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83 Montana Ave
C- Composite 52.51
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.6/30.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$149,900

83 Montana Ave · Buffalo, NY 14211
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,290 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 1900 3,484 sqft lot $116/sqft · 39% above area Est $108k · 39% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity for investors and flippers! This 3-bedroom, 1,290 square foot single-family home is perfect for fix-and-flip investors, landlords looking to add rental income after renovation, or anyone wanting to build sweat equity. All offers will be reviewed and considered - seller is motivated to work with serious cash buyers.

Key facts

  • Fully remodeled
  • New flooring
  • Spacious kitchen

Tags

FULLY REMODELEDNEW ROOFNEW WINDOWSNEW FLOORINGSPACIOUS KITCHENSEPARATE DINING AREA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Four garage spaces; Also listed as no garage (confirm parking arrangement)
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story residence; Existing construction
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Stone foundation; Construction materials: see remarks
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Covered porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Linoleum; Tile; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Accessible doors; Separate/formal dining room; Separate/formal living room; Main-level primary bedroom; Partial basement with sump pump
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer located in the basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $198 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (4.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (4.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: International School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,048 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 981 students, 92% FRL); Hutchinson Central Technical High School (math 96% / reading 32%, grade B-, #807 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,175 students, 78% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,429/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $54k; list at $150k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $142,923 (4.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
8.33%
Cash-on-cash
7.26%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$107,646
List price
$149,900
Delta
39.25%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
67 Montana Ave 0.03mi 3/1.0 1,182 (-8%) 9mo $68,000 $58 77
158 Wende St 0.40mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,340 (+4%) 1mo $70,000 $52 69
206 May St 0.45mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,255 (-3%) 8mo $159,900 $127 63
231 Stevens Ave 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,268 (-2%) 1mo $200,000 $158 58
102 Carl St 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,158 (-10%) 2mo $124,900 $108 56
26 Moeller St 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,454 (+13%) 4mo $220,000 $151 55
233 Stevens Ave 0.63mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,280 (-1%) 10mo $170,000 $133 54
117 Newburgh Ave 0.70mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,255 (-3%) 6mo $120,000 $96 53
855 Woodlawn Ave 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,303 (+1%) 10mo $116,500 $89 50
87 Hagen St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,121 (-13%) 4mo $120,000 $107 41
55 Forman St 0.52mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (-13%) 11mo $120,600 $108 40
68 Wecker St 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,148 (-11%) 6mo $180,000 $157 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$23,239
Equity at exit
$59,524
10-year hold
IRR
13.2%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$74,576
Equity at exit
$86,022

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14211

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
174
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,429 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$27 /mo · $320/yr
Insurance
$62
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$198

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,178
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $283 -5% $241 +0% $198 +5% $156 +10% $-66
Rent -10% $85 -5% $142 +0% $198 +5% $255 +10% $311
Rate -1.0pp $274 -0.5pp $236 base $198 +0.5pp $159 +1.0pp $120

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
517 Goodyear Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1559 $1,800 $1.15 21d 1 0.16mi
408 Koons Ave Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,050 $0.91 0d 1 0.33mi
67 Moeller St Unit UPPER Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 960 $1,000 $1.04 5d 1 0.46mi
67 Moeller St Unit LOWER Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 960 $1,200 $1.25 26d 1 0.46mi
85 Blake St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 4.0 2.0 1022 $1,000 $0.98 46d 1 0.55mi
216 Newburgh Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1690 $1,150 $0.68 26d 1 0.82mi
249 Newburgh Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 930 $1,300 $1.40 46d 1 0.88mi
408 Winslow Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 16d 1 0.90mi
61 Courtland Ave Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 46d 1 0.93mi
65 Domedion Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1632 $1,500 $0.92 0d 1 0.97mi
71 Gerald Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1773 $1,100 $0.62 46d 1 1.00mi
74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 46d 1 1.02mi
17 Proctor Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 46d 1 1.06mi
979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 3.0 1793 $2,000 $1.12 0d 1 1.10mi
90 Sussex St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 46d 1 1.10mi
1777 Broadway Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,200 $0.92 46d 1 1.15mi
24 Euclid Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,700 $1.48 46d 1 1.16mi
184 Butler Ave Unit 1545840P Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1496 $3,226 $2.16 16d 1 1.32mi
50 Pine Ridge Ter Unit 3 Cheektowaga, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,400 $1.56 19d 1 1.33mi
179 Donaldson Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,350 $1.17 5d 1 1.39mi
104 Butler Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 46d 1 1.46mi
1202 Walden Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,400 $0.93 19d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $149,900 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $149,900 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    pricedays on market $149,900 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $159,900 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 38 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 31 DOM
  17. 2026-04-30
    listed $159,900 Active 741-char remark
  18. 2025-12-30
    soldstatus $54,000
  19. 2025-12-17
    soldstatus $54,000 Closed 334-char remark
    Show marketing remark (334 chars)

