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38 Inter Park Ave
A- Composite 83.19
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$85,000

38 Inter Park Ave · Buffalo, NY 14211
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 828 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1920 3,600 sqft lot Est $124k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 38 Inter Park Ave, a charming 3-bedroom single-family home located on Buffalo’s East Side, just minutes from the expressway for easy commuting. This home features an inviting open layout that creates a spacious flow throughout the living areas, perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. Enjoy mornings or evenings on the cozy front porch, adding extra curb appeal and outdoor living space. Inside, you’ll find newer flooring that complements the home’s design, along with recent updates including a brand new roof and hot water tank, giving you peace of mind for years to come.

Key facts

  • Hot water tank
  • Newer flooring
  • Front porch

Tags

OPEN LAYOUTFRONT PORCHNEWER FLOORINGNEW ROOFHOT WATER TANK

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water available (not connected); Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-story building (listed as 1 story); Resale property; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Existing (previously built)
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Open porch

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 on second level; Bedroom 2 on second level; Bedroom 3 on second level
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating; Wall cooling unit(s)
  • Interior features: Separate/formal living room; Other interior features (see remarks)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $709 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
  • Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: International School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,048 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 981 students, 92% FRL); Hutchinson Central Technical High School (math 96% / reading 32%, grade B-, #807 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,175 students, 78% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,528/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $69k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.80%
Cap rate
16.30%
Cash-on-cash
35.74%
DSCR
2.59
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$124,200
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
341 Florida St 0.39mi 3/1.5 916 (+11%) 12mo $137,000 $150 52
4 Pleasant Pl 0.53mi 3/1.0 737 (-11%) 24mo $79,900 $108 37
90 Alexander Pl 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 942 (+14%) 7mo $150,000 $159 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.9%
Equity multiple
3.15×
Total profit
$51,154
Equity at exit
$33,753
10-year hold
IRR
40.8%
Equity multiple
6.22×
Total profit
$124,237
Equity at exit
$48,778

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14211

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
173
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,528 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $208/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$321
Net cashflow
$709

Break-even live

Break-even rent $631
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $757 -5% $733 +0% $709 +5% $685 +10% $661
Rent -10% $588 -5% $648 +0% $709 +5% $769 +10% $830
Rate -1.0pp $752 -0.5pp $730 base $709 +0.5pp $687 +1.0pp $664

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
408 Winslow Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 16d 1 0.29mi
104 Butler Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 45d 1 0.32mi
76 Chester St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 16d 1 0.86mi
2075 Main St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 594 $1,400 $2.36 45d 2 0.91mi
52 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 600 $1,100 $1.83 45d 1 0.93mi
1786 Main St Unit 103 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.5 1110 $1,677 $1.51 45d 1 0.94mi
117 Humboldt Pkwy Unit B Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 840 $1,850 $2.20 45d 1 1.04mi
117 Humboldt Pkwy Unit A Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1105 $2,300 $2.08 45d 1 1.04mi
2 Agassiz Cir Unit B Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 983 $2,050 $2.09 25d 1 1.13mi
2 Agassiz Cir Unit A Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1076 $2,150 $2.00 25d 1 1.13mi
90 Sussex St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 45d 1 1.14mi
238 Oxford Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 25d 1 1.19mi
19 E Utica St Unit 203 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 16d 1 1.22mi
10 Jewett Pkwy Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 525 $1,210 $2.30 45d 1 1.31mi
1145 Michigan Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 655 $2,049 $3.13 45d 1 1.31mi
1165 Delaware Ave Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 658 $1,250 $1.90 45d 1 1.35mi
1310 Delaware Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 684 $1,275 $1.86 45d 1 1.38mi
88 W Utica St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 990 $2,150 $2.17 4d 1 1.43mi
88 W Utica St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 990 $2,150 $2.17 16d 1 1.43mi
1155 Main St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 592 $2,300 $3.88 45d 1 1.48mi
1040 Delaware Ave Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 687 $1,500 $2.18 5d 4 1.49mi
2532 Main St Apt 7 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 45d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    remarks 590-char remark
  6. 2026-06-15
    listed $85,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$208 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$822 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$614/yr (+$51/mo · 295.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,339
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$208
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,467
− Management
−$1,467
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$7,538
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,809
After-tax cash flow
$6,697/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
24,663
Household income
$36,300
Rent vs Own
54.8% rent · 45.2% own
Severe rent burden
1804.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.05%
Current HPI
357.6438
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+21.6% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $85,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-04 Listed $85,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-03 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2025-09-15 Listed $85,000 WNYREIS
  • 2021-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
  • 2021-04-30 Sold (MLS) $69,000 WNYREIS
  • 2021-02-12 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2021-01-24 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2021-01-05 Price Changed $69,800 WNYREIS
  • 2020-10-15 Listed $69,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $208 · +68.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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