5329 Whitney Ln · Amarillo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Wonderful neighborhood on a cul-de-sac street. Big backyard with a dog run on one side. Needs someone to put some love in it but will make a amazing home for a family. Message 806-400-6122 to schedule a time to see it
Key facts
- Big backyard
- Cul-de-sac street
- Dog run
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-53 ($-633/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (5.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (10.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $161k (10.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 65 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45 units permitted in Randall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Randall County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.26%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-27,380
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-5,709
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79110
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,609 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$305 /mo · $3,663/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $-53
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $49 | -5% $-2 | +0% $-53 | +5% $-104 | +10% $-155 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-180 | -5% $-116 | +0% $-53 | +5% $11 | +10% $74 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $38 | -0.5pp $-7 | base $-53 | +0.5pp $-99 | +1.0pp $-147 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5315 Allen St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,200 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1128 Pikes Peak Dr Amarillo, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1867 | $1,995 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 4003 S Bowie St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $995 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 5142 Crockett St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $1,495 | $1.45 | 14d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4615 S Lipscomb St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,000 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4611 Cline Rd Amarillo, TX | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4620 S Hayden St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $1,475 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 6711 Athens St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,975 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 6904 Mercury Trl Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $2,100 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2715 Steves Way Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1627 | $1,800 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 307 Mikeska St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 22d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4316 S Hayden St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1356 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7207 Mercury Trl Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1663 | $2,350 | $1.41 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4308 S Jackson St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1302 | $1,490 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5146 Susan Dr Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $1,675 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 608 Lochridge Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1455 | $1,900 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4108 Crockett St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1373 | $1,525 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-19remarks 217-char remark
-
2026-06-19$180,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,663 · $305/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,663 · $305/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,314
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$3,663
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,545
- − Management
- −$1,545
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$3,659
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$878
- After-tax cash flow
- $245/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amarillo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808130
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,478
- Composite
- 35.96/100
- National rank
- #4798
- State rank
- #336 of 826 in TX
Livability — Amarillo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #624
- US rank
- #11876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Amarillo, TX
- County
- Randall County · 137,351 people
- City population
- 185,802
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,994
- Household income
- $66,683
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 208.0
Population outlook (Randall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,140 people
- By 2030
- 163,107 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 184,999 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 206,948 · +36.0%
- By 2075
- 260,204 · +71.0%
- By 2100
- 294,980 · +93.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 13% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Randall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.4% · R 79.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.3pp toward D · 2008: -62.7pp · 2024: -60.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.8 2016: R+65.1 2012: R+68.2 2008: R+62.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -226.16%
- Current HPI
- 180.2164
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.04%
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-19 Listed $180,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,663 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…