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1455 S State St #192
B- Composite 66.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.8/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,999

1455 S State St #192 · Hemet, CA 92543
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,392 sqft · Manufactured public records · 79 Days on market
Built 1969 $101/sqft · 5% above area Est $138k · at est. ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully recently renovated 4-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home located in the heart of Hemet! The interior has been updated to provide a fresh and comfortable living environment, making it move-in ready for its next owners. The community offers great amenities for residents to enjoy, including a clubhouse, convenient laundry facilities, two swimming pools, and relaxing jacuzzis. With generous living space and excellent community features, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this wonderful home yours!

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool
  • Built 1969

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $745 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 4.8% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • San Jacinto Unified (suburban): math 13% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #421 of 517 in CA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 270 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,168/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 2144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $131,599 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
12.68%
Cash-on-cash
22.80%
DSCR
2.01
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$137,859
List price
$139,999
Delta
1.55%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1536 S State #213 0.05mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-3%) 2mo $125,000 $93 90
1455 S State St #241 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-3%) 3mo $100,000 $74 87
1455 S State St #238 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-10%) 4mo $145,000 $116 75
1455 S State St #271 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,224 (-12%) 9mo $140,000 $114 67
1097 N State St #515 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-3%) 8mo $140,000 $104 65
999 S Santa Fe #90 0.72mi 2/2.0 1,404 (+1%) 16mo $45,000 $32 52
1097 N State St #548 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-10%) 12mo $140,000 $112 50
1097 N State St #213 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-10%) 13mo $90,000 $72 48
1600 S San Jacinto Ave #182 0.67mi 2/2.0 1,272 (-9%) 10mo $41,100 $32 46
913 S Grand Ave #134 0.51mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-10%) 17mo $104,000 $83 44
913 S Grand Ave #25 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-10%) 16mo $80,000 $64 40
999 S Santa Fe Ave #92 0.72mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-10%) 18mo $11,700 $9 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.3%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$22,116
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
22.1%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$69,786
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92543

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
270
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,168 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax est. 1.5%
$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$455
Net cashflow
$745

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,225
Max offer price $139,999
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $842 -5% $793 +0% $745 +5% $696 +10% $648
Rent -10% $574 -5% $659 +0% $745 +5% $830 +10% $916
Rate -1.0pp $815 -0.5pp $780 base $745 +0.5pp $709 +1.0pp $672

