503 Redman Ave · Campbellsville, KY 42718

$99,900

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,404 sqft · Other public records · 90 Days on market

Built 1955 0.25 ac lot ↓ 25% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• 0.25 acre lot
• Garage
• Built 1955

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $592 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
• Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 3.7% in Campbellsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#94 in KY, #3,786 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, employment F.
• Campbellsville Independent (town): math 16% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #152 of 165 in KY (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Taylor County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $93,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.50% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.40%
• Cash-on-cash: 25.39%
• DSCR: 2.13
• GRM: 5.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 18.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.77×
• Total profit: $21,475
• Equity at exit: $14,895

10-year hold

• IRR: 27.3%
• Equity multiple: 3.40×
• Total profit: $67,094
• Equity at exit: $8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kentucky: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 42718

• Home prices YoY: -30.1%
• Active inventory: 186
• Price-to-rent: 5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,500 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax from tax record: −$28 /mo · $331/yr
• Insurance: −$42
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$315
• Net cashflow: $592

Break-even live

Break-even rent $751

Max offer price $99,900

Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $648	-5% $620	+0% $592	+5% $564	+10% $535
Rent	-10% $473	-5% $533	+0% $592	+5% $651	+10% $710
Rate	-1.0pp $642	-0.5pp $617	base $592	+0.5pp $566	+1.0pp $540

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,975
• Closing costs: $2,997
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
117 Sunset Dr Campbellsville, KY	3.0	2.0	1616	$1,500	$0.93	3d	1	0.24mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-02-17
   soldstatus $98,000
2. 2026-01-01
   status Pending
3. 2025-12-18
   price $99,900
4. 2025-09-29
   listed $129,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $331 · $28/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $859 · $72/mo
• Expected delta: +$528/yr (+$44/mo · 159.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,000
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,596
• − Property taxes: −$331
• − Insurance: −$500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,440
• − Management: −$1,440
• − Depreciation: −$2,906
• Taxable income: $5,788
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,389
• After-tax cash flow: $5,714/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Campbellsville Independent
• NCES district ID: 2100930
• Math proficiency: 16% ▼ -28.00%
• Reading proficiency: 32% ▼ -16.00%
• Median HH income: $25,520
• Composite: 18.83/100
• National rank: #8864
• State rank: #152 of 165 in KY

Livability — Campbellsville

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #94
• US rank: #3786

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Campbellsville, KY
• Population (ZIP): 26,461

Population outlook (Taylor County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 27,046 people
• By 2030: 27,794 · +2.8%
• By 2040: 29,231 · +8.1%
• By 2050: 30,486 · +12.7%
• By 2075: 33,767 · +24.9%
• By 2100: 34,638 · +28.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (89%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 89% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Taylor

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+56.7) · D 21.0% · R 77.7% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.1pp toward R · 2008: -40.5pp · 2024: -56.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+56.7 2020: R+51.2 2016: R+51.0 2012: R+39.0 2008: R+40.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -94.56%
• Current HPI: 219.877
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.81%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$118B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$7B

Price history

-24.6% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
• 2026-01-01 Pending — HKARMLS
• 2025-12-18 Price Changed $99,900 HKARMLS
• 2025-09-29 Listed $129,900 HKARMLS

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $331 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.