14217 Carla Dr · Balch Springs, TX 75180

$210,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 870 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 312 Days on market

Built 1967 7,200 sqft lot $241/sqft · 31% above area Est $219k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +13.4/30.0
• ARV discount +9.3/15.0
• 1% rule +4.4/10.0
• DSCR +4.0/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Renovated and ready to lease! This charming 3 bed 1 bath has thoughtful updates throughout, including brand-new hardwood floors and a modern kitchen complete with new appliances, tile backsplash, and countertops. The kitchen has been opened up to the living area, creating a spacious and open layout. Enjoy a fully updated bathroom with contemporary finishes, new light fixtures, tile, and upgraded plumbing. This turnkey home combines style, comfort, and functionality—ready for you to move in!

Key facts

• Open layout
• New appliances
• Modern kitchen

Tags

• HARDWOOD FLOORS
• MODERN KITCHEN
• NEW APPLIANCES
• TILE BACKSPLASH
• OPEN LAYOUT
• UPDATED BATHROOM

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2 ($28/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (6.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $185k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.7% in Balch Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#487 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
• Mesquite ISD (suburban): math 35% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #536 of 826 in TX (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Hodges El (math 21% / reading 29%, grade F, #3,013 of 4,322 statewide, top 70%, 552 students, 89% FRL); New Middle (math 34% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,036 of 1,662 statewide, top 63%, 731 students, 89% FRL); West Mesquite H S (math 41% / reading 31%, grade F, #930 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 2,172 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 63% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 312 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 10953% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $184,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 312 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.94% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.31%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.05%
• DSCR: 1.00
• GRM: 8.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $218,581
• List price: $210,000
• Delta: -3.93%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
14104 Marsha Dr	0.21mi	3/1.0	936 (+8%)	23mo	$199,000	$213	54
14609 Horseshoe Trl	0.33mi	3/1.0	948 (+9%)	15mo	$208,900	$220	53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -16.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.43×
• Total profit: $-33,788
• Equity at exit: $31,312

10-year hold

• IRR: -7.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.51×
• Total profit: $-28,862
• Equity at exit: $18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75180

• Home prices YoY: -8.0%
• Active inventory: 86
• Price-to-rent: 8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,964 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,101
• Tax from tax record: −$361 /mo · $4,329/yr
• Insurance: −$88
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$413
• Net cashflow: $2

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,961

Max offer price $210,000

Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $121	-5% $62	+0% $2	+5% $-57	+10% $-117
Rent	-10% $-153	-5% $-75	+0% $2	+5% $80	+10% $158
Rate	-1.0pp $108	-0.5pp $56	base $2	+0.5pp $-52	+1.0pp $-107

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $52,500
• Closing costs: $6,300
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4320 Mohawk Dr Balch Springs, TX	4.0	2.0	1110	$1,900	$1.71	26d	1	0.21mi
15115 Oakwood Ln Unit 1 Mesquite, TX	3.0	1.5	1102	$1,850	$1.68	45d	1	0.58mi
4400 Ambassador Way Balch Springs, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–1.5	707	$1,200	$1.70	5d	4	1.13mi
3212 Balch Springs Rd Balch Springs, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	825	$1,245	$1.51	9d	1	1.34mi

Listing history 32 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $210,000 Active 312 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $210,000 Active 309 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $210,000 Active 308 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $210,000 Active 307 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $210,000 Active 306 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $210,000 Active 304 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $210,000 Active 303 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   price $210,000 Active 300 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $215,000 Active 300 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $215,000 Active 299 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $215,000 Active 298 DOM
12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $215,000 Active 295 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $215,000 Active 294 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $215,000 Active 293 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $215,000 Active 292 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 291 DOM
17. 2026-03-25
    listed $1,900
18. 2026-03-14
    historical $1,900
19. 2026-01-01
    listed $1,900
20. 2025-12-21
    historical $1,900
21. 2025-12-18
    listed $1,900
22. 2025-12-04
    price $215,000 501-char remark

    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Renovated and ready to lease! This charming 3 bed 1 bath has thoughtful updates throughout, including brand-new hardwood floors and a modern kitchen complete with new appliances, tile backsplash, and countertops. The kitchen has been opened up to the living area, creating a spacious and open layout. Enjoy a fully updated bathroom with contemporary finishes, new light fixtures, tile, and upgraded plumbing. This turnkey home combines style, comfort, and functionality—ready for you to move in!