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
N Santa Fe St GLMN HOT SPGS, CA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1053 $2,350 $2.23 0d 2 0.51mi
1555 S Santa Fe Ave San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.0 1161 $2,300 $1.98 25d 1 0.54mi
1775 S Santa Fe Ave San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,850 $2.19 0d 1 0.54mi
1569 Willowcreek Loop San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.5 921 $2,100 $2.28 25d 1 0.57mi
289 Brown St San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 1400 $2,300 $1.64 44d 1 0.99mi
1106 Don Carlos Ct San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.0 1389 $2,999 $2.16 44d 1 1.01mi
828 Coramdeo Ct Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1543 $3,000 $1.94 44d 1 1.02mi
1066 Birch Ln San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.0 1785 $2,600 $1.46 6d 1 1.06mi
1354 Yorktown Cir San Jacinto, CA 2.0 2.0 1106 $2,100 $1.90 44d 1 1.11mi
148 N Palomar Ave San Jacinto, CA 2.0 2.0 1368 $1,152 $0.84 25d 1 1.13mi
795 Minor St Unit A San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,700 $1.94 25d 1 1.16mi
800 Minor St San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,600 $1.82 0d 1 1.17mi
344 E 6th St San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,900 $2.11 25d 1 1.17mi
784 Minor St Unit B San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,700 $1.94 25d 1 1.17mi
748 Minor St Apt F San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,600 $1.82 44d 1 1.18mi
700 Minor St San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,600 $1.82 44d 1 1.20mi
700 Minor St San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,700 $1.94 25d 1 1.20mi
419 Angela Way San Jacinto, CA 3.0 1.0 988 $2,150 $2.18 16d 1 1.20mi
1559 Park Meadows Dr San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.0 1644 $2,675 $1.63 44d 1 1.30mi
663 Mariposa Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1440 $1,500 $1.04 25d 1 1.30mi
1700 Walden Ln Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1430 $2,670 $1.87 25d 1 1.30mi
621 S Mistletoe Ave San Jacinto, CA 2.0 2.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 44d 1 1.32mi
1410 Cottonwood Ave San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.5 1257 $2,300 $1.83 44d 1 1.35mi
910 E Campus Way Unit 910 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 940 $1,550 $1.65 44d 1 1.35mi
1118 E Campus Way Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $2,200 $2.44 25d 1 1.38mi
165 Tiger Ln San Jacinto, CA 2.0 2.0 1339 $2,150 $1.61 3d 1 1.40mi
2014 Iris Way Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1192 $2,850 $2.39 44d 1 1.41mi
446 N Elk St Unit D Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 980 $1,675 $1.71 25d 1 1.43mi
1844 Paradise Way San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.0 1540 $3,000 $1.95 44d 1 1.44mi
249 Idyllwild Dr San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.0 1025 $2,300 $2.24 44d 1 1.46mi
543 La Cresta Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1544 $1,595 $1.03 44d 1 1.46mi
2208 El Grande St Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1327 $2,100 $1.58 19d 1 1.46mi
2208 El Grande St Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1327 $2,000 $1.51 0d 1 1.46mi
1270 Rosalia Ave Unit 1 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,800 $2.00 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,999 Active 79 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,999 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,999 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,999 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-05-05
    price $149,999 571-char remark
    Show marketing remark (571 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully recently renovated 4-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home located in the heart of Hemet! The interior has been updated to provide a fresh and comfortable living environment, making it move-in ready for its next owners. The community offers great amenities for residents to enjoy, including a clubhouse, convenient laundry facilities, two swimming pools, and relaxing jacuzzis. With generous living space and excellent community features, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this wonderful home yours!

  6. 2026-04-06
    price $159,999 571-char remark
    Show marketing remark (571 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully recently renovated 4-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home located in the heart of Hemet! The interior has been updated to provide a fresh and comfortable living environment, making it move-in ready for its next owners. The community offers great amenities for residents to enjoy, including a clubhouse, convenient laundry facilities, two swimming pools, and relaxing jacuzzis. With generous living space and excellent community features, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this wonderful home yours!

  7. 2026-03-15
    listed $169,999 Active 571-char remark
    Show marketing remark (571 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully recently renovated 4-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home located in the heart of Hemet! The interior has been updated to provide a fresh and comfortable living environment, making it move-in ready for its next owners. The community offers great amenities for residents to enjoy, including a clubhouse, convenient laundry facilities, two swimming pools, and relaxing jacuzzis. With generous living space and excellent community features, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this wonderful home yours!

  8. 2026-03-12
    historical $169,999 571-char remark
    Show marketing remark (571 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully recently renovated 4-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home located in the heart of Hemet! The interior has been updated to provide a fresh and comfortable living environment, making it move-in ready for its next owners. The community offers great amenities for residents to enjoy, including a clubhouse, convenient laundry facilities, two swimming pools, and relaxing jacuzzis. With generous living space and excellent community features, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this wonderful home yours!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,010
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$2,100
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,081
− Management
−$2,081
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$7,134
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,712
After-tax cash flow
$7,226/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Jacinto Unified
NCES district ID
0634440
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,560
Composite
20.94/100
National rank
#8478
State rank
#421 of 517 in CA

Livability — Hemet

Score
51/100
State rank
#1056
US rank
#25208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemet, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
137,670
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
39,937
Household income
$49,396
Rent vs Own
42.8% rent · 57.2% own
Severe rent burden
2144.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 54% White 30% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 48% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 38% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -147.46%
Current HPI
405.1277
Rent YoY
▲ 1.76%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $149,999 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $159,999 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-15 Listed $169,999 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Coming Soon $169,999 CRMLS

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $185 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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