CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2519 Cardamom Ct 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 31.55
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$314,990

2519 Cardamom Ct · Haines City, FL 33844
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,050 sqft · Land · 157 Days on market
Built 2026 6,098 sqft lot $120/mo HOA · 5% of rent ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

4 bed | 2.5 bath | 2-bay | 2050 sqft

Key facts

  • Charming dining area
  • Stylish cabinets
  • Private bath

Tags

OPEN GREAT ROOMCHARMING DINING AREASTYLISH CABINETSGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESPRIVATE BATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: CDD applies
  • Financial info: Other annual assessment approximately $1,022; Total annual fees $1,448 (monthly equivalent $120.67)
  • HOA & community: Has HOA (Prime Community Management); Monthly HOA approximately $120.67 (Quarterly fee shown as $362); Community mailbox; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (2 spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Under construction (projected completion: 2026-05-20); Two levels; Southeast facing; New construction
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by CENTURY COMPLETE (Model: MAYFIELD II - B)
  • Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full baths; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (Electric, Heat Pump); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Thermostat; Walk-in closets; Double-pane, insulated thermal windows
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room inside (upper level); Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath land listed at $315k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-394 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (22.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (25.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $236k (25.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#285 in FL, #4,575 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Alta Vista Elementary School (math 35% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,684 of 2,144 statewide, top 79%, 769 students, 60% FRL); Shelley S. Boone Middle School (math 25% / reading 25%, grade F, #517 of 571 statewide, top 91%, 1,403 students, 52% FRL); Haines City Senior High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #544 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,700 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Polk average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 1344 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $235,581 (25.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
4.79%
Cash-on-cash
-5.36%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.16% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-27.6%
Equity multiple
0.09×
Total profit
$-80,314
Equity at exit
$46,966
10-year hold
IRR
-34.5%
Equity multiple
-0.35×
Total profit
$-118,818
Equity at exit
$27,235

Cash invested: $88,197 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33844

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
1344
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,356 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,652
Tax from tax record
$352 /mo · $4,220/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$120
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$495
Net cashflow
$-394

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,854
Max offer price $245,449
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-215 -5% $-305 +0% $-394 +5% $-483 +10% $-572
Rent -10% $-580 -5% $-487 +0% $-394 +5% $-301 +10% $-208
Rate -1.0pp $-235 -0.5pp $-314 base $-394 +0.5pp $-475 +1.0pp $-558

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,748
Closing costs
$9,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2744 Ginger Ln Haines City, FL 4.0 2.0 1703 $2,250 $1.32 5d 1 0.06mi
2748 Ginger Ln Haines City, FL 4.0 2.5 1895 $2,100 $1.11 16d 1 0.07mi
4904 Bluebell Ct Haines City, FL 4.0 2.5 2840 $2,700 $0.95 25d 1 0.26mi
1712 Vanilla St Haines City, FL 3.0 2.0 1630 $2,000 $1.23 25d 1 0.29mi
1728 Vanilla St Haines City, FL 4.0 2.0 1850 $2,400 $1.30 25d 1 0.32mi
4520 Ranunculus St Haines City, FL 4.0 2.5 2290 $2,300 $1.00 16d 1 0.34mi
4434 Petunia ST Lake Hamilton, FL 4.0 3.0 2122 $2,350 $1.11 12d 1 0.40mi
3857 Geranium Ave Haines City, FL 4.0 2.5 2073 $2,050 $0.99 25d 1 0.48mi
4058 Gardenia Ave Haines City, FL 3.0 2.0 1615 $1,995 $1.24 25d 1 0.52mi
1242 Tagliamento Ln Haines City, FL 4.0 2.0 1820 $2,000 $1.10 25d 1 0.67mi
304 Pearl St Haines City, FL 4.0 2.0 1706 $1,999 $1.17 16d 1 0.67mi
308 Pearl St Haines City, FL 4.0 2.0 1706 $1,999 $1.17 16d 1 0.68mi
815 Ofanto Way Haines City, FL 3.0 2.0 1560 $2,500 $1.60 5d 1 0.94mi
835 Ofanto Way Haines City, FL 4.0 3.0 2080 $2,350 $1.13 25d 1 0.94mi
751 Staffora St Haines City, FL 4.0 2.0 1848 $2,300 $1.24 25d 1 0.99mi
755 Staffora St Haines City, FL 3.0 2.0 1555 $1,799 $1.16 25d 1 0.99mi
640 Tanaro Ln Haines City, FL 3.0 2.0 1975 $2,100 $1.06 25d 1 1.02mi
660 Tanaro Ln Haines City, FL 4.0 2.0 1848 $2,000 $1.08 25d 1 1.02mi
671 Tanaro Ln Haines City, FL 4.0 2.0 1955 $2,200 $1.13 12d 1 1.05mi
2240 Crown Rock Bluff Dr Lake Hamilton, FL 3.0 2.0 1486 $1,999 $1.35 16d 1 1.12mi
2528 Absolute Ave Lake Hamilton, FL 5.0 2.5 2112 $2,800 $1.33 25d 1 1.13mi
2728 Lookout Ridge Rd Lake Hamilton, FL 4.0 2.5 1874 $1,900 $1.01 25d 1 1.27mi
2405 Bluestone Rd Lake Hamilton, FL 3.0 2.0 1487 $1,900 $1.28 25d 1 1.29mi
2733 Lookout Ridge Rd Lake Hamilton, FL 5.0 2.5 2326 $2,400 $1.03 25d 1 1.30mi
2756 Lookout Ridge Rd Lake Hamilton, FL 5.0 2.5 2112 $2,350 $1.11 15d 1 1.31mi
2912 poppy ave, Lake Hamilton, FL 3.0 2.0 1401 $1,925 $1.37 25d 1 1.36mi
2451 Bluestone Rd Lake Hamilton, FL 4.0 3.0 2109 $2,000 $0.95 25d 1 1.37mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$120 · $1,440/yr

