Multi-family
103 N Main St · Elkton, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $435 – $905
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Appreciation +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
-103 and 105 South Main Street Elkton, Ky 42220 -Two separate office spaces being sold as one. -Approximately 1600 square feet -Both sides have bathrooms, one has kitchen -Separate HVAC -Has potential for a drive-up window if wanted -270-604-2070
Key facts
- Separate hvac
- One has kitchen
- Listed 262 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a ?-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $527 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 3.4% in Elkton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#419 in KY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Todd County (rural): math 23% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #99 of 165 in KY (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Todd County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Todd County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 262 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $83k; list at $150k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 262 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.06%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $9,211
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $51,012
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42220
- Home prices YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 13.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $548/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $527
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $612 | -5% $570 | +0% $527 | +5% $485 | +10% $442 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $385 | -5% $456 | +0% $527 | +5% $598 | +10% $669 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $603 | -0.5pp $565 | base $527 | +0.5pp $488 | +1.0pp $449 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 0 | 1 | $1,800 |
| #1 | 0 | 1 | $900 |
| #2 | 0 | 1 | $900 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,800 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $150,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $150,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2025-09-29$150,000 Active 246-char remark
Show marketing remark (246 chars)
-103 and 105 South Main Street Elkton, Ky 42220 -Two separate office spaces being sold as one. -Approximately 1600 square feet -Both sides have bathrooms, one has kitchen -Separate HVAC -Has potential for a drive-up window if wanted -270-604-2070
-
2003-04-01soldstatus $83,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $548 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,290 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- +$742/yr (+$62/mo · 135.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$548
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,728
- − Management
- −$1,728
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $4,080
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$979
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,347/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Todd County
- NCES district ID
- 2105550
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,989
- Composite
- 26.01/100
- National rank
- #7315
- State rank
- #99 of 165 in KY
Livability — Elkton
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #419
- US rank
- #20187
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elkton, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,795
Population outlook (Todd County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,073 people
- By 2030
- 11,770 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 11,082 · -8.2%
- By 2050
- 10,250 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 8,037 · -33.4%
- By 2100
- 5,654 · -53.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 8% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Todd
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.9) · D 20.6% · R 78.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -36.3pp · 2024: -57.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.9 2020: R+53.3 2016: R+53.9 2012: R+39.1 2008: R+36.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.23%
- Current HPI
- 291.83
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+80.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-29 Listed $150,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2003-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2014): $548 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…