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521 10th Ave N
B- Composite 66.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

521 10th Ave N · Payette, ID 83661
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,608 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 91 Days on market
Built 1900 0.32 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits near downtown Payette! This property is ready for a full renovation and offers excellent potential for investors, builders, or buyers seeking their next project. The home features a spacious living room, two bedrooms and one full bath on the main level, plus two additional bedrooms, a second full bath, and a large flex space upstairs that could serve as an office, bonus room, or storage area. Situated on an oversized lot with ample RV and toy parking, the property may offer future lot split or redevelopment potential (buyer to verify with city). With no HOA and plenty of room to work with, the possibilities are wide open. Conveniently located near downtown amenities, this

Key facts

  • Ample rv parking
  • Full renovation
  • Functional layout

Tags

FULL RENOVATIONFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTSPACIOUS UPPER-LEVEL AREAAMPLE RV PARKINGPOTENTIAL FOR FUTURE LOT SPLITNO HOA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: RV access/parking
  • Utilities: City water service; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Built in 1900
  • Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Partial wood fencing; Storage shed; Paved road access; Chickens allowed/kept on property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 14 x 12); Oven/Range (freestanding); Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on upper level (approx. 15 x 15); Second bedroom on upper level (approx. 12 x 12); Third bedroom on main level (approx. 12 x 12); Fourth bedroom on main level (approx. 15 x 12)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating specified; No cooling specified
  • Interior features: Guest room; Great room; Laminate countertops
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room on main level (approx. 7 x 5); Washer; Dryer; Electric tank water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $605 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 2.1% in Payette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#148 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Payette Joint District (town): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #87 of 92 in ID (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Payette Primary School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #294 of 357 statewide, top 85%, 458 students, 78% FRL); Payette High School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #133 of 169 statewide, top 82%, 394 students, 62% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 230 units permitted in Payette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,850 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
11.67%
Cash-on-cash
19.22%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$387,528
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
521 10th Ave N 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,608 (0%) 0mo $135,000 $84 96
504 N 9th St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,595 (-1%) 3mo $249,999 $157 70
604 N 6th St 0.32mi 4/2.0 1,727 (+7%) 4mo $289,000 $167 65
775 Oakmont St 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,596 (-1%) 0mo $409,900 $257 63
775 Pinehurst St 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,589 (-1%) 1mo $439,900 $277 62
406 15th Ave N 0.36mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,736 (+8%) 6mo $340,000 $196 58
827 N 9th St 0.29mi 4/1.0 1,372 (-15%) 5mo $250,000 $182 58
1312 N 6th St 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,445 (-10%) 8mo $475,000 $329 56
785 Oakmont St 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,660 (+3%) 5mo $399,900 $241 55
1465 Mateo Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,517 (-6%) 10mo $415,000 $274 48
1522 River St 0.45mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,411 (-12%) 7mo $335,000 $237 44
800 N 14th St 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (-13%) 6mo $359,900 $257 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.1%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$16,638
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$63,964
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Idaho
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; minimal tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 83661

Home prices YoY
-24.4%
Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,805 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $676/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$379
Net cashflow
$605

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,039
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    pricestatusdays on market $135,000 Pending 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $160,000 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 88 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-05-15
    price $160,000
  8. 2026-03-06
    listed $185,000 Active
  9. 2018-02-14
    historical
  10. 2018-01-29
    status Active
  11. 2018-01-22
    status Pending
  12. 2018-01-17
    listed $58,888 Active
  13. 2012-01-31
    listed $15,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ID · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$676 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$932 · $78/mo
Expected delta
+$255/yr (+$21/mo · 37.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,659
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$676
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,733
− Management
−$1,733
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$5,353
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,285
After-tax cash flow
$5,979/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Payette Joint District
NCES district ID
1602580
Math proficiency
24% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$42,933
Composite
24.66/100
National rank
#7620
State rank
#87 of 92 in ID

Livability — Payette

Score
64/100
State rank
#148
US rank
#13877

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Payette, ID
County
Payette County · 19,928 people
City population
11,105
Metro
Ontario, OR-ID
Population (ZIP)
11,105
Household income
$59,351
Rent vs Own
34.9% rent · 65.1% own
Severe rent burden
145.0

Population outlook (Payette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,392 people
By 2030
23,523 · +0.6%
By 2040
23,792 · +1.7%
By 2050
24,002 · +2.6%
By 2075
25,286 · +8.1%
By 2100
26,673 · +14.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 13% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Payette

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.9) · D 17.6% · R 80.4% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.4pp toward R · 2008: -41.5pp · 2024: -62.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.9 2020: R+59.3 2016: R+59.9 2012: R+44.0 2008: R+41.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -102.29%
Current HPI
317.632
Rent YoY
Metro
Ontario, OR-ID
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+906.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $160,000 IMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $185,000 IMLS
  • 2018-02-14 Listing Removed IMLS
  • 2018-01-29 Relisted IMLS
  • 2018-01-22 Pending IMLS
  • 2018-01-17 Listed $58,888 IMLS
  • 2012-01-31 Listed $15,900 IMLS

Property tax history

-3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $676 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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