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23 Chaucer Dr
D- Composite 37.93
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.4/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0

$435,000

23 Chaucer Dr · Bella Vista, AR 72714
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,865 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 2023 0.31 ac lot Est $416k · at est. $40/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bella Vista PRIME LOCATION!! Gorgeous new construction home ON SEWER in one of Bella Vista's most desired areas. Private beautiful back yard setting with large partially covered deck for entertaining and enjoying the beautifully wooded views. 3/4 bed, 2 bath, office with many custom touches including designer quartz counters throughout, custom wall decor, floating gas fireplace, beautiful LVP in main areas. Open kitchen, dining and great room to host large gatherings! Large Owners retreat with ensuite including elegant tile shower, soaker tub and giant his/hers closets designed to pamper the owners! Good sized laundry and pantry plus mud room area to provide ample storage and functionality! All set in Bella Vista with golf, tennis, lakes, trails, parks, community/exercise facilities and several restaurants.

Key facts

  • Flat driveway
  • Golf courses
  • Mountain bike trails

Tags

MOUNTAIN BIKE TRAILSGOLF COURSESFLAT DRIVEWAYEPOXY-COATED FLOORCUSTOM BUILT-IN STORAGEPROFESSIONALLY LANDSCAPED

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Bella Vista POA; Annual HOA involvement; Additional association fee of $40 monthly; Community amenities: biking, clubhouse, dock, fitness center, golf, playground, park, pool, recreation area, tennis courts, trails/paths

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 covered parking spaces
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Sewer available; Recycling collection available
  • Home design: Single-story home; New construction; Has view
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Block foundation; Built as new construction
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Deck; Community pool; Views; Landscaped lot; Wooded areas; Public/shared paved road frontage; Smoke detectors

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Microwave with hood fan; Garbage disposal; Granite counters; Pantry; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
  • Bedrooms: Main level bedroom, approx. 11 x 12; Main level bedroom, approx. 11 x 12; Main level bedroom, approx. 10 x 12
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl plank
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Attic; Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Cathedral ceilings; Granite counters; Pantry; Storage; Walk-in closets; Window treatments; Double-pane windows; Blinds
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Electric water heater; Utility room (main level, approx. 5 x 7)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $435k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-369 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $370k (15.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $314k (27.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $314k (27.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.6% in Bella Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 484 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($103k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $313,988 (27.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.28%
Cash-on-cash
-3.63%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$415,895
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3 Naworth Ln 0.21mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,817 (-3%) 4mo $405,000 $223 76
26 Overton Dr 0.55mi 4/2.0 1,831 (-2%) 4mo $384,000 $210 68
6 Penzance Dr 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,933 (+4%) 2mo $486,000 $251 68
17 Cumbrian Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,652 (-11%) 1mo $305,000 $185 62
22 Lundy Ln 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,895 (+2%) 5mo $440,500 $232 61
6 Laxton Ln 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,113 (+13%) 2mo $410,000 $194 61
4 Edenhall Ln 0.47mi 4/2.0 2,057 (+10%) 2mo $425,000 $207 59
3 Clun Ln 0.56mi 4/2.0 2,017 (+8%) 4mo $423,500 $210 57
5 Mawnan Cir 0.55mi 4/2.5 1,673 (-10%) 6mo $379,950 $227 50
8 Wreay Ln 0.57mi 4/2.0 1,652 (-11%) 7mo $347,000 $210 49
10 Swarthmoor Ln 0.74mi 4/2.5 1,711 (-8%) 2mo $406,507 $238 48
8 Swarthmoor Ln 0.74mi 4/2.5 1,673 (-10%) 5mo $385,000 $230 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-7,142
Equity at exit
$157,278
10-year hold
IRR
3.6%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$55,362
Equity at exit
$215,971

Cash invested: $121,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72714

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
484
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,140 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,281
Tax from tax record
$347 /mo · $4,160/yr
Insurance
$181
HOA
$40
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$659
Net cashflow
$-369

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,606
Max offer price $369,884
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-122 -5% $-245 +0% $-369 +5% $-492 +10% $-615
Rent -10% $-617 -5% $-493 +0% $-369 +5% $-245 +10% $-121
Rate -1.0pp $-150 -0.5pp $-258 base $-369 +0.5pp $-481 +1.0pp $-596

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$108,750
Closing costs
$13,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5 Mawnan Ln Unit 1297040P Bella Vista, AR 5.0 3.0 2507 $5,460 $2.18 23d 1 0.51mi
1 Dent Ln Bella Vista, AR 4.0 2.0 2215 $2,850 $1.29 15d 1 0.59mi
27 Shropshire Dr Bella Vista, AR 3.0 3.0 1822 $2,250 $1.23 15d 1 0.59mi
20 Annette Ln Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1520 $1,650 $1.09 16d 1 1.04mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$40 · $480/yr
Likely covers
sewergas

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $435,000 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $435,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $435,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $435,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $435,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    remarks 691-char remark
  7. 2026-06-05
    listed $435,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,160 · $347/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,160 · $347/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,679
− Mortgage interest
−$24,367
− Property taxes
−$4,160
− Insurance
−$2,175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,014
− Management
−$3,014
− HOA
−$480
− Depreciation
−$12,655
Taxable loss
−$12,186
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,925
After-tax cash flow
$-1,499/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bentonville School District
NCES district ID
0503060
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$66,721
Composite
51.85/100
National rank
#1661
State rank
#3 of 238 in AR

Livability — Bella Vista

Score
67/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#11129

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bella Vista, AR
County
Benton County · 259,241 people
City population
31,638
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
Population (ZIP)
14,350
Household income
$103,125
Rent vs Own
13.2% rent · 86.8% own
Severe rent burden
61.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
318,683 people
By 2030
353,481 · +10.9%
By 2040
425,280 · +33.4%
By 2050
497,239 · +56.0%
By 2075
662,114 · +107.8%
By 2100
776,431 · +143.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.38%
Current HPI
307.5796
Rent YoY
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4250.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $435,000 NWARMLS
  • 2024-02-29 Sold (MLS) $399,000 NWARMLS
  • 2024-01-28 Pending NWARMLS
  • 2023-12-01 Listed $399,000 NWARMLS
  • 2023-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+52.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,160 · +4098.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…