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Spring Hill Plan 🏗️ New Construction
B Composite 70.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

Spring Hill Plan · North Fort Myers, FL 33903
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,352 sqft · Manufactured · 4 Days on market
Excellent condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Island Vista Estates an all age active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a stunning 2023 3 bed, 2 bath home for sale or for rent featuring 1352.00 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in/near North Fort Myers, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find [highlight interior features, e. g. , an open-concept floor plan, hardwood floors, high ceilings, natural light. The kitchen boasts features like quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, custom cabinetry, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious primary suite offers a peaceful retreat, co

Key facts

  • Custom cabinetry
  • Quartz countertops
  • Community clubhouse

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESCUSTOM CABINETRYCOMMUNITY CLUBHOUSERESORT-STYLE POOL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $169,900

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family plan (Spring Hill); Address: 3000 N Tamiami Trl, North Fort Myers, FL 33903
  • Exterior features: Living area approximately 1352

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Plan: Spring Hill; Active listing status

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $169,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $137,904.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $550 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 472 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $953 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $169,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
11.08%
Cash-on-cash
17.10%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$137,904
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16042 Citron Way 0.57mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,288 (-5%) 4mo $132,000 $102 57
1091 Laurel Dr 0.74mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,194 (-12%) 14mo $79,000 $66 30
3167 Pluto Cir 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,150 (-15%) 15mo $126,000 $110 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$7,146
Equity at exit
$20,562
10-year hold
IRR
11.4%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$29,908
Equity at exit
$11,923

Cash invested: $38,613 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33903

Rents YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
472
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,903 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$723
Tax est. 1.5%
$172 /mo · $2,069/yr
Insurance
$57
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$550

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,206
Max offer price $137,904
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $645 -5% $598 +0% $550 +5% $503 +10% $455
Rent -10% $400 -5% $475 +0% $550 +5% $625 +10% $700
Rate -1.0pp $620 -0.5pp $585 base $550 +0.5pp $514 +1.0pp $478

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,476
Closing costs
$4,137
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
266 Mongoose Ln #266 North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1372 $1,499 $1.09 4d 1 0.32mi
3153 Cozumel Ct Cape Coral, FL 3.0 2.0 1747 $2,000 $1.14 15d 1 0.48mi
2864 Star Coral Dr Unit Na North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1614 $1,999 $1.24 24d 1 0.50mi
3187 Cozumel Ct Cape Coral, FL 3.0 2.0 1747 $2,000 $1.14 4d 1 0.55mi
3404 Rainbow Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,800 $1.70 4d 1 0.56mi
574 Leopard Ln #574 North Fort Myers, FL 4.0 2.0 1459 $1,599 $1.10 14d 1 0.58mi
3358 Sabal Springs Blvd North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1621 $2,200 $1.36 24d 1 0.58mi
2774 Wedgewood Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 880 $1,300 $1.48 24d 1 0.59mi
2497 Ciales Ct Cape Coral, FL 3.0 2.0 1747 $1,850 $1.06 17d 1 0.60mi
535 Zebra Dr #535 North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1352 $1,499 $1.11 15d 1 0.69mi
2729 Foralesca Ct Cape Coral, FL 4.0 2.0 1828 $2,300 $1.26 24d 1 0.71mi
2729 Foralesca Ct Cape Coral, FL 4.0 2.0 1828 $2,300 $1.26 4d 1 0.71mi
17244 Cantu Ct North Fort Myers, FL 4.0 2.0 1824 $2,200 $1.21 15d 1 0.74mi
17225 Cantu Ct North Fort Myers, FL 4.0 2.0 1824 $2,200 $1.21 24d 1 0.79mi
4120 Pine Drop Ln North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 957 $1,895 $1.98 24d 1 0.79mi
3957 Pomodoro Cir #301 Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1270 $1,450 $1.14 17d 1 0.82mi
3961 Pomodoro Cir #204 Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1270 $1,450 $1.14 24d 1 0.84mi
3961 Pomodoro Cir #204 Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1270 $1,450 $1.14 17d 1 0.84mi
3953 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1044 $1,624 $1.56 15d 9 0.84mi
3420 Cancun Ct Cape Coral, FL 3.0 2.0 1747 $1,895 $1.08 15d 1 0.85mi
28 Nyborg Ave North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1042 $1,299 $1.25 15d 1 0.87mi
3440 Cancun Ct Cape Coral, FL 3.0 2.0 1747 $1,950 $1.12 24d 1 0.88mi
4106 San Felice Ln North Fort Myers, FL 4.0 2.5 1874 $2,400 $1.28 24d 1 0.89mi
4106 Lattuca Ln North Fort Myers, FL 4.0 2.5 1874 $2,200 $1.17 24d 1 0.91mi
3944 Pomodoro Cir #202 Cape Coral, FL 3.0 2.0 1411 $2,200 $1.56 24d 1 0.92mi
3968 Pomodoro Cir #202 Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1469 $1,475 $1.00 15d 1 0.93mi
2904 Tuscan Dr #303 Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1460 $1,450 $0.99 24d 1 0.93mi
3973 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1534 $1,575 $1.03 4d 3 0.94mi
3973 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1469 $1,498 $1.02 24d 2 0.94mi
4106 Granita Ct North Fort Myers, FL 4.0 2.5 1812 $2,300 $1.27 24d 1 0.94mi
3940 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1270 $1,475 $1.16 4d 2 0.95mi
2913 Tuscan Dr #102 Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1469 $1,450 $0.99 24d 1 0.96mi
2909 Tuscan Dr Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1469 $1,475 $1.00 24d 2 0.96mi
3940 Villa Del Mar CIR Cape Coral, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1051 $2,739 $2.60 2d 21 0.96mi
17669 Paradiso Way North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1551 $1,999 $1.29 24d 1 1.02mi
17669 Paradiso Way North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1551 $1,999 $1.29 4d 1 1.02mi
17920 Antherium Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1693 $2,400 $1.42 24d 1 1.07mi
17499 Monte Isola Way Unit 17499 North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.5 1405 $1,800 $1.28 15d 1 1.16mi
17489 Monte Isola Way North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.5 1347 $1,800 $1.34 15d 1 1.17mi
8791 Littleton Rd North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1074 $1,549 $1.44 24d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,833
− Mortgage interest
−$7,725
− Property taxes
−$2,069
− Insurance
−$690
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,827
− Management
−$1,827
− Depreciation
−$4,012
Taxable income
$4,685
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,124
After-tax cash flow
$5,477/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with modern amenities and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from minor updates to enhance its curb appeal and modernize its features.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers
  • Both Add a smart home system — Modern technology can increase the home's appeal and value
  • Both Install smart locks — Smart locks can improve security and convenience
  • Both Add a smart thermostat — Smart thermostats can improve energy efficiency and comfort

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers
  • Both Add a smart home system — Modern technology can increase the home's appeal and value
  • Both Install smart locks — Smart locks can improve security and convenience
  • Both Add a smart thermostat — Smart thermostats can improve energy efficiency and comfort

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Fort Myers

Score
74/100
State rank
#269
US rank
#4409

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Fort Myers, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
57,035
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,655
Household income
$56,993
Rent vs Own
17.6% rent · 82.4% own
Severe rent burden
468.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -172.26%
Current HPI
256.773
Rent YoY
▼ -1.94%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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