23. 2025-11-26
    historical $1,900
24. 2025-11-11
    listed $1,900
25. 2025-10-22
    historical $1,900
26. 2025-10-17
    price $220,000 501-char remark

    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Renovated and ready to lease! This charming 3 bed 1 bath has thoughtful updates throughout, including brand-new hardwood floors and a modern kitchen complete with new appliances, tile backsplash, and countertops. The kitchen has been opened up to the living area, creating a spacious and open layout. Enjoy a fully updated bathroom with contemporary finishes, new light fixtures, tile, and upgraded plumbing. This turnkey home combines style, comfort, and functionality—ready for you to move in!

27. 2025-08-13
    listed $225,000 Active 501-char remark

    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Renovated and ready to lease! This charming 3 bed 1 bath has thoughtful updates throughout, including brand-new hardwood floors and a modern kitchen complete with new appliances, tile backsplash, and countertops. The kitchen has been opened up to the living area, creating a spacious and open layout. Enjoy a fully updated bathroom with contemporary finishes, new light fixtures, tile, and upgraded plumbing. This turnkey home combines style, comfort, and functionality—ready for you to move in!

28. 2025-05-31
    listed $1,900
29. 2024-10-29
    soldstatus
30. 2024-10-22
    soldstatus
31. 2024-10-22
    soldstatus
32. 2024-10-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,329 · $361/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,329 · $361/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,572
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,763
• − Property taxes: −$4,329
• − Insurance: −$1,050
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,886
• − Management: −$1,886
• − Depreciation: −$6,109
• Taxable loss: −$3,450
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$828
• After-tax cash flow: $856/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mesquite ISD
• NCES district ID: 4830390
• Math proficiency: 35% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 32% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $49,372
• Composite: 29.06/100
• National rank: #6606
• State rank: #536 of 826 in TX

Livability — Balch Springs

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #487
• US rank: #9673

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Balch Springs, TX
• County: Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
• City population: 26,455
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• Population (ZIP): 26,455
• Household income: $67,019
• Rent vs Own: 34.0% rent · 66.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 660.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,979,839 people
• By 2030: 3,191,823 · +7.1%
• By 2040: 3,619,611 · +21.5%
• By 2050: 4,026,915 · +35.1%
• By 2075: 4,957,073 · +66.4%
• By 2100: 5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 51% Black 33% Two or more races 24% White 14% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 46%
• Foreign-born: 23% · Canada
• Languages at home: 55% English-only · Spanish 44%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -31.21%
• Current HPI: 361.3668
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

16 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-25 Listed for Rent $1,900 NTREIS
• 2026-03-14 Rental Removed $1,900 NTREIS
• 2026-01-01 Listed for Rent $1,900 NTREIS
• 2025-12-21 Rental Removed $1,900 NTREIS
• 2025-12-18 Listed for Rent $1,900 NTREIS
• 2025-12-04 Price Changed $215,000 NTREIS
• 2025-11-26 Rental Removed $1,900 NTREIS
• 2025-11-11 Listed for Rent $1,900 NTREIS
• 2025-10-22 Rental Removed $1,900 NTREIS
• 2025-10-17 Price Changed $220,000 NTREIS
• 2025-08-13 Listed $225,000 NTREIS
• 2025-05-31 Listed for Rent $1,900 NTREIS
• 2024-10-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2024-10-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2024-10-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2024-10-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,329 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.