5723 Palo Alto Dr · Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss out on this 4 bedroom 2 bath home with wood floors in living room, hall and bedrooms, brick exterior, fenced back yard with patio, kitchen/dining combo, separate laundry area and carport storage room. House located on low traffic, cul-de-sac street. Agents see confidential remarks for showing instructions. Agents, please see confidential remarks for more information.
Key facts
- All brick ranch
- Spacious kitchen
- One level living
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $169 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (4.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 81 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $135k implies a 237% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.37%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $158,286
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5817 Drexel Ave | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 | 1,536 (+8%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $85 | 82 |
| 10407 Republic Ln | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 1,528 (+7%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $118 | 80 |
| 10316 Republic Ln | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,323 (-7%) | 17mo | $141,000 | $107 | 65 |
| 10200 Geyer Springs Rd | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,229 (-14%) | 2mo | $144,000 | $117 | 64 |
| 10018 Republic Ln | 0.14mi | 4/3.0 | 1,604 (+12%) | 18mo | $183,000 | $114 | 54 |
| 6606 Silver Ct | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,401 (-2%) | 12mo | $155,000 | $111 | 53 |
| 22 Wemberly | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,510 (+6%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $116 | 51 |
| 6 Fresno Ct | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,217 (-15%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $136 | 50 |
| 5520 Mcclellan Dr | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,470 (+3%) | 22mo | $130,000 | $88 | 48 |
| 9608 Susanne Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,623 (+14%) | 13mo | $155,000 | $96 | 32 |
| 10601 Warren | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,598 (+12%) | 20mo | $170,000 | $106 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-8,780
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $16,087
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72209
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,290 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,036/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $169
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10112 Palo Alto Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,095 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 6111 Queensboro Dr Unit D Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $825 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5306 McClellan Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1044 | $1,215 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5806 Southwick Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $1,295 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3 Regency Cir Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1347 | $1,175 | $0.87 | 14d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 6921 Knollwood Rd Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,195 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 9220 Ricky Ln Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $1,245 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 7124 Twin Oaks Rd Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $975 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 7 Austin Ct Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,595 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 9115 Ricky Ln Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1160 | $1,100 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7326 Milford Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 989 | $1,100 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7409 Skylark Dr Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1549 | $1,300 | $0.84 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 7212 Fairfield Dr Little Rock, AR | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1866 | $1,700 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4013 Wooddale Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $1,395 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 5709 Windamere Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1213 | $1,075 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3717 Pine Cone Dr Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1357 | $1,195 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 7720 Bradley Dr Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1178 | $1,250 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7711 Woodhaven Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 10224 Jana Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 9615 Comstock Rd Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1084 | $1,195 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 9920 Stardust Trl Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1376 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-03-31status Under Contract
-
2026-03-07price $134,900
-
2026-01-05$149,900 New Listing
-
2014-09-11soldstatus $40,000 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Don't miss out on this 4 bedroom 2 bath home with wood floors in living room, hall and bedrooms, brick exterior, fenced back yard with patio, kitchen/dining combo, separate laundry area and carport storage room. House located on low traffic, cul-de-sac street. Agents see confidential remarks for showing instructions. Agents, please see confidential remarks for more information.
-
2014-08-15historical 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Don't miss out on this 4 bedroom 2 bath home with wood floors in living room, hall and bedrooms, brick exterior, fenced back yard with patio, kitchen/dining combo, separate laundry area and carport storage room. House located on low traffic, cul-de-sac street. Agents see confidential remarks for showing instructions. Agents, please see confidential remarks for more information.
-
2014-05-05historical
-
2014-05-03$45,600 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Don't miss out on this 4 bedroom 2 bath home with wood floors in living room, hall and bedrooms, brick exterior, fenced back yard with patio, kitchen/dining combo, separate laundry area and carport storage room. House located on low traffic, cul-de-sac street. Agents see confidential remarks for showing instructions. Agents, please see confidential remarks for more information.
-
2014-03-03$69,900
-
2013-07-01soldstatus $674,184
-
2007-07-12soldstatus $58,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,036 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,036 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,477
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$1,036
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,238
- − Management
- −$1,238
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable loss
- −$191
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$46
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,073/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509000
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,346
- Composite
- 21.0/100
- National rank
- #8457
- State rank
- #183 of 238 in AR
Livability — Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Little Rock, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 218,896
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,607
- Household income
- $40,231
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1510.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 15% White 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 29%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.75%
- Current HPI
- 176.4492
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.78%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+132.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $134,900 CARMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed $149,900 CARMLS
- 2014-09-11 Sold (MLS) $40,000 CARMLS
- 2014-08-15 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2014-05-05 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2014-05-03 Listed $45,600 CARMLS
- 2014-03-03 Listed $69,900 CARMLS
- 2013-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $674,184 Public Records
- 2007-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,036 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…