7650 Balboa Blvd #129 · Los Angeles, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This delightful home, constructed in 2018, is perfectly located in the heart of Van Nuys. It boasts around 506 square feet of living space, with two bedrooms and one bathroom. The kitchen features stylish recessed lighting, and laminate flooring flows seamlessly throughout the entire home. Additional conveniences include hookups for a stackable washer and dryer, as well as central air conditioning and heating, which is equipped with wiring for ceiling fans. This property is a must-see and is unlikely to remain on the market for long!
Key facts
- Laminate flooring
- Recessed lighting
- Built 2018
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $784 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.01%
- DSCR
- 2.25
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $24,529
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.87×
- Total profit
- $62,637
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Los Angeles
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
ZIP-level market 91406
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,041 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$429
- Net cashflow
- $784
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17134 Saticoy St Lake Balboa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 526 | $1,795 | $3.41 | 5d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 7225 Forbes Ave Van Nuys, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,959 | $4.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 7225 Forbes Ave Van Nuys, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,950 | $4.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 16812 Sherman Way Van Nuys, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,975 | $2.82 | 2d | 2 | 0.63mi |
| 16750 Sherman Way Van Nuys, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $2,000 | $2.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 7605 Louise Ave Apt 404 Northridge, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,995 | $3.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 17451 Keswick St Northridge, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 415 | $2,250 | $5.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 17171 Roscoe Blvd Northridge, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 730 | $2,889 | $3.96 | 2d | 13 | 0.96mi |
| 7310 Woodley Ave Van Nuys, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 475 | $2,000 | $4.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 7302 Woodley Ave Van Nuys, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 475 | $2,000 | $4.21 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 6851 De Celis Pl Lake Balboa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $2,100 | $4.67 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 17442 Sherman Way Van Nuys, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $2,513 | $2.95 | 3d | 2 | 1.05mi |
| 7121 Woodley Ave Van Nuys, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1010 | $2,884 | $2.85 | 3d | 7 | 1.10mi |
| 16547 Vanowen St Van Nuys, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $2,015 | $3.44 | 2d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 16525 Vanowen St Van Nuys, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,750 | $2.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 16505 Vanowen St Van Nuys, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 479 | $1,905 | $3.97 | 5d | 5 | 1.15mi |
| 16550 Vanowen St Van Nuys, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $2,550 | $3.91 | 17d | 4 | 1.17mi |
| 16915 Napa St Northridge, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 685 | $2,695 | $3.93 | 3d | 4 | 1.19mi |
| 7006 Encino Ave Lake Balboa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 365 | $1,750 | $4.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8025 White Oak Ave Reseda, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $1,695 | $4.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 8413 Woodley Ave Unit 2 North Hills, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 350 | $1,700 | $4.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 6805 Louise Ave Van Nuys, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 739 | $1,987 | $2.69 | 8d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 17748 Valerio St Reseda, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 396 | $2,300 | $5.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 15908 Sherman Way Unit 15908-5 Van Nuys, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,650 | $2.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 15904 Sherman Way Unit 15904-3 Van Nuys, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,695 | $2.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 16215 Vanowen St Unit 16215-11 Van Nuys, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,795 | $2.39 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 17828 Saticoy St Unit 17828 04 Reseda, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,695 | $2.61 | 19d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 6650 Hayvenhurst Ave Van Nuys, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,650 | $2.75 | 8d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 15716 Saticoy St Van Nuys, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 578 | $2,195 | $3.80 | 1d | 4 | 1.36mi |
| 17852 Saticoy St Unit 1/2 Reseda, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,295 | $4.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 7509 Haskell Ave Van Nuys, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,775 | $2.64 | 17d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 6754 Valjean Ave Van Nuys, CA | 2.0 | 0.5–2.0 | 537 | $2,400 | $4.47 | 3d | 71 | 1.38mi |
| 7353 Jamieson Ave Unit 1 Reseda, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 350 | $2,100 | $6.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 17801 Sherman Way Apt 210 Reseda, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,750 | $2.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 7407 Haskell Ave Unit 8 Van Nuys, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,995 | $2.66 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7407 Haskell Ave Van Nuys, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,995 | $2.66 | 17d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7103 Yarmouth Ave Reseda, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $2,390 | $4.05 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7444 Haskell Ave Van Nuys, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,825 | $2.81 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 8614 Woodley Ave North Hills, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $1,749 | $3.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 7326 Haskell Ave Unit 01 Van Nuys, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $1,695 | $2.87 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $119,900 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $124,900 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 51 DOM
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2026-05-07price $124,900 539-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
This delightful home, constructed in 2018, is perfectly located in the heart of Van Nuys. It boasts around 506 square feet of living space, with two bedrooms and one bathroom. The kitchen features stylish recessed lighting, and laminate flooring flows seamlessly throughout the entire home. Additional conveniences include hookups for a stackable washer and dryer, as well as central air conditioning and heating, which is equipped with wiring for ceiling fans. This property is a must-see and is unlikely to remain on the market for long!
-
2026-04-10$129,900 Active 539-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
This delightful home, constructed in 2018, is perfectly located in the heart of Van Nuys. It boasts around 506 square feet of living space, with two bedrooms and one bathroom. The kitchen features stylish recessed lighting, and laminate flooring flows seamlessly throughout the entire home. Additional conveniences include hookups for a stackable washer and dryer, as well as central air conditioning and heating, which is equipped with wiring for ceiling fans. This property is a must-see and is unlikely to remain on the market for long!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,489
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,798
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,959
- − Management
- −$1,959
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $7,969
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,912
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,491/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2018 manufactured home in Van Nuys is in good condition with a fresh paint job and energy-efficient appliances. It offers a good balance of curb appeal and functionality, making it a solid investment.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace single-pane windows with energy-efficient double-pane windows — Improves energy efficiency and reduces utility costs
- Both Install smart home automation system — Enhances convenience and adds modern appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace single-pane windows with energy-efficient double-pane windows — Improves energy efficiency and reduces utility costs ↑
- Both Install smart home automation system — Enhances convenience and adds modern appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Los Angeles Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0622710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,403
- Composite
- 35.67/100
- National rank
- #4875
- State rank
- #223 of 517 in CA
Livability — Los Angeles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #273
- US rank
- #9237
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Los Angeles, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 3,838,149
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,953
- Household income
- $78,429
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3689.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 58% White 26% Two or more races 19% Asian 8% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 40% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 50% Other Indo-European 5% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -900.10%
- Current HPI
- 457.2177
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.00%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-3.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $124,900 CRMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $129,900 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…