31 Elm St · Hampton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special with Tons of Potential! BACK ON MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FELL THROUGH! Bring your vision to 31 Elm Street in Hampton, Georgia! This property offers great bones and sits on a beautiful lot featuring mature pear, fig, and pecan trees—a rare find! With new construction homes starting in the mid-$300s directly across the street, this is a prime opportunity to renovate and add significant value. Whether you’re looking to fix and flip or hold as a rental, this property is positioned perfectly for a solid return on investment. Don’t miss this chance to capitalize on Hampton’s growing market!
Key facts
- Mature pecan trees
- Mature pear trees
- Mature fig trees
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $682 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 4.5% in Hampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#213 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 547 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.38%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $257,323
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -51.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1903 Elm Park Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,279 (+3%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $184 | 82 |
| 2040 Elm Grove Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,294 (+4%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $189 | 76 |
| 248 Fern Ct | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,310 (+5%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $168 | 73 |
| 6 Derrick St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,389 (+12%) | 1mo | $108,000 | $78 | 68 |
| 10 College St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,255 (+1%) | 16mo | $178,100 | $142 | 62 |
| 1904 Elm Park Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 | 1,420 (+14%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $158 | 59 |
| 23 Hampton Locust Grove Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (+0%) | 12mo | $249,000 | $199 | 55 |
| 10 James St Unit 11B | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,121 (-10%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $232 | 53 |
| 126 Elmwood Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,318 (+6%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $190 | 52 |
| 64 Dogwood Lakes Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (+10%) | 1mo | $257,000 | $187 | 45 |
| 80 Mcdonough St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,416 (+14%) | 14mo | $299,000 | $211 | 33 |
| 20 Porter Ct | 0.70mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,375 (+10%) | 14mo | $215,000 | $156 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $21,607
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.95×
- Total profit
- $68,423
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30228
- Home prices YoY
- -24.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 547
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,056 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$235 /mo · $2,816/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $682
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104 Dana Dr Hampton, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,945 | $1.33 | 5d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 100 Cottage Way Hampton, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1243 | $2,439 | $1.96 | 1d | 19 | 0.82mi |
| 110 Jay Ln Unit A Hampton, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,275 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 102 Jay Ln Unit A Hampton, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,175 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $125,000 Pending 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-21status Active 635-char remark
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
BACK ON MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FEEL THRU! Investor Special with Tons of Potential! Bring your vision to 31 Elm Street in Hampton, Georgia! This property offers great bones and sits on a beautiful lot featuring mature pear, fig, and pecan trees-a rare find! With new construction homes starting in the mid-$300s directly across the street, this is a prime opportunity to renovate and add significant value. Whether you're looking to fix and flip or hold as a rental, this property is positioned perfectly for a solid return on investment. Don't miss this chance to capitalize on Hampton's growing market!
-
2026-04-21status Back On Market 608-char remark
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
BACK ON MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FEEL THRU! Investor Special with Tons of Potential! Bring your vision to 31 Elm Street in Hampton, Georgia! This property offers great bones and sits on a beautiful lot featuring mature pear, fig, and pecan trees-a rare find! With new construction homes starting in the mid-$300s directly across the street, this is a prime opportunity to renovate and add significant value. Whether you're looking to fix and flip or hold as a rental, this property is positioned perfectly for a solid return on investment. Don't miss this chance to capitalize on Hampton's growing market!
-
2026-04-08status Under Contract 608-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Investor Special with Tons of Potential! BACK ON MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FELL THROUGH! Bring your vision to 31 Elm Street in Hampton, Georgia! This property offers great bones and sits on a beautiful lot featuring mature pear, fig, and pecan trees—a rare find! With new construction homes starting in the mid-$300s directly across the street, this is a prime opportunity to renovate and add significant value. Whether you’re looking to fix and flip or hold as a rental, this property is positioned perfectly for a solid return on investment. Don’t miss this chance to capitalize on Hampton’s growing market!
