259 Pebble Hill Cir · Sylvester, GA 31791

$68,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Other · 34 Days on market

Built 1998

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.9/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +2.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

3 bedroom 2 bathrooms 24x56 New remodel guest bathroom 12x16 deck out back Septic system is 3 years old All New water lines All new flooring installed within the last three years Sets on a little over a half acre For sale by owner an is sold as is

Key facts

• 12x16 deck out back
• All new water lines
• Built 1998

Tags

• NEW REMODEL GUEST BATHROOM
• 12X16 DECK OUT BACK
• SEPTIC SYSTEM IS 3 YEARS OLD
• ALL NEW WATER LINES
• ALL NEW FLOORING INSTALLED

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $68k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
• Recommended offer: $66k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 3.6% in Sylvester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#287 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Worth County (town): math 28% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #91 of 174 in GA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Worth County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Worth County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $65,960 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.49% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.09%
• Cash-on-cash: 20.70%
• DSCR: 1.92
• GRM: 5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 13.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.52×
• Total profit: $9,910
• Equity at exit: $10,139

10-year hold

• IRR: 21.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.87×
• Total profit: $35,621
• Equity at exit: $5,879

Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31791

• Home prices YoY: -20.8%
• Active inventory: 71
• Price-to-rent: 5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,010 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$357
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$85 /mo · $1,020/yr
• Insurance: −$28
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$212
• Net cashflow: $328

Break-even live

Break-even rent $595

Max offer price $68,000

Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,000
• Closing costs: $2,040
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $68,000 Active 34 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $68,000 Active 33 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $68,000 Active 32 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   pricedays on market $68,000 Active 31 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $75,000 Active 30 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $75,000 Active 28 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $75,000 Active 25 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $75,000 Active 24 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 18 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 17 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 16 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 15 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $75,000 Active 14 DOM
18. 2026-05-16
    listed $75,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,126
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,809
• − Property taxes: −$1,020
• − Insurance: −$340
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$970
• − Management: −$970
• − Depreciation: −$1,978
• Taxable income: $3,039
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$729
• After-tax cash flow: $3,211/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Worth County
• NCES district ID: 1305850
• Math proficiency: 28% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 34% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $39,056
• Composite: 25.97/100
• National rank: #7327
• State rank: #91 of 174 in GA

Livability — Sylvester

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #287
• US rank: #15795

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 11,312

Population outlook (Worth County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 18,547 people
• By 2030: 17,345 · -6.5%
• By 2040: 14,978 · -19.2%
• By 2050: 12,782 · -31.1%
• By 2075: 8,832 · -52.4%
• By 2100: 6,226 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (57%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 57% Black 35% Two or more races 6%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Worth

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+50.4) · D 24.7% · R 75.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -38.7pp · 2024: -50.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+50.4 2020: R+47.8 2016: R+50.0 2012: R+40.2 2008: R+38.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -48.96%
• Current HPI: 185.9708
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-16 Listed $75,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

-12.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $102 · -25.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.