4323 Bingham Ave · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment opportunity on this charming 2-story home full of character and potential! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath property features a spacious living room with beautiful stained-glass window overlooking stairs and classic arched doorways that add timeless charm. The main level also includes a dining room and kitchen with plenty of opportunity for redesign and customization. Upstairs offers two bedrooms and a full bath, while the unfinished lower level provides additional storage or future possibilities. Outside, enjoy a fenced backyard with potential for off-street parking. With the right vision and updates, this property could be transformed into a great rental, flip, or owner-occupied h
Key facts
- Stained-glass window
- Arched doorways
- Fenced backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (sewer connected); Electric service by Ameren
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Two-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Back yard; Adjoins common ground
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on upper level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full, unfinished basement; Two levels
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $162 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($949 rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Oak Hill Elem. (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,016 of 1,115 statewide, top 92%, 238 students, 99% FRL); Roosevelt High (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #517 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 460 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $80k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.69%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,930
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -51.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4323 Bingham Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 0mo | $79,900 | $67 | 100 |
| 4333 Ellenwood Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 1,172 (-2%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $141 | 84 |
| 4410 Wallace St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 1,192 (-1%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $180 | 74 |
| 4448 Itaska St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (0%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $163 | 67 |
| 4359 Tholozan Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,313 (+9%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $171 | 65 |
| 4467 Wilcox Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 1,172 (-2%) | 2mo | $109,900 | $94 | 64 |
| 4125 Miami St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 1,312 (+9%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $191 | 61 |
| 4435 Miami St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 1,354 (+13%) | 2mo | $199,900 | $148 | 61 |
| 4253 Neosho St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 1,020 (-15%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $69 | 59 |
| 4417 Wallace St | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,129 (-6%) | 1mo | $183,000 | $162 | 58 |
| 4981 Pernod Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 1,116 (-7%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $220 | 55 |
| 4267 Miami St | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (+14%) | 2mo | $149,900 | $110 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-2,958
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $9,380
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63116
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 255
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $949 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,629/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$199
- Net cashflow
- $162
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3737 Morgan Ford Rd Apt F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $895 | $1.12 | 19d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 3741 Morgan Ford Rd St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $895 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 3729 Morgan Ford Rd Apt G St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $895 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3729 Morgan Ford Rd St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $895 | $1.12 | 19d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 4341 Morgan Ford Rd Unit F St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $749 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 4341 Morganford Rd Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $799 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 4192 Meramec St Unit 101 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 20d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 4192 Meramec St Unit 105 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $815 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3614 Morgan Ford Rd Unit 2F St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $985 | $0.92 | 20d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4274 Ellenwood Ave Unit 1E St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 4114 Osceola St Unit A St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $750 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 4403 Gravois Ave St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $775 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4428 Ellenwood Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,225 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 4205 Ellenwood Ave Unit 102 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $899 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4448 Oleatha Ave St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $950 | $1.32 | 20d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4205 Ellenwood Ave Unit 202 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $899 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 4215 Neosho St Unit 101 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $825 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4215 Gannett St Unit 1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,025 | $0.89 | 10d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 4304 Fairview Ave Unit B St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $799 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4304 Fairview Ave Unit G St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $699 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4915 Lindenwood Ave Unit 4915 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $795 | $0.90 | 4d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4909 Winona Ave Unit 2w St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4729 Morgan Ford Rd Unit 7 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $799 | $1.00 | 12d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4135 Potomac St Unit 4135 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $895 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 4733 Morgan Ford Rd Unit 3 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $799 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3955 Winnebago St Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,395 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4955 Lindenwood Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4955 Lindenwood Ave Apt 1E St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4004 Keokuk St Unit 1F St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 17d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4413 Delor St Unit 2F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,125 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4945 Winona Ave Unit 4945A St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4500 S Kingshighway Blvd Unit 13 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,395 | $1.64 | 17d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4500 S Kings Highway Blvd Unit 11 1011 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,350 | $1.64 | 17d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4980 Tholozan Ave Unit 4980A St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4934 Potomac St Unit 4934A (1W) 616 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,095 | $1.22 | 17d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 5000 Lindenwood Ave Unit 5000 Lindenwood 1FL St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5000 Lindenwood Ave Unit 5002 Lindenwood 1FL St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 7d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3706 Hereford St Unit 1s St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 4d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4950 Sutherland Ave Unit 1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,295 | $1.23 | 10d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3923 Keokuk St Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-14$79,900 Active 753-char remark
-
2001-04-17soldstatus $49,900
-
2001-04-17soldstatus
-
1996-08-05soldstatus $84,056
-
1994-02-04soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,629 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,629 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,393
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,629
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$911
- − Management
- −$911
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $741
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$178
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,765/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,170
- Household income
- $61,433
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1923.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 2% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -271.19%
- Current HPI
- 215.7108
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.62%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-4.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-19 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Listed $79,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-04-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2001-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records
- 1996-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $84,056 Public Records
- 1994-02-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,629 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…