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1358 Shady Ln
C Composite 58.63
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$89,995

1358 Shady Ln · Westville, OK 74965
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 988 sqft · SingleFamily · 6 Days on market
Built 1955 0.35 ac lot Est $165k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 2 Bed, 1 Bath Home with a in a Prime In-Town Location! Recently updated and move-in ready, this cozy home is perfect for first-time buyers, those looking to downsize, or investors seeking a great rental opportunity. Enjoy the convenience of an attached carport with a storage room, offering extra space for tools, outdoor gear, or seasonal items. The large backyard provides plenty of room for kids to play or pets to roam, and is a great canvas for your outdoor entertaining ideas. Located within walking distance to the city park, splash pad, and a revitalizing downtown area where exciting new upgrades are underway. Just 20 minutes from Siloam Springs, providing quick access to shopp

Key facts

  • Storage room
  • Attached carport
  • Large backyard

Tags

ATTACHED CARPORTSTORAGE ROOMLARGE BACKYARDWALKING DISTANCE TO CITY PARKSPLASH PADQUICK ACCESS TO SHOPPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $78 ($937/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $89k (1.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#500 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Westville (rural): math 10% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #244 of 270 in OK (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Adair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Adair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,610 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.33%
Cash-on-cash
3.72%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$164,996
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
115 Shady Ln 0.02mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,028 (+4%) 0mo $132,000 $128 87
1118 N Locust Ave 0.25mi 2/1.0 952 (-4%) 4mo $175,000 $184 79
1791 Buffington Rd 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,040 (+5%) 1mo $174,000 $167 60
1789 Buffington Rd 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,040 (+5%) 6mo $179,900 $173 56
1256 W Pine St 0.49mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,008 (+2%) 20mo $116,000 $115 51
1512 S Locust St 0.52mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,040 (+5%) 13mo $179,900 $173 49
1677 S 1st St 0.74mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,040 (+5%) 3mo $180,370 $173 46
1685 S 1st St 0.75mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,040 (+5%) 10mo $183,000 $176 40
1202 E Pine St 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,092 (+10%) 19mo $113,500 $104 40
1543 Maple Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 863 (-13%) 9mo $21,000 $24 36
839 Clara St 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,118 (+13%) 10mo $142,500 $127 34
1712 S Locust Ave 0.75mi 1/2.0 (-1) 896 (-9%) 12mo $117,500 $131 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.44% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$13,170
Equity at exit
$37,638
10-year hold
IRR
12.2%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$43,329
Equity at exit
$55,895

Cash invested: $25,199 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74965

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
60
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$886 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$186
Net cashflow
$78

Break-even live

Break-even rent $787
Max offer price $89,995
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $140 -5% $109 +0% $78 +5% $47 +10% $16
Rent -10% $8 -5% $43 +0% $78 +5% $113 +10% $148
Rate -1.0pp $123 -0.5pp $101 base $78 +0.5pp $55 +1.0pp $31

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,499
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2025-12-11
    status Pending
  2. 2025-12-05
    listed $89,995 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,633
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,350
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$851
− Management
−$851
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable loss
−$527
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$127
After-tax cash flow
$1,064/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westville
NCES district ID
4032400
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,223
Composite
10.68/100
National rank
#9771
State rank
#244 of 270 in OK

Livability — Westville

Score
56/100
State rank
#500
US rank
#22420

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Westville, OK
Population (ZIP)
4,964

Population outlook (Adair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,805 people
By 2030
20,073 · -3.5%
By 2040
18,496 · -11.1%
By 2050
16,970 · -18.4%
By 2075
14,011 · -32.7%
By 2100
12,211 · -41.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Native American 27% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 1% European 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adair

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.0) · D 17.8% · R 80.8% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-24.3pp toward R · 2008: -38.7pp · 2024: -63.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.0 2020: R+59.1 2016: R+52.2 2012: R+34.8 2008: R+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.44%
Current HPI
317.0133
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-11 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-12-05 Listed $89,995 MLS Technology, Inc.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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