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31 Elm St
B- Composite 68.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

31 Elm St · Hampton, GA 30228
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,244 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1925 0.66 ac lot $100/sqft · 51% below area ↓ 38% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Special with Tons of Potential! BACK ON MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FELL THROUGH! Bring your vision to 31 Elm Street in Hampton, Georgia! This property offers great bones and sits on a beautiful lot featuring mature pear, fig, and pecan trees—a rare find! With new construction homes starting in the mid-$300s directly across the street, this is a prime opportunity to renovate and add significant value. Whether you’re looking to fix and flip or hold as a rental, this property is positioned perfectly for a solid return on investment. Don’t miss this chance to capitalize on Hampton’s growing market!

Key facts

  • Mature pecan trees
  • Mature pear trees
  • Mature fig trees

Tags

MATURE PEAR TREESMATURE FIG TREESMATURE PECAN TREES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $682 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 4.5% in Hampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#213 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 547 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.64%
Cap rate
12.84%
Cash-on-cash
23.38%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$257,323
List price
$125,000
Delta
-51.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1903 Elm Park Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,279 (+3%) 2mo $235,000 $184 82
2040 Elm Grove Ln 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,294 (+4%) 4mo $245,000 $189 76
248 Fern Ct 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,310 (+5%) 2mo $220,000 $168 73
6 Derrick St 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,389 (+12%) 1mo $108,000 $78 68
10 College St 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,255 (+1%) 16mo $178,100 $142 62
1904 Elm Park Dr 0.16mi 3/2.5 1,420 (+14%) 5mo $225,000 $158 59
23 Hampton Locust Grove Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,250 (+0%) 12mo $249,000 $199 55
10 James St Unit 11B 0.29mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,121 (-10%) 10mo $260,000 $232 53
126 Elmwood Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,318 (+6%) 7mo $250,000 $190 52
64 Dogwood Lakes Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,372 (+10%) 1mo $257,000 $187 45
80 Mcdonough St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,416 (+14%) 14mo $299,000 $211 33
20 Porter Ct 0.70mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,375 (+10%) 14mo $215,000 $156 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.5%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$21,607
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
2.95×
Total profit
$68,423
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30228

Home prices YoY
-24.3%
Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
547
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,056 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$235 /mo · $2,816/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$432
Net cashflow
$682

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,193
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
104 Dana Dr Hampton, GA 3.0 2.0 1460 $1,945 $1.33 5d 1 0.31mi
100 Cottage Way Hampton, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 1243 $2,439 $1.96 1d 19 0.82mi
110 Jay Ln Unit A Hampton, GA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,275 $1.45 44d 1 0.99mi
102 Jay Ln Unit A Hampton, GA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,175 $1.34 44d 1 1.09mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $125,000 Pending 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 52 DOM
  4. 2026-04-21
    status Active 635-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    BACK ON MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FEEL THRU! Investor Special with Tons of Potential! Bring your vision to 31 Elm Street in Hampton, Georgia! This property offers great bones and sits on a beautiful lot featuring mature pear, fig, and pecan trees-a rare find! With new construction homes starting in the mid-$300s directly across the street, this is a prime opportunity to renovate and add significant value. Whether you're looking to fix and flip or hold as a rental, this property is positioned perfectly for a solid return on investment. Don't miss this chance to capitalize on Hampton's growing market!

  5. 2026-04-21
    status Back On Market 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    BACK ON MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FEEL THRU! Investor Special with Tons of Potential! Bring your vision to 31 Elm Street in Hampton, Georgia! This property offers great bones and sits on a beautiful lot featuring mature pear, fig, and pecan trees-a rare find! With new construction homes starting in the mid-$300s directly across the street, this is a prime opportunity to renovate and add significant value. Whether you're looking to fix and flip or hold as a rental, this property is positioned perfectly for a solid return on investment. Don't miss this chance to capitalize on Hampton's growing market!

  6. 2026-04-08
    status Under Contract 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (635 chars)

    Investor Special with Tons of Potential! BACK ON MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FELL THROUGH! Bring your vision to 31 Elm Street in Hampton, Georgia! This property offers great bones and sits on a beautiful lot featuring mature pear, fig, and pecan trees—a rare find! With new construction homes starting in the mid-$300s directly across the street, this is a prime opportunity to renovate and add significant value. Whether you’re looking to fix and flip or hold as a rental, this property is positioned perfectly for a solid return on investment. Don’t miss this chance to capitalize on Hampton’s growing market!

