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1237 Vine St
D+ Composite 46.51
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

1237 Vine St · Jonesboro, AR 72401
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,067 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 1986 0.30 ac lot Est $184k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tired of the cookie cutter new construction homes? This home has character & curb appeal all wrapped up in a nice layout. There are 2 living areas, 2 bedrooms, & a bath on the main & a 3rd bed & bath upstairs with loads of closet space. You will love the cozy deck off the breakfast area. There is also room for either a formal dining room, office. or playroom off of the kitchen. The backyard is fenced and has a metal outbuilding.

Key facts

  • Metal outbuilding
  • Fenced backyard
  • Cozy deck

Tags

COZY DECKFENCED BACKYARDMETAL OUTBUILDING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Annual taxes and tax year available (financial details excluded per instructions)
  • Financial info: Financing options include VA, FHA, Conventional loans, cash, and in-house financing
  • HOA & community: No area amenities listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport for 2 cars
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric service (Entergy listed)
  • Home design: Brick and frame combination exterior; Listed as unknown year built
  • Construction: Crawl space foundation; Architectural shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Fully fenced yard; Outside storage area; Paved road access; Level corner lot in a subdivision; Inside city limits

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator stays
  • Bedrooms: No bedroom-specific data provided
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heat (gas); Central cooling (electric)
  • Interior features: Washer connection; Dryer connection (electric); Gas and electric water heater options listed; Walk-in closets; Ceiling fans; Wood-burning stove fireplace; Sheetrock and paneling walls/ceilings
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer and dryer connections

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $36 ($426/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (9.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $149k (9.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jonesboro School District (urban): math 28% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #169 of 238 in AR (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Kindergarten Center (503 students, 100% FRL); Annie Camp Jr. High School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #150 of 201 statewide, top 76%, 784 students, 100% FRL); The Academies At Jonesboro High School (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #225 of 292 statewide, top 78%, 1,386 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 301 active listings in the ZIP; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $2k; list at $165k implies a 8150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $148,835 (9.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.55%
Cash-on-cash
0.92%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$183,963
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
621 W Thomas Ave 0.33mi 3/2.0 2,035 (-2%) 2mo $182,000 $89 81
1217 Olive St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,920 (-7%) 5mo $106,000 $55 80
1313 Nettleton Cir 0.20mi 3/2.0 2,223 (+8%) 0mo $227,000 $102 78
735 W Oak Ave 0.25mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,985 (-4%) 2mo $56,000 $28 75
901 Hester St 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,920 (-7%) 0mo $200,000 $104 57
1821 James 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,930 (-7%) 5mo $160,000 $83 55
1809 Alonzo St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,802 (-13%) 4mo $149,000 $83 52
503 Vine 0.51mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,875 (-9%) 6mo $199,900 $107 50
915 W Monroe Ave W 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,894 (-8%) 8mo $112,500 $59 50
1916 Crestview 0.65mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,180 (+6%) 3mo $229,900 $105 49
1305 Rosemond 0.55mi 3/2.5 1,791 (-13%) 2mo $199,900 $112 48
1520 S Main St S 0.71mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,764 (-15%) 4mo $70,000 $40 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-23,488
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
-4.3%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-13,439
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72401

Home prices YoY
-34.2%
Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
301
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,488 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax est. 1.5%
$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$313
Net cashflow
$36

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $150 -5% $93 +0% $36 +5% $-21 +10% $-79
Rent -10% $-82 -5% $-23 +0% $36 +5% $94 +10% $153
Rate -1.0pp $119 -0.5pp $77 base $36 +0.5pp $-7 +1.0pp $-51

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $165,000 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $165,000 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    statusdays on market $165,000 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Price Change 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Price Change 60 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,000 Price Change 58 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    pricestatusdays on market $165,000 Price Change 57 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $185,000 Active 55 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 53 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 52 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $185,000 Active 49 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 46 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 45 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $185,000 Active 44 DOM
  18. 2026-05-13
    price $185,000
  19. 2026-05-12
    price $185,000 455-char remark
    Show marketing remark (455 chars)

    Tired of the cookie cutter new construction homes? This home has character & curb appeal all wrapped up in a nice layout. There are 2 living areas, 2 bedrooms, & a bath on the main & a 3rd bed & bath upstairs with loads of closet space. You will love the cozy deck off the breakfast area. There is also room for either a formal dining room, office. or playroom off of the kitchen. The backyard is fenced and has a metal outbuilding.

  20. 2026-04-16
    listed $195,000 Active 455-char remark
    Show marketing remark (455 chars)

    Tired of the cookie cutter new construction homes? This home has character & curb appeal all wrapped up in a nice layout. There are 2 living areas, 2 bedrooms, & a bath on the main & a 3rd bed & bath upstairs with loads of closet space. You will love the cozy deck off the breakfast area. There is also room for either a formal dining room, office. or playroom off of the kitchen. The backyard is fenced and has a metal outbuilding.

  21. 2026-04-15
    listed $195,000 New Listing
  22. 2007-05-11
    soldstatus $2,000
  23. 1994-04-13
    soldstatus $72,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,860
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$2,475
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,429
− Management
−$1,429
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$2,340
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$562
After-tax cash flow
$988/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jonesboro School District
NCES district ID
0508280
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$34,347
Composite
23.06/100
National rank
#7967
State rank
#169 of 238 in AR

Livability — Jonesboro

Score
65/100
State rank
#145
US rank
#12692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jonesboro, AR
County
Craighead County · 97,185 people
City population
91,245
Metro
Jonesboro, AR
Population (ZIP)
42,602
Household income
$45,329
Rent vs Own
51.1% rent · 48.9% own
Severe rent burden
2606.0

Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,235 people
By 2030
131,338 · +7.4%
By 2040
149,862 · +22.6%
By 2050
168,034 · +37.5%
By 2075
208,094 · +70.2%
By 2100
233,251 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Craighead

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.25%
Current HPI
208.2079
Rent YoY
▲ 3.64%
Metro
Jonesboro, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+156.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $185,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $185,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $195,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $195,000 CARMLS
  • 2007-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $2,000 Public Records
  • 1994-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-10.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $91 · -52.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…