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D- Composite 39.99
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$180,000

5329 Whitney Ln · Amarillo, TX 79110
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1980

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Wonderful neighborhood on a cul-de-sac street. Big backyard with a dog run on one side. Needs someone to put some love in it but will make a amazing home for a family. Message 806-400-6122 to schedule a time to see it

Key facts

  • Big backyard
  • Cul-de-sac street
  • Dog run

Tags

CUL-DE-SAC STREETBIG BACKYARDDOG RUN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-53 ($-633/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (5.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (10.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $161k (10.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
  • Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 65 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45 units permitted in Randall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Randall County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $160,949 (10.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
5.94%
Cash-on-cash
-1.26%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.8%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-27,380
Equity at exit
$26,839
10-year hold
IRR
-1.5%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-5,709
Equity at exit
$15,563

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79110

Rents YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,609 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$305 /mo · $3,663/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$-53

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,676
Max offer price $170,685
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $49 -5% $-2 +0% $-53 +5% $-104 +10% $-155
Rent -10% $-180 -5% $-116 +0% $-53 +5% $11 +10% $74
Rate -1.0pp $38 -0.5pp $-7 base $-53 +0.5pp $-99 +1.0pp $-147

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5315 Allen St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 891 $1,200 $1.35 22d 1 0.18mi
1128 Pikes Peak Dr Amarillo, TX 4.0 2.0 1867 $1,995 $1.07 22d 1 0.38mi
4003 S Bowie St Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 890 $995 $1.12 14d 1 0.39mi
5142 Crockett St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1030 $1,495 $1.45 14d 1 0.45mi
4615 S Lipscomb St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1168 $1,000 $0.86 14d 1 0.70mi
4611 Cline Rd Amarillo, TX 4.0 1.5 1500 $1,500 $1.00 22d 1 0.71mi
4620 S Hayden St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 1036 $1,475 $1.42 22d 1 0.72mi
6711 Athens St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,975 $1.46 14d 1 0.83mi
6904 Mercury Trl Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1480 $2,100 $1.42 22d 1 0.91mi
2715 Steves Way Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1627 $1,800 $1.11 44d 1 0.95mi
307 Mikeska St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,800 $1.44 22d 1 0.96mi
4316 S Hayden St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.5 1356 $1,650 $1.22 44d 1 1.03mi
7207 Mercury Trl Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1663 $2,350 $1.41 22d 1 1.09mi
4308 S Jackson St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 1302 $1,490 $1.14 22d 1 1.11mi
5146 Susan Dr Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1244 $1,675 $1.35 22d 1 1.25mi
608 Lochridge Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1455 $1,900 $1.31 44d 1 1.29mi
4108 Crockett St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 1373 $1,525 $1.11 44d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    remarks 217-char remark
  2. 2026-06-19
    listed $180,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,663 · $305/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,663 · $305/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,314
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$3,663
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,545
− Management
−$1,545
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable loss
−$3,659
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$878
After-tax cash flow
$245/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amarillo ISD
NCES district ID
4808130
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,478
Composite
35.96/100
National rank
#4798
State rank
#336 of 826 in TX

Livability — Amarillo

Score
66/100
State rank
#624
US rank
#11876

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Amarillo, TX
County
Randall County · 137,351 people
City population
185,802
Metro
Amarillo, TX
Population (ZIP)
16,994
Household income
$66,683
Rent vs Own
30.1% rent · 69.9% own
Severe rent burden
208.0

Population outlook (Randall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,140 people
By 2030
163,107 · +7.2%
By 2040
184,999 · +21.6%
By 2050
206,948 · +36.0%
By 2075
260,204 · +71.0%
By 2100
294,980 · +93.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 13% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Randall

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.4% · R 79.8%
2008→2024 swing
+2.3pp toward D · 2008: -62.7pp · 2024: -60.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.8 2016: R+65.1 2012: R+68.2 2008: R+62.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -226.16%
Current HPI
180.2164
Rent YoY
▲ 6.04%
Metro
Amarillo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-19 Listed $180,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,663 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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