    Great opportunity for investors and flippers! This 3-bedroom, 1,290 square foot single-family home is perfect for fix-and-flip investors, landlords looking to add rental income after renovation, or anyone wanting to build sweat equity. All offers will be reviewed and considered - seller is motivated to work with serious cash buyers.

  20. 2025-11-05
    status Pending 334-char remark
    Show marketing remark (334 chars)

    Great opportunity for investors and flippers! This 3-bedroom, 1,290 square foot single-family home is perfect for fix-and-flip investors, landlords looking to add rental income after renovation, or anyone wanting to build sweat equity. All offers will be reviewed and considered - seller is motivated to work with serious cash buyers.

  21. 2025-10-29
    listed $68,500 Active 334-char remark
    Show marketing remark (334 chars)

    Great opportunity for investors and flippers! This 3-bedroom, 1,290 square foot single-family home is perfect for fix-and-flip investors, landlords looking to add rental income after renovation, or anyone wanting to build sweat equity. All offers will be reviewed and considered - seller is motivated to work with serious cash buyers.

  22. 2016-07-29
    soldstatus $32,500 Closed Sale or Rented
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    Ready for you to move right in. Large living room, formal dining room with fireplace & mantle; huge first floor bedroom with large walk-in closet; updated kitchen & bath. All spacious rooms; neat & clean; well maintained. Newer furnace & hot water tank; roof 2014; circuit breakers - 100 amp service. Sided; storms & screens; dusk to dawn light in backyard; dry basement with sump pump.

  23. 2016-04-25
    status Pending Sale
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    Ready for you to move right in. Large living room, formal dining room with fireplace & mantle; huge first floor bedroom with large walk-in closet; updated kitchen & bath. All spacious rooms; neat & clean; well maintained. Newer furnace & hot water tank; roof 2014; circuit breakers - 100 amp service. Sided; storms & screens; dusk to dawn light in backyard; dry basement with sump pump.

  24. 2015-11-18
    listed $38,083 Active
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    Ready for you to move right in. Large living room, formal dining room with fireplace & mantle; huge first floor bedroom with large walk-in closet; updated kitchen & bath. All spacious rooms; neat & clean; well maintained. Newer furnace & hot water tank; roof 2014; circuit breakers - 100 amp service. Sided; storms & screens; dusk to dawn light in backyard; dry basement with sump pump.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$320 · $27/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,427 · $119/mo
Expected delta
+$1,106/yr (+$92/mo · 345.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,151
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$320
− Insurance
−$1,416
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,372
− Management
−$1,372
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$87
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$21
After-tax cash flow
$2,401/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
24,663
Household income
$36,300
Rent vs Own
54.8% rent · 45.2% own
Severe rent burden
1804.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.05%
Current HPI
357.6438
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+293.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $149,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $159,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
  • 2025-12-17 Sold (MLS) $54,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-05 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2025-10-29 Listed $68,500 WNYREIS
  • 2016-07-29 Sold (MLS) $32,500 WNYREIS
  • 2016-04-25 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2015-11-18 Listed $38,083 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+14.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $320 · +63.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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