  7. 2026-04-08
    status Pending 635-char remark
    Show marketing remark (635 chars)

    Investor Special with Tons of Potential! BACK ON MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FELL THROUGH! Bring your vision to 31 Elm Street in Hampton, Georgia! This property offers great bones and sits on a beautiful lot featuring mature pear, fig, and pecan trees—a rare find! With new construction homes starting in the mid-$300s directly across the street, this is a prime opportunity to renovate and add significant value. Whether you’re looking to fix and flip or hold as a rental, this property is positioned perfectly for a solid return on investment. Don’t miss this chance to capitalize on Hampton’s growing market!

  8. 2026-03-27
    listed $125,000 New 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (635 chars)

    Investor Special with Tons of Potential! BACK ON MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FELL THROUGH! Bring your vision to 31 Elm Street in Hampton, Georgia! This property offers great bones and sits on a beautiful lot featuring mature pear, fig, and pecan trees—a rare find! With new construction homes starting in the mid-$300s directly across the street, this is a prime opportunity to renovate and add significant value. Whether you’re looking to fix and flip or hold as a rental, this property is positioned perfectly for a solid return on investment. Don’t miss this chance to capitalize on Hampton’s growing market!

  9. 2026-03-27
    listed $125,000 Active 635-char remark
    Show marketing remark (635 chars)

    Investor Special with Tons of Potential! BACK ON MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FELL THROUGH! Bring your vision to 31 Elm Street in Hampton, Georgia! This property offers great bones and sits on a beautiful lot featuring mature pear, fig, and pecan trees—a rare find! With new construction homes starting in the mid-$300s directly across the street, this is a prime opportunity to renovate and add significant value. Whether you’re looking to fix and flip or hold as a rental, this property is positioned perfectly for a solid return on investment. Don’t miss this chance to capitalize on Hampton’s growing market!

  10. 2025-12-31
    historical
  11. 2025-12-31
    historical
  12. 2025-12-05
    status Back On Market
  13. 2025-11-30
    status Active
  14. 2025-11-05
    historical On Hold
  15. 2025-10-15
    status Back On Market
  16. 2025-10-15
    status Active
  17. 2025-09-15
    historical On Hold
  18. 2025-09-03
    status Active
  19. 2025-09-03
    status Back On Market
  20. 2025-08-19
    status Under Contract
  21. 2025-08-19
    status Pending
  22. 2025-07-17
    listed $129,000 Active
  23. 2025-07-17
    listed $129,000 New
  24. 2025-06-06
    historical
  25. 2025-03-01
    price $150,000
  26. 2024-09-15
    price $170,000
  27. 2024-07-22
    price $180,000
  28. 2024-06-07
    listed $200,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,816 · $235/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,816 · $235/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,669
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$2,816
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,974
− Management
−$1,974
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$6,643
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,594
After-tax cash flow
$6,587/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County
NCES district ID
1302820
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$62,594
Composite
26.13/100
National rank
#7279
State rank
#89 of 174 in GA

Livability — Hampton

Score
65/100
State rank
#213
US rank
#12664

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hampton, GA
County
Henry County · 316,359 people
City population
52,402
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
52,402
Household income
$82,619
Rent vs Own
27.9% rent · 72.1% own
Severe rent burden
1285.0

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
249,041 people
By 2030
264,369 · +6.2%
By 2040
294,459 · +18.2%
By 2050
322,249 · +29.4%
By 2075
392,310 · +57.5%
By 2100
437,836 · +75.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
2008→2024 swing
+37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.11%
Current HPI
222.0357
Rent YoY
▲ 2.20%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-37.5% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Relisted FMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Pending FMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $125,000 FMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $125,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2025-12-05 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2025-11-30 Relisted FMLS
  • 2025-11-05 Delisted GAMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Relisted FMLS
  • 2025-09-15 Delisted GAMLS
  • 2025-09-03 Relisted FMLS
  • 2025-09-03 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2025-08-19 Pending GAMLS
  • 2025-08-19 Pending FMLS
  • 2025-07-17 Listed $129,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-07-17 Listed $129,000 FMLS
  • 2025-06-06 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-03-01 Price Changed $150,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-09-15 Price Changed $170,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-07-22 Price Changed $180,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-06-07 Listed $200,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+7.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,816 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…