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $314,990 Active 157 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $314,990 Active 154 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $314,990 Active 153 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $314,990 Active 152 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $314,990 Active 151 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $314,990 Active 149 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $314,990 Active 146 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $314,990 Active 145 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $314,990 Active 144 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $314,990 Active 143 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $314,990 Active 140 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $314,990 Active 138 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $314,990 Active 137 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $314,990 Active 136 DOM
  16. 2026-05-08
    price $309,990 36-char remark
    Show marketing remark (36 chars)

    4 bed | 2.5 bath | 2-bay | 2050 sqft

  17. 2026-05-08
    price $309,990
    Show marketing remark (36 chars)

    4 bed | 2.5 bath | 2-bay | 2050 sqft

  18. 2026-04-24
    price $321,990 36-char remark
    Show marketing remark (36 chars)

    4 bed | 2.5 bath | 2-bay | 2050 sqft

  19. 2026-04-24
    price $321,990
    Show marketing remark (36 chars)

    4 bed | 2.5 bath | 2-bay | 2050 sqft

  20. 2026-04-24
    price $317,990
    Show marketing remark (36 chars)

    4 bed | 2.5 bath | 2-bay | 2050 sqft

  21. 2026-04-18
    price $299,990 36-char remark
    Show marketing remark (36 chars)

    4 bed | 2.5 bath | 2-bay | 2050 sqft

  22. 2026-04-18
    price $299,990
    Show marketing remark (36 chars)

    4 bed | 2.5 bath | 2-bay | 2050 sqft

  23. 2026-02-26
    status Active 36-char remark
    Show marketing remark (36 chars)

    4 bed | 2.5 bath | 2-bay | 2050 sqft

  24. 2026-02-23
    historical 36-char remark
    Show marketing remark (36 chars)

    4 bed | 2.5 bath | 2-bay | 2050 sqft

  25. 2026-02-18
    price $299,888
    Show marketing remark (36 chars)

    4 bed | 2.5 bath | 2-bay | 2050 sqft

  26. 2026-02-18
    price $299,888 36-char remark
    Show marketing remark (36 chars)

    4 bed | 2.5 bath | 2-bay | 2050 sqft

  27. 2026-01-22
    listed $317,990 Active 36-char remark
    Show marketing remark (36 chars)

    4 bed | 2.5 bath | 2-bay | 2050 sqft

  28. 2026-01-15
    listed $317,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,220 · $352/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,220 · $352/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,270
− Mortgage interest
−$17,644
− Property taxes
−$4,220
− Insurance
−$1,575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,262
− Management
−$2,262
− HOA
−$1,440
− Depreciation
−$9,163
Taxable loss
−$10,296
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,471
After-tax cash flow
$-2,253/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Polk
NCES district ID
1201590
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,979
Composite
34.74/100
National rank
#5132
State rank
#62 of 73 in FL

Livability — Haines City

Score
74/100
State rank
#285
US rank
#4575

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Haines City, FL
County
Polk County · 740,051 people
City population
51,255
Metro
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
Population (ZIP)
51,255
Household income
$63,650
Rent vs Own
29.6% rent · 70.4% own
Severe rent burden
1107.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
752,975 people
By 2030
804,621 · +6.9%
By 2040
906,117 · +20.3%
By 2050
1,000,476 · +32.9%
By 2075
1,197,520 · +59.0%
By 2100
1,271,518 · +68.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 48% White 31% Black 18% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 19% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
Languages at home
55% English-only · Spanish 39% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -105.94%
Current HPI
291.0798
Rent YoY
▲ 1.16%
Metro
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.5% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $309,990 Zillow
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $309,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $321,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $321,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $317,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $299,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $299,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-26 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-02-23 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $299,888 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $299,888 Zillow
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $317,990 Zillow
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $317,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…