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4400 Florida
B Composite 73.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

4400 Florida · Hemet, CA 92545
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 117 Days on market
Built 1970 $45/sqft · 12% below area Est $67k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Royal Holiday 55 + Senior Community, this well Maintained Park Offers a calm welcoming Atmosphere with resort style amenities including club house with kitchen and banquet space. sparkling pool and spa, laundry facilities, carwash space, guest parking car. whiting walking distance to shopping store and Fwy 215. Double wide Mobile Home !!!!!!!!! 2 Bedrooms 2 Bath on 1,320 sqf Space 239, Newer AC and Heating. Schedule a Showing Today.

Key facts

  • Laundry facilities
  • Guest parking
  • Club house

Tags

RESORT STYLE AMENITIESCLUB HOUSELAUNDRY FACILITIESGUEST PARKINGWALKING DISTANCE TO SHOPPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.5% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $54,600 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.19%
Cap rate
28.55%
Cash-on-cash
79.48%
DSCR
4.54
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$66,800
List price
$60,000
Delta
-10.18%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5001 W Florida #618 0.54mi 2/2.0 1,344 (0%) 4mo $70,000 $52 72
5001 W Florida Ave W #728 0.54mi 2/2.0 1,344 (0%) 4mo $56,000 $42 72
5001 W Florida Ave #122 0.48mi 2/2.0 1,296 (-4%) 0mo $52,500 $41 72
5001 W Florida #171 0.54mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 1mo $67,000 $47 62
5001 FLORIDA #311 0.54mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 1mo $73,990 $51 62
5001 W Florida #695 0.48mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-7%) 5mo $45,000 $36 62
5001 W Florida Ave #305 0.54mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 2mo $91,000 $63 61
5001 W Florida #661 0.54mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 3mo $97,000 $67 60
5001 W Florida Ave #482 0.54mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 4mo $55,000 $38 59
5001 W Florida Ave #163 0.54mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 6mo $50,000 $35 58
5001 W Florida #524 0.54mi 2/2.0 1,488 (+11%) 3mo $62,000 $42 54
5001 W Florida Ave #135 0.47mi 2/2.0 1,504 (+12%) 5mo $55,000 $37 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
80.4%
Equity multiple
4.73×
Total profit
$62,599
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
84.1%
Equity multiple
10.04×
Total profit
$151,823
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92545

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
290
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,914 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $719/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$1,113

Break-even live

Break-even rent $506
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 37%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4400 W Florida Ave Spc 26 Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1193 $1,699 $1.42 14d 1 0.03mi
4400 W Florida Ave Unit 86 Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1310 $1,800 $1.37 43d 1 0.04mi
3800 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA 3.0 1.0–2.0 816 $2,055 $2.52 1d 8 0.57mi
3471 Dublin Ct Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1276 $2,895 $2.27 3d 1 0.89mi
3030 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 892 $1,895 $2.12 1d 10 0.92mi
2770 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 707 $1,945 $2.75 1d 11 1.16mi
2971 Pembroke Ave Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1572 $3,000 $1.91 18d 1 1.26mi
743 Via Linda Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1206 $1,995 $1.65 5d 1 1.26mi
2469 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 910 $1,750 $1.92 24d 1 1.28mi
2403 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 910 $1,995 $2.19 7d 1 1.30mi
683 Jonquil St Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1150 $2,448 $2.13 24d 1 1.38mi
811 Alondra Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1166 $1,875 $1.61 4d 1 1.43mi
2098 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 895 $2,035 $2.27 1d 1 1.49mi
853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1350 $1,875 $1.39 11d 1 1.49mi
853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1350 $1,875 $1.39 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 117 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 116 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 115 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 114 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 112 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 108 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 107 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 106 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $60,000 Active 103 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 102 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 101 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 100 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 99 DOM
  14. 2026-02-21
    listed $60,000 Active 448-char remark
    Show marketing remark (448 chars)

    Welcome to Royal Holiday 55 + Senior Community, this well Maintained Park Offers a calm welcoming Atmosphere with resort style amenities including club house with kitchen and banquet space. sparkling pool and spa, laundry facilities, carwash space, guest parking car. whiting walking distance to shopping store and Fwy 215. Double wide Mobile Home !!!!!!!!! 2 Bedrooms 2 Bath on 1,320 sqf Space 239, Newer AC and Heating. Schedule a Showing Today.

  15. 2021-11-11
    status Active
  16. 2021-10-05
    listed $40,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$719 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$719 · $60/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,971
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$719
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,838
− Management
−$1,838
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$13,170
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,161
After-tax cash flow
$10,191/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hemet Unified
NCES district ID
0616920
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$39,962
Composite
25.16/100
National rank
#7517
State rank
#360 of 517 in CA

Livability — Hemet

Score
51/100
State rank
#1056
US rank
#25208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemet, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
137,670
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
45,982
Household income
$63,770
Rent vs Own
28.8% rent · 71.2% own
Severe rent burden
1813.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% White 35% Two or more races 17% Black 8% Asian 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 40%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 27% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.25%
Current HPI
356.9414
Rent YoY
▲ 3.74%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-21 Listed $60,000 CRMLS
  • 2021-11-11 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2021-10-05 Listed $40,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $719 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…