-
2026-04-08status Pending 635-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Investor Special with Tons of Potential! BACK ON MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FELL THROUGH! Bring your vision to 31 Elm Street in Hampton, Georgia! This property offers great bones and sits on a beautiful lot featuring mature pear, fig, and pecan trees—a rare find! With new construction homes starting in the mid-$300s directly across the street, this is a prime opportunity to renovate and add significant value. Whether you’re looking to fix and flip or hold as a rental, this property is positioned perfectly for a solid return on investment. Don’t miss this chance to capitalize on Hampton’s growing market!
-
2026-03-27$125,000 New 608-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Investor Special with Tons of Potential! BACK ON MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FELL THROUGH! Bring your vision to 31 Elm Street in Hampton, Georgia! This property offers great bones and sits on a beautiful lot featuring mature pear, fig, and pecan trees—a rare find! With new construction homes starting in the mid-$300s directly across the street, this is a prime opportunity to renovate and add significant value. Whether you’re looking to fix and flip or hold as a rental, this property is positioned perfectly for a solid return on investment. Don’t miss this chance to capitalize on Hampton’s growing market!
-
2026-03-27$125,000 Active 635-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Investor Special with Tons of Potential! BACK ON MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FELL THROUGH! Bring your vision to 31 Elm Street in Hampton, Georgia! This property offers great bones and sits on a beautiful lot featuring mature pear, fig, and pecan trees—a rare find! With new construction homes starting in the mid-$300s directly across the street, this is a prime opportunity to renovate and add significant value. Whether you’re looking to fix and flip or hold as a rental, this property is positioned perfectly for a solid return on investment. Don’t miss this chance to capitalize on Hampton’s growing market!
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-12-05status Back On Market
-
2025-11-30status Active
-
2025-11-05historical On Hold
-
2025-10-15status Back On Market
-
2025-10-15status Active
-
2025-09-15historical On Hold
-
2025-09-03status Active
-
2025-09-03status Back On Market
-
2025-08-19status Under Contract
-
2025-08-19status Pending
-
2025-07-17$129,000 Active
-
2025-07-17$129,000 New
-
2025-06-06historical
-
2025-03-01price $150,000
-
2024-09-15price $170,000
-
2024-07-22price $180,000
-
2024-06-07$200,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,816 · $235/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,816 · $235/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,669
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$2,816
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,974
- − Management
- −$1,974
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $6,643
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,594
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,587/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henry County
- NCES district ID
- 1302820
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,594
- Composite
- 26.13/100
- National rank
- #7279
- State rank
- #89 of 174 in GA
Livability — Hampton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #213
- US rank
- #12664
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hampton, GA
- County
- Henry County · 316,359 people
- City population
- 52,402
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,402
- Household income
- $82,619
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1285.0
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 249,041 people
- By 2030
- 264,369 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 294,459 · +18.2%
- By 2050
- 322,249 · +29.4%
- By 2075
- 392,310 · +57.5%
- By 2100
- 437,836 · +75.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.11%
- Current HPI
- 222.0357
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.20%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-37.5% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Relisted — FMLS
- 2026-04-21 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-04-08 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-04-08 Pending — FMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $125,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $125,000 GAMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2025-12-05 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2025-11-30 Relisted — FMLS
- 2025-11-05 Delisted — GAMLS
- 2025-10-15 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2025-10-15 Relisted — FMLS
- 2025-09-15 Delisted — GAMLS
- 2025-09-03 Relisted — FMLS
- 2025-09-03 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2025-08-19 Pending — GAMLS
- 2025-08-19 Pending — FMLS
- 2025-07-17 Listed $129,000 GAMLS
- 2025-07-17 Listed $129,000 FMLS
- 2025-06-06 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-03-01 Price Changed $150,000 GAMLS
- 2024-09-15 Price Changed $170,000 GAMLS
- 2024-07-22 Price Changed $180,000 GAMLS
- 2024-06-07 Listed $200,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+7.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,816 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…