204 Broad S · Ellaville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICE REDUCED & Located within the city limits of Ellaville, this 1925-built home sits on a 0.58-acre lot and offers great potential for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project. This home features 1,854 heated square feet with 3 beds & 1 updated bathroom. Inside you'll find a spacious living room with fireplace, large windows for natural light, & a dining area & kitchen with stove included. The home also includes a laundry room located inside for convenience. Hardwood floors throughout most of the home & a standout feature is the large 543 sq. ft. open porch, perfect for relaxing or enjoying the outdoors. The property has previously been used as a rental home and is being sold AS IS, making it an excellent opportunity for an investor looking to renovate and create rental income or restore a classic home with historic charm.
Key facts
- Large windows
- Kitchen with stove
- 0.58 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $561 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#324 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Schooley County (rural): math 40% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #34 of 174 in GA (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Schley County Elementary School (math 50% / reading 50%, grade D+, #255 of 1,228 statewide, top 21%, 568 students, 50% FRL); Schley Middle High School (math 33% / reading 44%, grade F, #61 of 424 statewide, top 15%, 663 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Schley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Schley County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.02%
- DSCR
- 2.65
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $177,319
- List price
- $64,900
- Delta
- -63.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 Broad S | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,854 (0%) | 1mo | $58,000 | $31 | 100 |
| 89 Murphy St | 0.67mi | 3/3.0 | 1,973 (+6%) | 18mo | $100,000 | $51 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.91×
- Total profit
- $71,064
- Equity at exit
- $58,467
- IRR
- 46.4%
- Equity multiple
- 10.97×
- Total profit
- $181,217
- Equity at exit
- $126,086
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31806
- Home prices YoY
- 19.5%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,263 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $835/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $561
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $597 | -5% $579 | +0% $561 | +5% $542 | +10% $524 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $461 | -5% $511 | +0% $561 | +5% $610 | +10% $660 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $593 | -0.5pp $577 | base $561 | +0.5pp $544 | +1.0pp $527 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-06price $64,900 877-char remark
Show marketing remark (868 chars)
PRICE REDUCED & Located within the city limits of Ellaville, this 1925-built home sits on a 0.58-acre lot and offers great potential for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project. This home features 1,854 heated square feet with 3 beds & 1 updated bathroom. Inside you'll find a spacious living room with fireplace, large windows for natural light, & a dining area & kitchen with stove included. The home also includes a laundry room located inside for convenience. Hardwood floors throughout most of the home & a standout feature is the large 543 sq. ft. open porch, perfect for relaxing or enjoying the outdoors. The property has previously been used as a rental home and is being sold AS IS, making it an excellent opportunity for an investor looking to renovate and create rental income or restore a classic home with historic charm.
-
2026-05-06price $64,900 868-char remark
Show marketing remark (868 chars)
PRICE REDUCED & Located within the city limits of Ellaville, this 1925-built home sits on a 0.58-acre lot and offers great potential for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project. This home features 1,854 heated square feet with 3 beds & 1 updated bathroom. Inside you'll find a spacious living room with fireplace, large windows for natural light, & a dining area & kitchen with stove included. The home also includes a laundry room located inside for convenience. Hardwood floors throughout most of the home & a standout feature is the large 543 sq. ft. open porch, perfect for relaxing or enjoying the outdoors. The property has previously been used as a rental home and is being sold AS IS, making it an excellent opportunity for an investor looking to renovate and create rental income or restore a classic home with historic charm.
-
2026-04-08price $74,900 877-char remark
Show marketing remark (868 chars)
PRICE REDUCED & Located within the city limits of Ellaville, this 1925-built home sits on a 0.58-acre lot and offers great potential for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project. This home features 1,854 heated square feet with 3 beds & 1 updated bathroom. Inside you'll find a spacious living room with fireplace, large windows for natural light, & a dining area & kitchen with stove included. The home also includes a laundry room located inside for convenience. Hardwood floors throughout most of the home & a standout feature is the large 543 sq. ft. open porch, perfect for relaxing or enjoying the outdoors. The property has previously been used as a rental home and is being sold AS IS, making it an excellent opportunity for an investor looking to renovate and create rental income or restore a classic home with historic charm.
-
2026-04-08price $74,900 868-char remark
Show marketing remark (868 chars)
PRICE REDUCED & Located within the city limits of Ellaville, this 1925-built home sits on a 0.58-acre lot and offers great potential for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project. This home features 1,854 heated square feet with 3 beds & 1 updated bathroom. Inside you'll find a spacious living room with fireplace, large windows for natural light, & a dining area & kitchen with stove included. The home also includes a laundry room located inside for convenience. Hardwood floors throughout most of the home & a standout feature is the large 543 sq. ft. open porch, perfect for relaxing or enjoying the outdoors. The property has previously been used as a rental home and is being sold AS IS, making it an excellent opportunity for an investor looking to renovate and create rental income or restore a classic home with historic charm.
-
2026-03-25$85,000 Active 877-char remark
Show marketing remark (877 chars)
PRICE REDUCED & Located within the city limits of Ellaville, this 1925-built home sits on a 0.58-acre lot and offers great potential for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project. This home features 1,854 heated square feet with 3 beds & 1 updated bathroom. Inside you'll find a spacious living room with fireplace, large windows for natural light, & a dining area & kitchen with stove included. The home also includes a laundry room located inside for convenience. Hardwood floors throughout most of the home & a standout feature is the large 543 sq. ft. open porch, perfect for relaxing or enjoying the outdoors. The property has previously been used as a rental home and is being sold AS IS, making it an excellent opportunity for an investor looking to renovate and create rental income or restore a classic home with historic charm.
-
2026-03-23$85,000 New 868-char remark
Show marketing remark (868 chars)
PRICE REDUCED & Located within the city limits of Ellaville, this 1925-built home sits on a 0.58-acre lot and offers great potential for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project. This home features 1,854 heated square feet with 3 beds & 1 updated bathroom. Inside you'll find a spacious living room with fireplace, large windows for natural light, & a dining area & kitchen with stove included. The home also includes a laundry room located inside for convenience. Hardwood floors throughout most of the home & a standout feature is the large 543 sq. ft. open porch, perfect for relaxing or enjoying the outdoors. The property has previously been used as a rental home and is being sold AS IS, making it an excellent opportunity for an investor looking to renovate and create rental income or restore a classic home with historic charm.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $835 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $835 · $70/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,153
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$835
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,212
- − Management
- −$1,212
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $6,046
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,451
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,276/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Schooley County
- NCES district ID
- 1304470
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,034
- Composite
- 35.92/100
- National rank
- #4805
- State rank
- #34 of 174 in GA
Livability — Ellaville
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #324
- US rank
- #17252
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ellaville, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,316
Population outlook (Schley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,714 people
- By 2030
- 5,975 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 6,493 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 6,967 · +21.9%
- By 2075
- 8,136 · +42.4%
- By 2100
- 8,904 · +55.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 17% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Schley
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.5) · D 18.7% · R 81.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -44.5pp · 2024: -62.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.5 2020: R+58.8 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+44.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 32.73%
- Current HPI
- 200.7691
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-23.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $64,900 CABOR
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $64,900 GAMLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $74,900 CABOR
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $74,900 GAMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $85,000 CABOR
- 2026-03-23 Listed $85,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $835 · +22.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…