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255 Union St
B+ Composite 77.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.5/5.0

$119,900

255 Union St · Millersburg, PA 17061
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 3,076 sqft · SingleFamily · 88 Days on market
Built 1900 Poor condition 5,663 sqft lot $39/sqft · 43% below area Est $211k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention flippers. .. this 3,076 sf property not only has a 4 bedroom, 1 bath home, but a separate commercial space that has the potential to be converted into a 1 bedroom, 1 bath rental. Home has new mini splits that were installed throughout. However, the property does need quite a bit of work to get it to where it needs to be. ARV is somewhere around $250-270K. Property does have a backyard and a driveway with 2 parking spots.

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Driveway
  • Backyard

Tags

SEPARATE COMMERCIAL SPACEBACKYARDDRIVEWAY2 PARKING SPOTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $375 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#480 in PA, #4,444 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Millersburg Area SD (town): math 36% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #288 of 539 in PA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $112,706 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.05%
Cash-on-cash
13.42%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$210,968
List price
$119,900
Delta
-43.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.8%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$27,381
Equity at exit
$42,211
10-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
3.35×
Total profit
$78,738
Equity at exit
$57,097

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17061

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,524 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$320
Net cashflow
$375

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,049
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 88 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 87 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 86 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 85 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 83 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,900 Active 82 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 79 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 78 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 77 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 76 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,900 Active 73 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 72 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 71 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 70 DOM
  15. 2026-03-22
    listed $119,900 Active 434-char remark
    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Attention flippers. .. this 3,076 sf property not only has a 4 bedroom, 1 bath home, but a separate commercial space that has the potential to be converted into a 1 bedroom, 1 bath rental. Home has new mini splits that were installed throughout. However, the property does need quite a bit of work to get it to where it needs to be. ARV is somewhere around $250-270K. Property does have a backyard and a driveway with 2 parking spots.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,290
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,798
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,463
− Management
−$1,463
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$2,761
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$663
After-tax cash flow
$3,843/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Poor 30/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive renovations, including new kitchen cabinets, countertops, bathroom fixtures, and a new roof. The satellite image shows a worn roof, and the interior photos reveal significant wear and tear. The home has the potential to be a great investment with the right updates.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Kitchen cabinets — Old and outdated
  • Major Kitchen countertops — Missing
  • Major Bathroom vanity — Missing
  • Major Bathroom fixtures — Old and outdated
  • Major Roof — Worn

Value-add opportunities

  • Both New kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value
  • Both New bathroom vanity and fixtures — Modernizes the bathroom and adds value
  • Both New roof — Improves the home's overall condition and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Old and outdated Major $15,000–50,000
Kitchen countertops · Missing Major $15,000–50,000
Bathroom vanity · Missing Major $15,000–50,000
Bathroom fixtures · Old and outdated Major $15,000–50,000
Roof · Worn Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both New kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value
  • Both New bathroom vanity and fixtures — Modernizes the bathroom and adds value
  • Both New roof — Improves the home's overall condition and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Millersburg Area SD
NCES district ID
4215360
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$50,625
Composite
37.4/100
National rank
#4426
State rank
#288 of 539 in PA

Livability — Millersburg

Score
74/100
State rank
#480
US rank
#4444

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Millersburg, PA
Population (ZIP)
6,825

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Polish 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · China
Languages at home
94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.20%
Current HPI
271.943
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-22 Listed $119,900 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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