property; Located in Lakefront RV Park; Single-level entry (mobile home)
- Construction: Composition/shingle roof
- Exterior features: Playground; Shed(s); Waterfront setting on Arrowhead (Little Star)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; No central heating listed
- Interior features: Gas oven, gas range, refrigerator; No fireplace; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $23k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $466 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($790 rent vs $23k).
- Recommended offer: $22k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 30.7% vs local median 0.8% in Woodruff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#78 in WI, #2,111 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
- Lakeland Uhs School District (rural): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #287 of 426 in WI (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lakeland High (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #99 of 483 statewide, top 24%, 721 students, 46% FRL).
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 359 units permitted in Vilas County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $158 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $687 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Vilas County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 30.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 87.16%
- DSCR
- 4.88
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 87.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.05×
- Total profit
- $25,962
- Equity at exit
- $3,414
- IRR
- 90.8%
- Equity multiple
- 10.49×
- Total profit
- $60,849
- Equity at exit
- $1,980
Cash invested: $6,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54568
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $790 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$120
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$29 /mo · $344/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$166
- Net cashflow
- $466
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $482 | -5% $474 | +0% $466 | +5% $458 | +10% $450 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $403 | -5% $435 | +0% $466 | +5% $497 | +10% $528 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $477 | -0.5pp $472 | base $466 | +0.5pp $460 | +1.0pp $454 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,725
- Closing costs
- $687
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
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2026-06-16status $22,900 Pending 41 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $22,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $22,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $22,900 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $22,900 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $22,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $22,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $22,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $22,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $22,900 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $22,900 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $22,900 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-02price $22,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $29,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $29,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-05-04$29,900 Active
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2025-09-02price $29,900
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2025-08-06price $33,900
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2025-07-17price $35,900
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2025-07-08$39,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,478
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,283
- − Property taxes
- −$344
- − Insurance
- −$114
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$758
- − Management
- −$758
- − Depreciation
- −$666
- Taxable income
- $5,554
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,333
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,255/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This mobile home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen cabinets — No photos of kitchen
- Major Bathroom fixtures — No photos of bathroom
- Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered and needs repainting
- Major Carpeted flooring — Worn and needs replacement
- Major Interior walls/paint — Paint is peeling and needs repainting
- Moderate Windows — Not new and may need replacement
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls and ceiling — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace carpeted flooring — New flooring improves comfort and value
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets and fixtures — Modern kitchen enhances functionality and value
- Both Replace windows — New windows improve energy efficiency and curb appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · No photos of kitchen | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · No photos of bathroom | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior siding · Weathered and needs repainting | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Carpeted flooring · Worn and needs replacement | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Interior walls/paint · Paint is peeling and needs repainting | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Windows · Not new and may need replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $66,000–230,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls and ceiling — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace carpeted flooring — New flooring improves comfort and value ↑
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets and fixtures — Modern kitchen enhances functionality and value ↑
- Both Replace windows — New windows improve energy efficiency and curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lakeland Uhs School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509630
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,769
- Composite
- 34.82/100
- National rank
- #10016
- State rank
- #287 of 426 in WI
Livability — Woodruff
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #2111
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,864
Population outlook (Vilas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,499 people
- By 2030
- 19,683 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 17,559 · -14.3%
- By 2050
- 15,407 · -24.8%
- By 2075
- 13,010 · -36.5%
- By 2100
- 10,937 · -46.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Portuguese 12% Danish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Vilas
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.1) · D 38.0% · R 61.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.0pp toward R · 2008: -4.1pp · 2024: -23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.1 2020: R+21.9 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.1 2008: R+4.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.69%
- Current HPI
- 226.0275
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
-25.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $29,900 GNMLS
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $29,900 GNMLS
- 2025-08-06 Price Changed $33,900 GNMLS
- 2025-07-17 Price Changed $35,900 GNMLS
- 2025-07-08 Listed $39,900 GNMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…